Posted on 07/14/2008 8:16:27 PM PDT by Uncle Ralph
I think McCain will incrementally continue to close the lead for four reasons:
The hope and change rock-start moments are waning, and replaced by a new Obama composite:
1) Obama flips in furious fashion; the only controversy is over when the mutations will stop, and how well he can convince his base that they are only cosmetic adjustments of limited duration necessary for election and the implementation of their shared European-like agenda.
2) Obama is proving messianic; all the lectures about fainting, the Brandenburg Gate, his new seal, open-air address in Denver, oceans receding, etc. are cementing a portrait of a megalomaniac. Almost everyone has by now "disappointed", or "disrespected" Obama, or is not the fellow prophet that Obama "knew," "remembers", or "recalls". His sermons on our SUVs, lack of language fluency, diet etc. are as hypocritical as they are sophomoric, and confirm Michelle's summation of the rest of us as "unaware, uninformed."
3) Obama is ruthless -- the numbers of those thrown under the bus -- Wright, his grandmother, Ms. Power, former aides -- are now resembling speed bumps. This is not unusual in politics, but contradicts the Sermon on the Mount imagery, and confirms the past narrative of his take-no-prisoners political ambitions.
4) Obama has a poor grasp of history, geography, American culture, and common sense -- whether the number or location of states in the Union, basic facts about WWII or where Arabic is spoken, or his sociological take on Pennsylvania, etc. His advisors realize this, and are playing 4th-quarter defense by keeping him out of ex tempore, non tele-prompted hope and change venues, where his shallowness can manifest itself in astonishing ways.
The result of these trends is to sow doubt in the American electorate about an otherwise charismatic and electrifying candidate in a year tailor-made for Democrats. In itself, the fissures in the Obama porcelain are not enough for McCain to win: he must focus his message on four or five issues -- winning the war on terror, the radical change in Iraq that promises victory, cutting spending and reducing American debt, developing traditional energies in a can-do fashion, as we transition to electric, solar, wind, hydrogen, flex, green etc. power, and closing the border now-discussing the contentious issues later -- as he contrasts these with the amorphous always changing opportunism of Obama. He can't do that via dueling set-speeches; he doesn't do as well on the teleprompter and the media will always amplify that in their selection of clips. But in town-halls, the debates, and in interviews, he can draw the distinctions. The longer the campaign, the more it benefits the older candidate rather than the vigorous, but green youngster.
People start to see Obama differently from several months ago. Several things that work against him: people he’s connected to, his turn to the center a bit too fast, and his tendency for the grandeur before he is elected to the presidency.
Excellent article!
In other words, if you think he is insufferable now, just imagine what he will be like if elected.
Very telling. IMHO, Obama can’t win the election, but McCain or Bush (if he doesn’t stay out of the limelight) could lose it.
Has anyone seen that book “Obamanomics”? I almost fell over when I saw it at the bookstore. On the front it said it was the opposite of trickle down economics.
Interesting way of putting it.
Is Obama the Mcgovern of our era?
http://huntingdonpost.wordpress.com/2008/04/20/is-obama-the-mcgovern-of-our-era/
It’s the opposite of an idiotic strawman?
FMCDH(BITS)
The article is wishful thinking. The four points about Obama mean nothing. Democrats will vote for him to get Republicans out. McCain will get most of the Republican votes, but some will skip that race. Independents who determine the outcome, will vote for Obama because they don’t want war and McCain means more war, plus they are sick of Republicans. They see McCain as old and another Republican and they won’t have it. They will trust Obama to stop war and give them health care and do something to bring down gas and food prices. McCain can’t speak well and Obama can. Add it up, Obama wins.
You are wrong, hun.
Your statement might be correct if Hillary were the nominee, but she isn’t.
Look, David Plouffe is the man steering Obamas campaign.
If the name means anything to anyone, thats because he engineered the Torricelli Switch for Lautenberg in the NJ Senate Race...long after the deadline had passed for the Dems to switch Senate candidates on the ballot...because Torricelli was losing to the GOP.
Well, ask yourself why *THAT MAN* Plouffe is now positioned for the same switch for Hillary.
The Dems finalize their nominee in August at their Denver Convention. Look for the Torricelli Switch there, or later.
Hillary will be the Dem candidate in 2008.
Suck it up, economics?
Very good and if so, it means sure and certain defeat, since she can't win without the usual 90% black vote and if it's 'No Bama', then many will stay home.
If the Media is going to amplify McCains weakness in Oratory then It is up to McCain to amplify the fact Obambi is afraid to face the very voters he wants, one on one to answer their questions . Like Ft. Hood for example ,McCain should say that at each and every microphone he speaks into
If the Media is going to amplify McCains weakness in Oratory then It is up to McCain to amplify the fact Obambi is afraid to face the very voters he wants, one on one to answer their questions . Like Ft. Hood for example ,McCain should say that at each and every microphone he speaks into
I do not see it happening successfully on a national scale. We are not talking about corrupt NJ politics and State Supreme Court and there is zero chance they could disqualify BO, let alone engineer a convention when Barry's crowd is preemptively moving his speech to a rally venue.
I actually see this as a major split in the Democrat Party. Combined with their stupid intransigence on drilling, they may marginalize themselves for a good long time.
I notice all four reasons have to do with Obama. McCain CANNOT convince conservatives to vote for him....only Obama can do that.
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