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The Unfortunate Palin Gamble
GOPublius.com ^ | August 29, 2008 | GOPublius.com

Posted on 08/29/2008 10:31:47 AM PDT by americanophile

Don’t kid yourself…John McCain just put all his chips on the table and rolled the dice.

Over the past many months, McCain’s team had skillfully underscored the natural impressions of Americans – that Barak Obama was the lightweight in the race; the candidate of risk. Now, with a single stroke McCain has undercut his most effective argument. He has weakened his case for wisdom and experience, and elevated a one-term governor of a small-population state based on her gender.

McCain had plenty of safe choices. Choices that would have bolstered Americans’ inherent understanding of McCain’s competency and ability; choices that would have underscored the longstanding notion that whatever gimmick the Democrats try, the Republican Party remains the serious one.

With the electorate evenly split, McCain’s first job was to pick a competent running mate that would not undermine his standing, and would reassure voters that should something happen to the oldest man ever to be nominated for president, a competent, experienced leader, ready to serve as commander-in-chief in a time of war, was waiting in the wings.

The former Miss Congeniality, and hockey mom from “the last frontier” is a bizarre choice.

McCain’s pick today has all the hallmarks of a political gimmick and a hail-Mary pass. While it is likely to excite some conservatives, his choice will refocus the entire campaign away from Obama’s status as a political neophyte and will reshuffle the risk calculus in the favor of the increasingly familiar, and always-eloquent Obama. With Biden on the ticket, Obama has lessened the sense that he poses a serious danger to the electorate. McCain’s selection by contrast is likely to shake voters and cast uncertainty on the wisdom and safety of a McCain presidency.

With competent and proven individuals waiting in the wings such as Governor Mitt Romney, the selection of Sarah Palin is a most unfortunate choice.

John McCain may have just lost the 2008 election…cue the hurricane.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2008veep; electionpresident; mccain; palin; vicepresident
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To: AlaskaErik
“We'll see come Nov 4. Romney would have been a horrific choice. At least I can vote for McCain/Palin without holding my nose.”

Romney would have been the best pick.

This article highlights the problems with Sarah.

Sarah was a tactile choice. She was picked because she is a woman. Make NO MISTAKE about that. What she can do is peak the truth about oil and the polar bears. She has possibilities but by no means is she proven. We are hopeful that she has what it takes.

Not that it matters ... but I sorely wanted Mitt. He would be the best pick but McPain felt the need to cow tow to bigoted Evangelicals who HATE Mitt because he is a Mormon. Instead of being evangelicals ... they chose bigotry over prayer for those that are not saved.

So all things considered ... I understand why McPain picked her. Make NO BONES about it Sarah was a tactile pick and what tipped it over to her was the mere fact that she is a white woman who will hopefully woo disenchanted Hitlery voters based on her gender. Sarah appears to be a good woman but if she was a guy, she'd have been passed over - it was strictly a choice made on gender - TACTILE choice. I endorse her.

61 posted on 08/29/2008 10:53:10 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: americanophile
John McCain just put all his chips on the table and rolled the dice.

The former Miss Congeniality, and hockey mom from “the last frontier” is a bizarre choice.

McCain’s pick today has all the hallmarks of a political gimmick and a hail-Mary pass.

Sen. Charles Schumer is among the first out of the gates with Democratic reaction to the Sarah Palin selection. "After the great success of the Democratic convention, the choice of Sarah Palin is surely a Hail Mary pass," Schumer said. "It is a real role of the dice

That you, Chucky?

62 posted on 08/29/2008 10:53:24 AM PDT by ApplegateRanch (The Great Obamanation of Desolation, attempting to sit in the Oval Office, where he ought not..)
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To: PowderMonkey

You go boy! LOL!


63 posted on 08/29/2008 10:53:39 AM PDT by stevio (Crunchy Con - God, guns, guts, and organically grown crunchy nuts.)
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To: tbpiper

Yep.


64 posted on 08/29/2008 10:53:51 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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To: OCCASparky
It's painfully obvious this author knows nothing of Governor Palin's record of achievements and her stands. Shame on them for not doing their homework before writing that vitriol.

So what is her position on issues surrounding Illegal Aliens?
65 posted on 08/29/2008 10:54:00 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (GOP: If you reward bad behavior all you get is more bad behavior.)
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To: marron
He has no resume at all, and what little he has can’t be documented.

He doesn't even have a birth certificate.

66 posted on 08/29/2008 10:54:05 AM PDT by agere_contra ("We are all Georgians" - John McCain)
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To: americanophile
And what if Sarah Palin becomes the American Margaret Thatcher?

Wouldn't that be something to see?

67 posted on 08/29/2008 10:54:27 AM PDT by mojito
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To: americanophile

Governor Palin is proven on pro-life and pro-guns. She has 80+ approval ratings. What approval ratings for Romney? Very low
http://wbztv.com/local/Mass.Insight.Boston.2.578841.html


68 posted on 08/29/2008 10:54:50 AM PDT by ari-freedom (Obamuh uh uh uh uh uh uh ummmmmm)
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To: americanophile

“John McCain may have just lost the 2008 election…cue the hurricane.”

I think this article completely misses the point. This a stroke of sheer genius. This sets things up so that the Republicans put the first woman President in office, which steal a LOT of Democratic thunder.


69 posted on 08/29/2008 10:55:04 AM PDT by Gary Drumm Jr (The views expressed in this post do not necessarily reflect those of the reader!)
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To: americanophile

I don’t have a big problem with her experience so much. We can assume McCain won’t drop dead his first year in office.

I do have some reservations about her speech though- it was fine for the state political level, but this is the major leagues and I have a hard time imagining her as President of the United States after seeing the speech. She looks very young and not any gravitas that I can detect.


70 posted on 08/29/2008 10:55:15 AM PDT by MittFan08
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To: null and void

This selection was primarily based on her gender. If it was a man with the same level of experience in the same state of Alaska, they would not have even been considered by McCain.


71 posted on 08/29/2008 10:55:23 AM PDT by X-Servative
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To: americanophile

Get over it, GOPublius.

I was hoping he would pick Eric Cantor.

But NOW I get the best of both worlds. A REAL conservative on the Repub ticket (which “Mitt” definitley is NOT), AND I get to keep Mr. Cantor as my Congressman.

I am very pleased.

And if GOPublius thinks Romney would have been a better choice then he/she has rocks in his/her head. Mitt is basically just McCain Jr. Ms. Palin provides real balance to the ticket.


72 posted on 08/29/2008 10:55:45 AM PDT by WayneS (Obama bin Biden 2008 - "Because the world does not suck enough, yet".)
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To: Zevonismymuse
Dear Zevonismymuse,

I'm not too much different from where you stand, just a little different weight on the respective feet. I'd have readily voted for McCain/Romney, but preferred Mrs. Palin.

It IS a bit of a risky choice. There ARE negatives to her candidacy. The author here makes the valid point that this mitigates the effectiveness of the argument about experience against Snob-ama, especially if looked at superficially (if one looks a little closer, one can see that Mrs. Palin has accomplished more in a couple of years as governor than Snob-ama has in his entire lifetime).

But it is a bold, exciting move, it shows a commitment to social, fiscal, economic, and foreign policy conservatism, and has a significant chance to bring all the energy, momentum of the campaign to the Republican ticket.

I think that Sen. McCain is showing the American people that he is a creative, imaginative, incisive and bold leader. This pick fits in that overall perspective.

Good going, Sen. McCain. Good luck, Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin!!

I'll be making my contributions in the next day or so!


sitetest

73 posted on 08/29/2008 10:55:48 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Califelephant
11) She is the antithesis of the Hildebeast.
74 posted on 08/29/2008 10:55:52 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Constantly choosing the lesser of two evils is still choosing evil.)
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To: Rodm

This was Josh Hamilton at the All-Star Home Run derby, all 28 home runs worth. That was a Reagan speech we saw today.


75 posted on 08/29/2008 10:56:04 AM PDT by Loyolas Mattman
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To: AlaskaErik
At least I can vote for McCain/Palin without holding my nose.

At last I can hold my nose and vote for McCain.

76 posted on 08/29/2008 10:56:10 AM PDT by null and void (Obama/Biden: It's a no-brainer)
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To: Califelephant
Did I miss anything?

Just that she now gives McCain the opportunity to "flip" (to the right side) on ANWR drilling.

77 posted on 08/29/2008 10:56:23 AM PDT by kevkrom ("This is not the [fill in the blank] that I knew" - Barack Obama)
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To: americanophile

The good old boys have just realized that 2012 is no longer in play. Mrs. Palin is a serious (and possibly the only) contender for the top of the ticket next go ‘round.

Of course this also kills Hill’s chances for a big comeback in 2012, as well.

What a beautiful morning.


78 posted on 08/29/2008 10:56:23 AM PDT by mabelkitty
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To: paddles
"a one-term governor of a small-population state"

Alaska?! The largest state in the union?
79 posted on 08/29/2008 10:56:27 AM PDT by jaydubya2
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To: Pearls Before Swine

My wife, an anti-Obama voter who might have made it to the polls to unenthusiastically cast a vote for McCain as the lesser evil, is electrified.


Mine had vowed to write in Ron Paul, but now says that she would vote for “the ticket” even though she doesn’t like McCain.

I’m in the “electrified” camp, that we have a potential real conservative leader for 2012, or 2016.


80 posted on 08/29/2008 10:56:27 AM PDT by Atlas Sneezed (Guns don't kill people, criminals and the governments that create them do.)
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