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Election 2008: Louisiana President Louisiana: McCain 50% Obama 41%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | June 1, 2008 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 06/01/2008 9:01:53 PM PDT by Red Steel

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Louisiana shows John McCain with a nine-percentage-point lead over Barack Obama, 50% to 41%. McCain is viewed favorably by 55% of the state’s voters, Obama by 45%.

George W. Bush won the state by fifteen points in Election 2004 and by eight points four years earlier.

McCain leads among voters over 40, Obama leads among those under 30, and 30-somethings are evenly divided.

McCain is supported by 86% of Republicans but Obama has just a 63% to 27% advantage among Democrats. The likely Democratic nominee has a seven-point advantage among unaffiliated voters in the state.

Rasmussen Markets data gives McCain a 84.0 % chance of winning Louisiana’s nine Electoral College Votes. In 1968, Louisiana cast its Electoral Votes for George Wallace as Richard Nixon narrowly eked out a victory over Hubert Humphrey. Since then, the state has voted for the winning Presidential candidate in nine consecutive Presidential elections. Louisiana is rated as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

The state also features a very competitive Senate race. In fact, it’s the only race in the nation with a potentially vulnerable Democratic incumbent.

Fifty percent (50%) of Louisiana voters say it’s more important to get the troops home from Iraq than to win the war in that troubled nation. Forty-one percent (41%) hold the opposite view and believe victory is the higher priority.

If McCain is elected, 53% say that the U.S. is at least somewhat likely to win the war. Just 24% have the same expectation if Obama wins in November. However, 61% say a President Obama is likely to bring the troops home within four years. Fifty percent (50%) have the same expectation if McCain is the new President.

George W. Bush won 57% of the Louisiana vote four years ago. Today, just 35% say Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. Forty-eight percent (48%) of Louisiana voters say the President is doing a poor job.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionussenate; la2008; mccain; obama; polls2008

1 posted on 06/01/2008 9:01:53 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

I predict that Barack Hussein Obama will not win ONE Southern or border state in the general election.


2 posted on 06/01/2008 9:03:35 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (McCain could never convince me to vote for him. Only Hillary or Obama can!)
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To: Red Steel
None of my under thirty neighbors would vote for Obama. Most don't think much of McCain but Obama is out of the question. Obama loses LA. big time.
3 posted on 06/01/2008 9:14:46 PM PDT by BBell
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What about virginia?? I saw an ugly poll there.


4 posted on 06/01/2008 9:31:48 PM PDT by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: WOSG

Ain’t gonna happen...


5 posted on 06/01/2008 9:40:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (McCain could never convince me to vote for him. Only Hillary or Obama can!)
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To: WOSG
The May 8th Rasmussen Virginia poll. McCain is beating Hillary by more than Obama, but both are still losers:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/virginia/toplines_virginia_general_election_may_8_2008

McCain

47%

McCain

47%

Clinton

41%

Obama

44%

Other

8%

Other

6%

Not sure

3%

Not sure

3%





6 posted on 06/01/2008 9:44:43 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Obama needs to run for office in Kenya. He will never be accepted by mainstream America.


7 posted on 06/01/2008 9:49:47 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Red Steel

McCain Trusted More Than Obama on Economy, Iraq, National Security
Friday, May 30, 2008 Rasmussen Reports

When it comes to the economy, 47% of voters trust John McCain more than Barack Obama. Obama is trusted more by 41%. When it comes to the War in Iraq, McCain is trusted more by 49% of voters. Obama is preferred by 37%. McCain has an even larger edge—53% to 31%—on the broader topic of National Security. These results are little changed from a month ago.


8 posted on 06/01/2008 9:56:11 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: 1035rep
Obama needs to run for office in Kenya. He will never be accepted by mainstream America.

Today, as I smelled the mainstream fishes in the news, they have not gotten the worm.

9 posted on 06/01/2008 9:58:42 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Not to worry, Dimocratz. There be a lot of cemeteries in Louisiana.


10 posted on 06/01/2008 10:17:13 PM PDT by Rembrandt (We would have won Viet Nam w/o Dim interference.)
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To: All

Two important things in this poll.

1) Bobby Jindal brings no new EVs to the dance.

2) It would be really good to get Obama nominated irrevocably with Clinton OFF the ticket as soon as possible before the polls start to speak to the Democrats and they do a Lautenberg.


11 posted on 06/01/2008 10:46:53 PM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen
It would be really good to get Obama nominated irrevocably with Clinton OFF the ticket as soon as possible before the polls start to speak to the Democrats and they do a Lautenberg.

You bring up an interesting and unprecedented issue. While the Lautenberg deal was probably illegal under any reasonable interpretation of the law, we are now looking at Federal election law.

Does anyone know what the applicable law is?

What happens if the RATS get a sudden case of buyer's remorse right after the convention when a film of both Michelle and B. Hussein himself bashing whitey shows up?

Is there a firm cut-off date after which they get no chance for a substitution?

I trust the U.S. Supremes a lot more than the N.J. Supremes on this one.

12 posted on 06/01/2008 11:04:29 PM PDT by CurlyDave
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To: Red Steel

Considering how much the polls usually inflate liberal approval ratings, this does not bode well for BO.


13 posted on 06/02/2008 12:23:27 AM PDT by arderkrag (Libertarian Nutcase (Political Compass Coordinates: 9.00, -2.62 - www.politicalcompass.org))
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To: Red Steel

And Kennedy is minus three to lil mary? I really don’t think so. Mccain will win Louisiana by 15 points and Kennedy will kick lil mary out by 53/47. This will be because she will spend all of her time defending barack curious george mcgovern’s postions on gay “marriage” abortion and no drilling.


14 posted on 06/02/2008 5:26:53 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatives live in the truth. Liberals live in lies.)
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

Louisiana has voted for the winning candidate in the past nine presidential elections.

Louisiana (Rasmussen)
McCain 50%
Obama 41%

Favorable rating
McCain 55%
Obama 45%
15 posted on 06/02/2008 10:01:29 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Red Steel

Polls are for strippers and Democrats, but I would think that Louisiana would be pretty safe anyway.

I’d be more interested in watching the senate race to take out the RAT Landrieu.


16 posted on 06/02/2008 7:01:48 PM PDT by MNReaganite (Bobby Jindal for President)
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