Posted on 05/29/2008 9:49:18 AM PDT by MplsSteve
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0938 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2008
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
WESTERN IOWA EASTERN HALF OF NEBRASKA FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
ELSEWHERE...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK FROM WESTERN KANSAS TO SOUTHERN WI.
VERY WARM...MOIST AND BUOYANT AIRMASS IS SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS NORTHWARD SURGE IN INSTABILITY WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ORGANIZED...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY REGION.
MID-HIGH LEVEL JET STREAM WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ENHANCING THE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE...ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN IOWA.
IN ADDITION...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS COULD ALSO ACCOMPANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS ACTIVITY SPREADS TOWARD SRN WI.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
(Excerpt) Read more at spc.noaa.gov ...
Keep an eye on the skies and listen to the radio. Could be a rough day today.
Stay safe everyone!
Public weather must be more important than private weather.
Prayers going up for all those in the affected areas!!! Be careful out there!!!
Got my weather radio on and my eye on the radar here in central Iowa!
Sounds like we’re gonna have fun tonight!!
This pattern is getting old fast . . . S.C.KS.
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95 MEMBERS AND GROWING...!
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We’re heading to Mt. Rushmore tomorrow!
Well I’ll certainly be paying attention. I read Soucheray’s column yesterday. He was discussing how little he knew about tornadoes and how they can just burst on the scene.
Funny how I’ve reached the same conclusion at the same time as he did. I always assumed we could see anything that was approaching.
P.S., Did you read about the man in Hugo who was outside when the hurricane approached? He couldn’t get back into his house or garage, and hung onto a small section of wall. It was about the only piece of his home not touched. Incredible.
Should be ok in that area tomorrow.... I think. I think most of it will be over on top of us or even further east by then.
Nebraska?
no-o-o- I’m just getting started on repairs from Memorial weekend storms - 4th hail damage repair in as many years - ugh. St. Michael is “Hail Alley”
I think the Twin Cities are gonna be OK. Any severe weather should be down near Albert Lea, Mankato and Worthington.
But then again, I’ll knock on wood (my skull) and hope the forecast holds up.
My fingers are crossed!
Watches have started going up. Eastern Colorado/Wyoming all the way into Eastern Nebraska.
Damn this is getting old, we’ve been in the weather box more this year than ever.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 386
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHERN KANSAS
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ONEILL NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELL KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...WW 385...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ACROSS WATCH
AREA REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON. STRONG SHEAR AND MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG
SUPPORT TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL WITH ANY SUPERCELL. POTENTIAL
FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
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