They're counting on that. That's what the whole constant drum-beat of media polls is all about. None of them are even close to accurate until we're about 2 weeks out. And even then...
I am becoming discouraged.
Obama is not leading by as much as Kerry did at this point.
Becoming? I am discouraged either way to be honest. The thought of hearing McCain speak for four years makes me cringe....Of course, Obama makes me puke. This is about as dreary as 1996.
We'd need to see the polling demographics ( likely voters, registered voters, % of parties represented ) to really tell how accurate this poll's findings are. Since they don't say anything about them, I'd take the results to be probably skewed toward Democrats.
That’s the point of these polls, to discourage you.
“jump on the Obama bandwagon, he’s going to win anyway”
And, they’re playing to the, and I sht you not, I talked to someone that voted this way in 96 - “I’m going to vote for who I think is going to win” crowd.
Why would you be discouraged? Don’t be, these polls are good news. Obama is supposed to have this solid lead in CO, but according Qunincy he’s only 5 points ahead, that’s nothing. He’s also ahead, according to Quincy, by only 6 in MI, that’s fantastic. Remember that most polls this cycle are undercounting Repubs, overcounting the dems, inflating the % of African-American voters and undercouting McCain’s support among very conservative and Evangelical voters. Taking all this into consideration I believe McCain is 1 - 2 points behind in CO and about 2 - 3 behind in MI. Also, McCain has been dead even with Oama the last 2 days in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll. The numbers in Wisconsin will get closer, but not enough to turn the State Red. MN is a lost cause.
You actually BELIEVE these polls?
McCain has not put together a decent approach to beating Obama. It can be done very easily.
The economy hinges on the energy/gas issue. He can beat this idiot like a drum, Obama likes the high gas prices, only wished for a gradual climb to that price. Obama does nothing to get more oil prod, his solution is to raise prices and lower oil prod by way of more taxes.
McCain he needs a catchy phrase/succinct 15 sec sound bite illustrating this that he keeps using.
The national security issue is his but once again he needs a catchy phrase/succinct 15 sec sound bite that he keeps using.
Any polls now are meaningless and that coupled with the FACT that many people will not say they are not voting for Obama in fear of being thought a racist taints every poll.
Obama has always done worse in the actual primaries than he did in polls leading up to them IIRR>
Are you joking? 48% to 44% in CO is called a “trouncing?”
Why? It’s only June. Just do your part and vote for McCain.