Posted on 05/10/2008 12:54:35 PM PDT by Red Steel
WASHINGTON -- Although Democrats are tangled in a fractious primary contest, both Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama probably would win the White House against presumptive GOP nominee John McCain if the election were held now
-snip-
In a hypothetical matchup, the poll gave Illinois Sen. Obama 46% to McCain's 40%, with 9% undecided.
Clinton led McCain 47% to 38%, with 11% undecided. The nationwide poll, conducted May 1 through Thursday and released Friday, had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
-snip-
The poll was based on telephone interviews with 2,208 adults nationwide -- 1,986 of them registered voters
-snip-
It now appears all but inevitable that Obama will be the Democratic nominee, though Clinton continues to campaign aggressively ahead of the final six primaries.
The poll offered fresh insights for Democrats weighing which candidate, Obama or Clinton, would have the best chance against McCain in the fall.
For example, among voters 65 and older, Clinton and McCain were essentially tied; but McCain led Obama 47% to 41%.
Among people ages 18 to 44, Obama led McCain 55% to 35%. Clinton led McCain 48% to 35%.
African Americans would vote overwhelmingly for Obama, the first black candidate with a realistic chance of becoming president. In the poll, he carried 79% of African Americans, with 3% supporting McCain.
In a matchup with Clinton, McCain's share of the African American vote rose to 9%,
-snip-
Clinton had 60% of the African American vote; 23% of respondents in this cornerstone Democratic constituency said they were undecided.
Among baby boomers -- the giant post-World War II generation that will begin to reach retirement age in the next president's term -- both Democrats edged out McCain: Clinton 47% to 39%, Obama 45% to 37%.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
The LA Times is still in business? And all this time I thought Variety was the paper of record for Los Angeles.
They need to put some ICE on the dem voter registration.
New Math?
Majority Now Favors Recall; Schwarzenegger Leads Rivals (LA Times Poll)
LA Times ^ | 10-01-03 | Michael Finnegan
Posted on Wednesday, October 01, 2003 1:48:48 AM by veronicaBy 56% to 42%, likely voters support ousting the Democratic incumbent, a sign that Davis has lost ground in the closing phase of his battle for political survival.--SNIP-- The Republican actor is favored by 40% of likely voters, followed by Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, a Democrat, with 32%, and state Sen. Tom McClintock (R-Thousand Oaks) with 15%.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Sorry about that. It seems I was looking at an August poll and in checking back now see it wasn’t even an LAT one. My bad.
It is hard for McCain to get anything going at the moment, Obamao and Hilde are consuming all of the oxygen in the room.
Mad John needs to nail down his appeal to the White Working Class and swing them into his camp, and energize them, that is the 18-44 demographic that he should win but is losing badly to both of these yahoos...
If I had a dime for every poll that’s been used to create news, I’d be . . . a rich white woman. An older rich white woman.
Barack don’t say “White Woman,” he say “White Folk.” I am not a Folk. I’m not all ‘white’ either. Lots of tan, some red. Never saw a white person unless he was wearing a robe with a pointy hat. Is that what ol’ Barack is referrin’ to when he says “White Folk?”
You think? I think! (Therefore I am a Conservative.)
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
I haven’t trusted a thing Pravda on the Pacific has stated in the last thirty years.
In 2004 when I was wrangling votes for GWB, 18-44 was the audience that would both register and vote for him, some 9 people in that audience would.
Mad John is not drawing the same sort of response this time around.
And if you want to decrease the 'Yute vote' even more on November 5th, sponsor beer-keg parties the night before and on election day at colleges and universities throughout the U.S. ;-)
No problem.
Even polls of registered voters are worth about as much as the same quantity of toilet tissue. What counts is the opinion of likely voters, and the pollsters' special sauce that manipulates the R/D/I distribution of those sampled in order to please whoever paid for the poll.
-ccm
The LAT is also just as strong an arm of the Democrat party as the NYT.
What other story can you expect from this liberal paper with a circulation of 99 thousand.
“It is hard for McCain to get anything going at the moment, Obamao and Hilde are consuming all of the oxygen in the room.”
That’s undoubtedly part of it, which is why I’m not sure Operation Chaos will benefit McCain in the long run. A percentage of voters vote for the name they’ve most recently heard, and McCain is hardly getting noticed. When he does get noticed the MSM will make sure it is unfavorably, and McCain won’t have a lot of money to respond.
The eventual Dem nominee will get a nomination bump too. After that fuss cools down, we can start getting a real feel for the mood of the electorate.
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