Posted on 08/20/2008 9:40:08 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Though Obama's veep selection is imminent, he seems to be "Biden his time" (ha!) until later in the week to make the announcement. But with a slew of recent polls showing his lead against John McCain diminished or gone completely, some big news might be just what Obama needs. An LAT/Bloomberg poll has Obama up by just two points, while a Zogby poll released this morning shows McCain yes, McCain with a five-point lead. We've noted before how cyclic, ephemeral swings in the polls tend to send political observers into a frenzy. But these polls are part of a longer, more ominous trend for Obama. His momentum has vanished, the race has drawn to a dead heat, and Republicans are, maybe for the first time, showing some real optimism.
Chuck Todd and friends contend that "there is no longer this widespread belief among the wise guys and gals of both parties that we're all just sitting around waiting for this race to break in Obama's direction." The Obama campaign can't afford to make mistakes, and the McCain campaign "thinks it can win," which "wasnt the case a few months ago." [First Read/MSNBC]
Nate Silver proclaims that "we are getting to the point where it would be hard to describe the election as anything other than 'too close to call'" (and that was before the new Zogby poll). [FiveThirtyEight]
Michael Goodwin speculates that the media's "fawning coverage" of Obama, which the McCain campaign has highlighted with "The One," its nickname for the Democrat, may have caused voter resentment. [NYDN]
(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...
I am proud that I listened to the Bay City Rollers! I wanted to marry Ian! When I found out he got married, I scribbled his face off my album cover, boo hoo. :)
McCain’s greatest political asset is Obama’s mouth.
He can always claim to have a stress-related illness that requires his hospitalization.
That's what the disgraced Korean stem cell researcher did. A second look for Hwang Woo Suk 12/16/2005
B> Turnout Obama's 'ace in the hole?'
**************************EXCERPT**************************
Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor August 20, 2008 11:51 AM
The latest "Battleground Poll" from George Washington University reinforces what seems to be consensus among national polls just preceding the nominating conventions -- the horse race is neck and neck, despite disdain for Republicans and the Bush administration generally.
In the poll, released today, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama are statistically tied, with McCain leading 47 percent to 46 percent in a survey with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. They're also tied in favorability, at 57 percent each.
It is amazing how similar the image scores appear to be for both Barack Obama and John McCain. If Obama is this agent of change that America has been waiting for, why is his image no better than the nominee from the other partya political party whose brand is supposed to be so badly damaged? Republican pollster Brian Tringali asks in a release on the poll.
McCain is moving up largely because his standing is improving among all-important independent voters. He leads Obama by 10 percentage points, after trailing by 14 percentage points in May.
Interestingly, though, 51 percent of voters say they believe Obama will win, compared to 34 percent who pick McCain.
Obama Support
Democrats 83% July 74% August
Women 50% July 42% August
Catholics 47% July 36% Auguest
Ages <35 59% July 47% August
College Grads 51% July 40% August
Live in Cities 54% July 43% August
Income <$50,000 53% July 46% August
Southerners 46% July 35% August
The problem is, they don't have anyone that fits that description any more. Even those who they trot out as being centrists (Evan Bayh, Mark Warner) could not possibly be, because they enthusiastically support a socialist for President. Show me a Dem who publicly says that Obama is too left wing for him to support and I will show you a possible centrist Democrat. Bill Clinton pretended to be a centrist with his DLC friends, but we now know that was a scam. They are all socialists, and to the extent they get elected, it is because they hide who they are and where they want to take this country, and people don't pay attention.
It is a total no win for dems now.:Taking the nomination away fro bo would destroy the party. And what if bo himself took himself out? A black man bowing out to THE MAN. Barring any horrible mccain blujders, and it would have to be of epic proportions, McCain is the President. And I have to drop that I have said forever that BO will lose in a landslide, even when he was ahead double digits. Sorry about the typing, I am posting from my Blackberry.
How about this: "the horse race is neck and neck, despite disdain for Obama and the Democratic Congress, whose poll numbers are in the single digits."
Nah, that would be a balanced story. What was I thinking?
Exactly what I was thinking! But the fact remains that there is serious animosity between Obama supporters and Clinton supporters. After a couple decades of national conventions serving as coronation events, such a switcharoo would be like dropping an atom bomb. The Dems would fracture enough that McCain would win in a landslide.
If Billary was to somehow pull this off the images of riots would haunt Election Day.
Final thought: the easy answer to all these problems is for Obama to make Billary his VP and pollsters like Zogby may be trying to assist in creating the pressure.
That there is just about a perfect analogy. ROTF.
Then Operation Chaos has truly succeeded. Bwhahaha.
You are so right Anna
I am embarrased I was Meundo fan LOL!
OH BOY LOL!
Yeah he is like one of those Boy bands that you listen as a kid and now you embarrased
Thanks Ernest.
Polling — depends on the time of the day, who answers the phone, who’s home, who’s walking down the street by the poll-taker while wearing an “Obama 2008” t-shirt, etc.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2064971/posts?page=10#10
LOL
EXTRA: Archbishop Burke on Catholics who Support Abortion
Senator Barack Obama Wants You to Pay for Abortions
US Bishops Look at Election
John McCain Will Not Pick Pro-Abortion Running Mate, Rules Out Tom Ridge
Vote for Real Hope and Change [Archbishop Chaput]
Catholics who support abortion should not receive Communion, says Archbishop Burke (again :-)
CNN Again Omits Part of the Story Concerning Obamas Abortion Votes
Obama Flunks Rick Warren's Abortion Question
Obama and the Black American Family Dont Jibe [Abortion]
Obama Caught Red-Handed in Abortion Lie
Archbishop Naumann hopes Obama realizes Sebelius is a bad Catholic advisor
Obama Facing Attacks From All Sides Over Abortion Record
OBAMA'S EXTREMISM - HIS ABORTION RECORD IS NO LIE
Barack Obama - Abortion Extremist
Barack Obama lied about babies Born Alive vote then smeared Corsi
Babies' Rights and the Definition of Marriage [re: Forum responses by Obama vs. McCain]
Opinion: Doug Kmiec on McCain v. Obama at Saddleback
Obama Cover-up on Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Continues to Unravel...
Life Lies: Barack Obama and Born-Alive
Operation Rescue founder to distribute new flyer: "Is it Immoral to Vote for Obama for President?"
Obama Calls Pro-Lifers Liars
Obama Jun 15: fathers
at conception August 16 answering that question is above my pay grade
Niece of Martin Luther King Jr. to Lead Prayer Vigil Outside Largest U.S. Abortion Centre
Campaign Admits Obama Lied About Abortion Vote, Media Asleep
Obama pay grade comment purposely ignores SCIENTIFIC FACT that LIFE BEGINS AT CONCEPTION
Barack Obama Repeats False Claim Abortions Haven't Declined Under Bush
Obama and Abortion
Obama Says Right to Life Coalition Is Lying About His Record
Barack Obama Says Pro-Life Group Lying About His Pro-Infanticide Votes
Obama's infanticide problem>
Obama and McCain Woo Catholics
Obama's Christian Creds Vs. Abortion and Infanticide
Obama's 10 reasons for supporting infanticide
Mommy Won't Help Dems on Abortion
Abortion Leader Confirms that Democratic Platform is More Pro-Abortion than Ever
Obama More Than An Abortion Radical
Obamas Abortion Lies (Obama cover-up on born-alive survivors bill)
Life with Obama: Abortion champion
Knighting the Catholic Vote (K of C urging Catholics to vote pro-life)
Linda Chavez: Obamas Catholic problem
Catholic Voters and 2008
Barack Obama Supports the Murder of Newborn Infants
Obama Lied About Abortion Record
What Barack Obama defended three times: Live Birth Abortion
[OPEN] Supreme K of C Calls for Real "Change" on Abortion and Catholic Revolt against Obama Nation
Obama's Catholic Problem ( Linda Chavez )
Obamas View on Abortion May Divide Catholics ( "May Divide?" )
Obama loses 26 points among Catholics
Barack Obama's Wife Michelle to Join Hillary Clinton at Pro-Abortion Dinner
OPINION: Senator Obama and the Wall of the Womb
Barack Obama's Pledge to Overturn Every Pro-Life Abortion Law One Year Old
Obama Worse than Clintons on Abortion Says National Right to Life Leader Interview-SCOTUS Critical
Roman Catholics for Obama '08
OBAMA TO CATHOLICS: NO VOUCHERS
How can Catholics for Obama rationalize their support for the pro-choice candidate?
Obamas director of Catholic Outreach dodges opportunity to reach Catholics
Barack Obama Slams John McCain For Opposing Abortion, Activist Judges
Catholics and Obama
COMMENTARY: Quandry for Catholics At Election Time
The Latest Refinement (Obama on Abortion)
CNN Runs Biased News Story Covering Up Barack Obamas Pro-Abortion Record
Jill Stanek: Obama's biggest lie about supporting infanticide
The Battle for Catholic Voters
New Report Indicates Voters Most Interested in Barack Obamas Position on Abortion
Deal Hudson: Obama and Infanticide?
Ad asks Obama: If fatherhood begins at conception, when does life begin?
Embryonic stem-cell research immoral, unnecessary, bishops say
Catholics should not vote for Obama
Catholic Caucus: It is a sin to vote/support Obama/DNC [abortion]
More Catholics leaning towards Democrats, poll reports (really not Catholics)
The Catholic-Obama Problem (Pope Benedict XVI instructs Catholics about pro-abortion candidates)
Obama's Abortion Bombshell: Unrestricted Abortion....
NARAL Catholics Line Up for Obama
Editorial: Disagreeing with Doug Kmiec One More Time
State-Funded Embryo Research "Makes Taxpayers Complicit in Killing", say Bishops
McCain Meets Privately with Fr. Pavone - Says Constitutional Right to Life Applies to Unborn
Faithful Citizenship: Catholic Vote is very sought after
Has Obama dissolved his Catholic advisory council?
Commentary: Faithful Citizenship and the Formed Conscience
Catholic League: Where's Obama's 'Catholic Advisory Council'? [Not to be found!]
Right-wing Christians beginning to lean left (Misleading headline)
Catholics Debate Obama Vote
US Bishops Urge Voters to Give Priority to Life [Ecumenical]
Corralling the Catholic vote: Political necessity or pipe dream?
DOUG KMIEC: Catholic Reasons for Hope in the General Election
EDITORIAL: Why This Catholic Dreads the Campaign
The Catholic-Obama Problem (Pope Benedict XVI instructs Catholics about pro-abortion candidates)
Thoughts On Roman Catholics For Obama
How Obama's Catholics Will Dodge the Infanticide Question
Catholic Pro-Life Leader Feuds With Barack Obama's "Catholic" Backers
McCain and the Pope: McCain cannot win in November without the Catholic vote (Reagan re-visited?)
Catholics Cannot Vote for Pols Who Support Abortion, Except for Morally Grave Reasons: KY Bishops
>>They could use the roll call to nominate Hillary and dump Bam Bam. Wouldn’t that be fun.<<
If that were to happen, I think she would get, maybe, three black votes.
She’d need more than that. ;)
“I can see a post-election whine that the Americans dont deserve somebody as great as me.”
In that case he can move into that hut with his long lost brother in Kenya.
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