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Afgan Insurgents ' On Brink Of Defeat'
The Telegraph (UK) ^ | 6-1-2008 | Thomas Harding

Posted on 06/01/2008 4:24:47 PM PDT by blam

Afghan insurgents 'on brink of defeat'

By Thomas Harding in Lashkar Gah
Last Updated: 10:31PM BST 01/06/2008

Missions by special forces and air strikes by unmanned drones have "decapitated" the Taliban and brought the war in Afghanistan to a "tipping point", the commander of British forces has said.

A member of 2 Scots acquires a personal escort as he patrols the town of Lashkar Gah, in Helmand province

The new "precise, surgical" tactics have killed scores of insurgent leaders and made it extremely difficult for Pakistan-based Taliban leaders to prosecute the campaign, according to Brig Mark Carleton-Smith.

In the past two years an estimated 7,000 Taliban have been killed, the majority in southern and eastern Afghanistan. But it is the "very effective targeted decapitation operations" that have removed "several echelons of commanders".

This in turn has left the insurgents on the brink of defeat, the head of Task Force Helmand said.

"The Taliban are much weaker," he said from 16 Air Assault Brigade headquarters in Lashkar Gah.

"The tide is clearly ebbing not flowing for them. Their chain of command is disrupted and they are short of weapons and ammunition."

Last year's killing of Mullah Dadullah, the Taliban chief, most likely by the Special Boat Service, was "a seminal moment in dislocating" their operation in southern Afghanistan, said Brig Carleton-Smith, 44, who has extensive operational experience in Afghanistan and Iraq and has commanded elite Army troops.

"We have seen increasing fissures of stress through the whole organisation that has led to internecine and fratricidal strife between competing groups."

Taliban fighters are apparently becoming increasingly unpopular in Helmand, where they are reliant on the local population for food and water.

They have also been subjected to strikes by the RAF's American-made Reaper unmanned aerial vehicle and the guided Royal Artillery missile system, which have both proved a major battlefield success.

"I can therefore judge the Taliban insurgency a failure at the moment," said Brig Carleton-Smith. "We have reached the tipping point."

The task is now to regenerate the economy to win over the civilian population of Helmand, the base for 8,000 British soldiers.

Lashkar Gah, the provincial capital, appears to be a town on the cusp of an economic boom if security remains stable.

A new airport will be ready by the end of this year and a packaging factory by the end of next year.

This could enable the soil-rich "fruit basket of Afghanistan" to export its food.

Alternative crops, such as wheat or rape, could prove a greater attraction than Helmand's massive opium trade, especially as international prices continue to rise.

Much of the Taliban operation is run by Mullah Omar and to a lesser extent al-Qa'eda from their headquarters in Quetta, across the border in Pakistan.

The ability of what is known as the Quetta Shura leadership had been "hugely reduced" and its influence "increasingly marginalised", the brigadier said. Michael Ryder, the senior Foreign Office official in Helmand, agreed that intelligence assessments suggested that the Taliban had become "fractured and fragmented".

"There's a lot of suspicion from southern Taliban commanders of the agenda of Quetta Shura," he said, with the leaders trying to draw in an estimated £20 million a year from the opium trade.

The number of Afghans involved in the insurgency has also fallen, with increasing numbers of Pakistanis, Chechens, Uzbeks and Arabs found dead on the battlefield.

However, with the shortage of helicopters still a problem, most movement is by road and Brig Carleton-Smith warned that British forces must prepare for an increasingly Iraq-style insurgency as the Taliban modified its tactics from pitched battles to ambushes and roadside bombs.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: afghan; afghanistan; brink; defeat; gwot; oef; taliban; taqliban

1 posted on 06/01/2008 4:24:47 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Give them the final kick into the gut.


2 posted on 06/01/2008 4:27:51 PM PDT by SolidWood (Refusal to vote for McCain is active support of Obama. Period.)
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To: blam

It’s unfortunate to contemplate, but the kids accompanying that soldier in the photo would probably turn on him in an instant if he inadvertently said something that offended muslims. That’s just the way of things: islam will not be reconciled.


3 posted on 06/01/2008 4:32:11 PM PDT by snarks_when_bored
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To: SolidWood

what?- According to the left we are losing Afghanistan. **eyes roll***


4 posted on 06/01/2008 4:36:33 PM PDT by Perdogg (Four years of Carter gave us 29 years of Iran; What will Hilabama give us?)
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To: blam

This is great news. But never forget that there are plenty of people ready to utinate on the war there.

From Speigel Online...

(http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,556304,00.html}

“Why NATO Troops Can’t Deliver Peace in Afghanistan

By Ullrich Fichtner

Forty nations are embroiled in an unwinnable war in Afghanistan.”


5 posted on 06/01/2008 4:39:08 PM PDT by navyguy (Some days you are the pigeon, some days you are the statue.)
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To: blam

Al Qaeda’s “Spring Offensive” didn’t amount to much, now did it?!


6 posted on 06/01/2008 4:41:14 PM PDT by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: blam

Given the piss poor job the Brits did in Bashra, how can we believe they are doing any better in Afganistan?


7 posted on 06/01/2008 4:48:45 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . The Bitcons will elect a Democrat by default)
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To: bert

That’s why the Marines are now in Helmand and kicking some tail.


8 posted on 06/01/2008 5:00:02 PM PDT by Recon Dad (Marsoc Dad)
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To: bert

Because the British soldiers there have a lot more political support than they did in Basra. When it became abundently clear that the Iraq war was very unpopular with the British public, the British government’s aims were pretty much to avoid casualties at the expense of everything else.
In Afghanistan, where the war is seen as a just one, sensitivity to casualties is arguably not as strong, and the political will to do what it takes to get the job done exists....


9 posted on 06/01/2008 5:00:36 PM PDT by thundrey
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To: blam
Darn the luck! Obama was going to pull the troops out of Iraq so he could ramp up and win the losing effort in Afghanistan, where the real terrorists are.

Now we've gone and upstaged him by winning in Afghanistan before he's had a chance to be a Democrat hero.

He's had a bad week.

He better hope that Bush doesn't go and find bin Laden and bomb Iran before he becomes President - or Michelle will think America is really really mean.....

10 posted on 06/01/2008 5:25:13 PM PDT by HardStarboard (Take No Prisoners - We're Out Of Qurans)
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To: blam

“The number of Afghans involved in the insurgency has also fallen, with increasing numbers of Pakistanis, Chechens, Uzbeks and Arabs found dead on the battlefield.”

It the Germans that have made the difference...


11 posted on 06/01/2008 5:25:29 PM PDT by snoringbear ('Just so to get the terminology correct; it goes like this; the federal government is the Pimp, the)
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To: blam

...

Gadzooks! I always... get those above two mixed up!

12 posted on 06/01/2008 6:45:29 PM PDT by Bender2 ("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
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To: snoringbear

Germans haven’t done anything.


13 posted on 06/01/2008 7:57:30 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: navyguy

I can’t give less damn about what a German leftist writes.


14 posted on 06/01/2008 11:53:20 PM PDT by SolidWood (Refusal to vote for McCain is active support of Obama. Period.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
“It the Germans that have made the difference...”

“Germans haven’t done anything.”

Hmm, didn't realize that my sarcastic humor was so subtle :)

15 posted on 06/02/2008 5:07:29 AM PDT by snoringbear ('Just so to get the terminology correct; it goes like this; the federal government is the Pimp, the)
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To: SolidWood

Me neither. Fortunately, neither does anyone else on this site.


16 posted on 06/02/2008 1:46:05 PM PDT by navyguy (Some days you are the pigeon, some days you are the statue.)
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