Posted on 07/17/2008 2:03:05 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
Here's something unlikely to make the cover of Time. From the Science & Public Policy Institute:
WASHINGTON (7-15-08) — Mathematical proof that there is no "climate crisis" appears today in a major, peer-reviewed paper in Physics and Society, a learned journal of the 10,000-strong American Physical Society, SPPI reports.
Christopher Monckton, who once advised Margaret Thatcher, demonstrates via 30 equations that computer models used by the UN's climate panel (IPCC) were pre-programmed with overstated values for the three variables whose product is "climate sensitivity" (temperature increase in response to greenhouse-gas increase), resulting in a 500-2000% overstatement of CO2's effect on temperature in the IPCC's latest climate assessment report, published in 2007.
Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered [http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/index.cfm] demonstrates that later this century a doubling of the concentration of CO2 compared with pre-industrial levels will increase global mean surface temperature not by the 6 °F predicted by the IPCC but, harmlessly, by little more than 1 °F.
The paper reveals the following:
• The IPCC's 2007 climate summary overstated CO2's impact on temperature by 500-2000%;
• CO2 enrichment will add little more than 1 °F (0.6 °C) to global mean surface temperature by 2100;
• Not one of the three key variables whose product is climate sensitivity can be measured directly;
• The IPCC's values for these key variables are taken from only four published papers, not 2,500;
• The IPCC's values for each of the three variables, and hence for climate sensitivity, are overstated;
• "Global warming" halted ten years ago, and surface temperature has been falling for seven years;
• Not one of the computer models relied upon by the IPCC predicted so long and rapid a cooling;
• The IPCC inserted a table into the scientists' draft, overstating the effect of ice-melt by 1000%;
• It was proved 50 years ago that predicting climate more than two weeks ahead is impossible;
• Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth warmed;
• In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years.
Someone had better get this news to Al Gore, since he won't be seeing it on TV. I'm sure he'll want to apologize for causing a lot of senseless hysteria over nothing.
I’ve posted the below question on several political forums and still no answer from the alarmists. They see and hear what they want to believe and ignore anything that contradicts what they believe.
At one point in An Inconvenient Truth Al Gore references a set of line charts which depict global temperature(Blue) and global CO2 levels (red) one above another for the past 650,000 years. His first point is that they parallel closely thereby showing the direct relation between them. His next point is a relationship shown during the recent (last ice age until present day) portion of the chart. He points to the high peak at the end of the temperature line and says it would indicate a pleasant day. He then points to the low point in temperature and say this would be a place where you would have a mile of Ice over your head. At this point he moves up to the CO2 line and the chart animates forward in time to the present day. The CO2 for present day is a nearly vertical line with about double the length of the CO2 change shown from mile of ice to pleasant day. Here is where the problem arises. If I am to believe Als first assertion that the CO2 and temp are directly related (and the lines do indeed show almost identical changes in direction and magnitude), and I ascribe a reasonable temperature difference to the unit Mile of Ice to Pleasant day like 80 degrees F, then the present day temp For places like Detroit and Cleveland would have to be 240 degrees F (80 + 2 X 80). Al then goes on to show the predictions for the next 50 years on the CO2 line, about another 2 of my units. This would mean that the corresponding temperature would have to be 400 degrees (240 +2 X 80).
There a couple of inconvenient (for poor Al) truths left out in the movie at this point. 1. The temperature scale is never continued to present day because it would have shown a gross flattening not corresponding to the CO2 line (Weather channel showing significantly below 240 this time of year). And 2. Since the graph is on the 650,000 year scale it fails to show the 100-200 year nuance that temperature precedes CO2 levels indicating increased CO2 is a result not a cause of naturally caused global climate change.
that would make an excellent tag line, if someone is looking for one, OR a fantastic bumper sticker.
Hey!
Stop That!
Don’t you know the debate is over??
The Left is way ahead of this. It’s now ‘Climate Change’ instead of ‘Global Warming’. We have to stay current!
Yes, they are taught as separate classes in college, aren't they? However, statistics is a subset of mathematics, not the other way around.
Must be the French judge
bump
Liberals will simply claim its ‘fuzzy math’...
I have said this 1000 times.
It applies to many things in life, including most if not all liberal "crises."
Except that there is no positive correlation between climate change and increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
According to a graph on NASA, between 1880 and 1938, there was an obvious warming trend that was concurrent with an atmospheric CO2 increase of +20 ppmv.
Between 1938 and 2004, there was a cooling and recovery and there has been no net warming since 1938. This cooling was concurrent with an increase in atmospheric CO2 of +60 ppmv.
The temp increase over the last 100 years is .6 degrees.
Pre-industrial CO2 levels made up .028% of all components in the atmosphere.
Present day CO2 levels constitute .0384% of the atmosphere. CO2 accounts for 72% of greenhouse gases but even if it were to double, it would still make up less than .01% of our atmosphere. Water vapor makes up far more of our atmosphere than CO2 does and is far more efficient at absorbing and trapping heat from the sun.
btt
Did Al Gore approve those numbers....
Lefties and regular Americans who got sucked into this fraud will be deeply saddened ;)
Gore declared months ago that the facts were in and the debate was over. This won’t dissuade him from his mission as savior of planet earth.
We used to call “Climate Change” “the weather” as it changes all the time.
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