Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: rivercat

So, its a poll of “adults” rather than registered voters, or likely voters, is that right? (i’m too lazy to click on the link)


6 posted on 09/08/2008 10:28:57 AM PDT by babble-on
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: babble-on
It says 1,022 adults, and on the next page 942 registered voters. So, 7.8% are unregistered voters. Registered voters is less accurate than likely voters. There are no demographics to the breakout of the voters (Rep, Dem, Ind).
16 posted on 09/08/2008 10:33:10 AM PDT by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: babble-on
So, its a poll of “adults” rather than registered voters, or likely voters, is that right?

Adults. But if that doesn't work, look for a random telephone poll of children by CNN.

22 posted on 09/08/2008 10:38:07 AM PDT by johniegrad
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: babble-on
So, its a poll of “adults” rather than registered voters, or likely voters, is that right? (i’m too lazy to click on the link)

BASED ON 942 REGISTERED VOTERS

Not "Likely Voters". GOP turns out people MUCH better than the Dims. Typical Dim voters are very likely to be drunk, stoned, arrested, or asleep ALL day on election day.

24 posted on 09/08/2008 10:39:35 AM PDT by Onelifetogive (UN the horse you rode in on.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: babble-on
So, its a poll of “adults” rather than registered voters, or likely voters, is that right? (i’m too lazy to click on the link)

No, that's not right. It's a poll of registered voters. But it doesn't break down the respondents by party affiliation (Republican, Democrat, or Independent) -- and that makes me very suspicious of this poll.

A much better indicator is Rasmussen. He has McCain up by one point, but he points out that he is weighting his poll by party affiliation and that right now he may be overstating Democrats as Republicans are starting to close the gap in declared party affiliation among likely voters. As he explains it, "For a variety of reasons, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is less volatile than some other polls and always shows a somewhat smaller convention bounce than reported by others. This is primarily because we weight our results by party identification (see methodology). Looking at the data before adjusting for partisan identification, the Republican convention appears to have created a larger surge in party identification than the Democratic convention the week before. If this lasts, it could have a significant impact on Election 2008."

Translation: now that GOPers are becoming proud to be GOPers again (thank you Sarah, and thank you John for picking Sarah!), they are now more willing to identify themselves as Republicans rather than Democrats or Independents.

29 posted on 09/08/2008 10:47:04 AM PDT by kesg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: babble-on

yes. It is a good sign for us because it shows Obama has lost the “coolness” factor.


38 posted on 09/08/2008 11:50:42 AM PDT by ari-freedom (We never hide from history. We make history!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson