Posted on 06/27/2008 6:21:33 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin
Washington, D.C. (AHN) - Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) is winning the race against Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) in battleground states. A new Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP poll said on Thursday that the freshman senator leads from five to as much as 17 points among voters in four key states.
Obama narrowly has the support of voters in Colorado, where he leads McCain 49% to 44%. The Republican, however, has the edge among men, 50% to 45%, and whites, 47%to 46%.
In Michigan, Obama wins with 48% while McCain trails with 42%. The Illinois senator has a whopping lead among women, 52% to 38%, and African-Americans, 89% to 6%. But again McCain leads among whites, 48% to 42%, and men, 46% and 45%.
Minnesota voters also chose Obama over McCain, 52% to 39%. Obama's 17-point lead is the biggest among the four states, and is due to his overwhelming support among nearly all demographics. The freshman senator beats McCain even among whites, 49% to 42%, and men, 51% to 40%.
The picture in Wisconsin for McCain is not much different. The Arizona senator trails his rival, 39% to 52%.
"Sen. McCain's lead among white voters in Colorado and Michigan cuts the gap to single digits, but doesn't offset Sen. Obama's strength among other groups. The Democrat also leads by eight to 21 percentage points among independent voters in each state," Quinnipiac University said in a release.
"But Sen. Obama should not be picking out the drapes for the Oval Office just yet. His lead nationally, and double digits in some key states, is not hugely different from where Sen. John Kerry stood four years ago at this point in the campaign," Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Assistant Director Peter Brown added.
Let them rave on that men shall know them mad.....
I am becoming discouraged.
This morning (or maybe yesterday) it had McCain winning in four states. I guess we will go back and forth until election day.
Three of those four are blue states. The fact that McCain is competing in them is a good sign.
On average Quinnipiac state polls right before the election were nearly 10 points off, despite having stated MOE much much lower. Polls at this point are interesting, but not all that informative.
Yeah, right. I think they’re trying too hard.
Polls mean nothing at this point.
Obama is not leading by as much as Kerry did at this point.
Becoming? I am discouraged either way to be honest. The thought of hearing McCain speak for four years makes me cringe....Of course, Obama makes me puke. This is about as dreary as 1996.
The others are lost causes. Bush came close in WI but a close loss is still a total loss in terms of the Electoral College. MN is always a teaser. It looks competitive at first but always comes home to the 'Rats in the end. Kinda like NJ in that sense. Looks like we have a chance but it ends up being true blue 'Ratland.
I’ve stepped up to bat. I’m supporting McCain. I see no reason to cringe over McCain’s presidency. this is not the case with Obama.
Did they vote in those states already?
thank you for your encouraging remarks.
‘Minnesota voters also chose Obama over McCain, 52% to 39%. Obama’s 17-point lead is the biggest among the four states...’
Where I come from, 52-39=13.
This election is all about image and emotion, not issues. Obama can get up and say, "I'll raise your taxes, I'll reduce your standard of living, and I'll make us less safe" and all people will hear is "Hope! Change!"
No need to read further.
We'd need to see the polling demographics ( likely voters, registered voters, % of parties represented ) to really tell how accurate this poll's findings are. Since they don't say anything about them, I'd take the results to be probably skewed toward Democrats.
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