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Playing the Drilling Card (Does Gilmore Have a Chance in Virginia?)
Wall Street Journal ^ | 19 June 2008 | Brendan Miniter

Posted on 06/22/2008 5:40:21 AM PDT by shrinkermd

Last Wednesday, Virginia Democratic Senate candidate Mark Warner proposed an emergency federal crackdown on "oil speculators." "Make no mistake about it: What has happened over the past few months has not been the result of the market," Mr. Warner said, sounding not so much like the level-headed, moderate Democrat he was once reputed to be.

Democrats clearly are worrying about high gas prices interrupting their march to landslide victories in the fall. In Virginia, Republican James Gilmore is given virtually no chance to win against Mr. Warner. Mr. Gilmore might be a former governor and offer a clear contrast on taxes and spending. But Mr. Warner is also a former governor, popular personally and enjoys a political climate that favors Democrats. That standard analysis, however, predates $4 gasoline and the sudden resurrection of the offshore drilling debate. A wealth of petroleum lies off Virginia's coast, unexploited because of a federal ban. Now President Bush and GOP leaders in the House and Senate want to lift the ban and share revenues from the oil with nearby states. Even Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine, a Democrat, favors lifting the ban.

Mr. Warner isn't so sure. After all, opposition to drilling has been a national Democratic litmus test for 30 years and he likely has designs beyond a U.S. Senate seat – he's often touted as one of his party's best presidential prospects. Nonetheless, this week, even as he blamed unholy speculators for high gas prices, he felt sufficiently spooked to hedge his bets. He now says he's OK with lifting the federal ban, so long as the final decision is left up to the state.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: drilling; electioncongress; electionussenate; energy; gilmore; jimgilmore; markwarner; offshoredrilling; va2008; virginia
I was surprised Warner began the switch. Not drilling is part of the liberal faith and will not be given up easily.

During the Reagan Administration the Democrats finally agreed to tough, federal crime laws. Prior to that their mantra was poverty caused crime; hence, punishing poverty didn't work.

1 posted on 06/22/2008 5:40:21 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

One thing all the ones that are switching aren’t mentioning is that the North Slope of Alaska has two hundred years of oil and natural gas for us and the Federal Government made them cap the wells off in 1976. The only ones that weren’t capped off were the ones that send oil to Japan. Sulphur was an issue with the federal government and the environmentalists. The Sulphur is less than one pecent and from what I’ve found out that no matter where you get the oil from, Saudi Arabia, Gulf of Mexico, or the North Slope, the Oil Refrineries have to be modified in a manner to take care of the oil. Go to Google.com and google Gull Island near Prudhoe Bay. All the articles are about the same subject.


2 posted on 06/22/2008 6:19:18 AM PDT by JOE43270 (JV43270 God Bless America and ALL WHO HAVE and WILL DEFEND HER.)
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To: shrinkermd

Mark Warner is a politician. And a relatively astute one at that. He can see which way the hurricane winds are blowing.


3 posted on 06/22/2008 6:21:58 AM PDT by RKBA Democrat (Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on me, a sinner!)
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To: RKBA Democrat

Mark Warner made is fortune (well over $100M) as a speculator of sorts in the early days of cellular radio licensing by acting as a broker and buyer/seller of fractional shares of licenses. So, he should know about speculation.

Jack


4 posted on 06/22/2008 6:25:01 AM PDT by JackOfVA
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To: shrinkermd
Last Wednesday, Virginia Democratic Senate candidate Mark Warner proposed an emergency federal crackdown on "oil speculators."

I have to laugh whenever I see someone claim that the government needs to crackdown on speculators. The folks who say that don't know that crude oil is traded on many exchanges in many countries. If the USA decides to tamper with the markets, here in America, then crude oil trading will simply move offshore to other exchanges. Then what has been accomplished?

5 posted on 06/22/2008 6:26:06 AM PDT by NRG1973
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To: JackOfVA

“So, he should know about speculation.”

Mark Warner is a sharp cookie. This is pure political triangulation. Decry “the speculators” for populist appeal, while setting the stage for the sale of oil and gas leases off the Virginia coast. Which will no doubt be an extremely speculative market.

There will be drilling off the Virginia and Florida coasts in much the same way there will be drilling in ND and MT and probably ANWR as well. $130/bbl oil makes the economics too compelling.


6 posted on 06/22/2008 6:46:58 AM PDT by RKBA Democrat (Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on me, a sinner!)
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To: shrinkermd
I was surprised Warner began the switch. Not drilling is part of the liberal faith and will not be given up easily.

Indeed. See my post today of the Buffalo News editorial.

7 posted on 06/22/2008 6:50:09 AM PDT by mc5cents (Show me just what Mohammd brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman)
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To: shrinkermd

Well it answers it. Warner is moving to the right on drilling. He will win.


8 posted on 06/22/2008 7:28:38 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: shrinkermd

As long as he doesn’t say Macaca he will be alright. Those Virginis are a savey bunch.

Pray for W and Our Troops


9 posted on 06/22/2008 7:33:37 AM PDT by bray (Drill Congress!!!)
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To: shrinkermd
John McCain and fellow Republicans, if they're smart, could use the realignment of energy politics to change the national debate in their favor this fall. If they're smart.

Does anybody see the problem here? Hint: the author wrote it twice.

10 posted on 06/22/2008 7:46:39 AM PDT by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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Comment #11 Removed by Moderator

To: shrinkermd

I have to take issue with “Does Gilmore Have a Chance in Virginia?” which you inserted in the headline (at least, it wasn’t the Wall Street Journal headline.

Of course he has a chance! Why would you go out of your way on a supposedly conservative forum to play Chicken Little? Just curious.


12 posted on 06/22/2008 9:51:54 AM PDT by Flora McDonald (Stand the storm!)
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To: Flora McDonald
Three reasons:

That is what the WSJ article said: ".... Republican James Gilmore is given virtually no chance to win against Mr. Warner. Mr. Gilmore might be a former governor and offer a clear contrast on taxes and spending. But Mr. Warner is also a former governor, popular personally and enjoys a political climate that favors Democrats. That standard analysis, however, predates $4 gasoline and the sudden resurrection of the offshore drilling debate...."

Grammar: When you ask a question that summarizes the article, at the end you use a ?

Reasonable Understanding: The article and my question are not predicated on an anti-Gilmore feeling or belief. On the contrary, with the drill issue Governor Gilmore has a better chance of winning than he had before.

13 posted on 06/22/2008 10:26:27 AM PDT by shrinkermd (t)
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To: NRG1973

This whole “specualtors” thing is nothing but a lie, a trick, to cover up for 20 years of liberal energy policy that now has us bent over a barrel.


14 posted on 06/22/2008 10:31:54 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: bray

I really think that the reason Allen narrowly lost in 2006 was not that he said “Macaca”, which no one much knew what that even is, but that he kept apologizing for saying “Macaca”.


15 posted on 06/22/2008 7:06:13 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Cowardice is forever!)
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