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Does Clinton want Obama to lose?
The New Republic ^ | 03/24/08 | Jonathan Chait

Posted on 03/25/2008 8:48:48 AM PDT by CondiRice08

Last week, the Atlantic's Matthew Yglesias suggested that Hillary Clinton may want Barack Obama to lose the general election. The Washington Monthly's Kevin Drum, an Obama supporter who often defends Clinton, replies, "she's not rooting for John McCain and she's not secretly plotting Barack Obama's downfall."

Who's right?

Obviously, it's impossible to know for sure either way, since it's a question of motive. I think Clinton's political interests clearly militate toward a harsh campaign against Obama. Her only chance of winning is to disqualify him as a general election candidate, giving the superdelegates no chance but to contravene the elected delegates, which they are otherwise reluctant to do. This also serves her interests because if Obama loses, she would be the front-runner in 2012. (Drum asserts, "It's either 2008 or nothing for Hillary," but he doesn't say why, and the assertion seems wrong on it's face -- she won't be too old in 2012, her Democratic fanbase wil remain intact, and her interest in the presidency will presumably be undiminished.)

Now, is Clinton actively thinking along these lines? Like I said, you can't know. Even if she's thinking in selfless terms, I'm not certain she would regard a John McCain victory over Obama as a total disaster. Senators tend to be very clubby and place enormous weight on paying dues. Clinton is said to consider Obama unworthy of the presidency, and indeed has said that McCain is ready to be commander-in-chief and he is not. She may not think a McCain presidency would be much worse for the country than an Obama presidency. I definitely suspect her chief strategist, Mark Penn, would prefer a McCain presidency. Penn is right-of-center on foreign policy and economics. His loyalty to liberalism is extremely tenuous.

But this is speculation. An easier question to answer is, How much does Clinton value her own interests versus those of the Democratic Party? And here the answer is very clear: Clinton is acting as if she doesn't care about the Democratic Party's interests at all, except insofar as they coincide with her own. Her continued campaign is significantly damaging Obama's general election prospects, and this would perhaps be defensible if she had a strong chance at the nomination, but she doesn't. As Politico recently reported, "One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives."

To inflict serious damage on the likely nominee in order to pursue a one-in-ten chance of securing the nomination is, ipso facto, an act of extreme selfishness. Whether she sees the damage to Obama's prospects as a feature or a bug is interesting but beside the point.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; chait; hillary; obama
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The Clintons were probably the worst fate to ever befall the rats. They lost the senate, house and governorships and state legislatures across the country under Bill Clinton. Also if she couldn't care less about her party, imagine what she'd do with this country if she [shudder] should become president.
1 posted on 03/25/2008 8:48:48 AM PDT by CondiRice08
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To: CondiRice08

THE DAMAGE DONE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY by Bill Clinton was the worst experienced under any incumbent president since Grover Cleveland. Here are some of the stats:

- GOP seats gained in House after Clinton became president: 48

- GOP seats gained in Senate after Clinton became president: 8

- GOP governorships gained after Clinton became president: 11

- GOP state legislative seats gained since Clinton became president: 1,254 as of 1998

- State legislatures taken over by GOP after Clinton became president: 9

- Democrat officeholders who became Republicans since Clinton became president: 439 as of 1998

- Republican officeholders who became Democrats: 3


2 posted on 03/25/2008 8:53:15 AM PDT by digger48 (http://prorev.com/legacy.htm)
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To: CondiRice08

If Obama is the nominee, clinton will sabotage him. No way she waits 8 years to run again.


3 posted on 03/25/2008 8:53:58 AM PDT by icwhatudo
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To: CondiRice08
Sometimes I think the Clinton's are like Anakin Skywalker -- he became Darth Vader and worked to promote the dark side for many years, but in the end, it was only through his actions that the Sith Lord was destroyed.

The Clintons are bad people. Perhaps in the end it is only they who will remove the scales from the eyes of America and help the sheeple to turn away from Liberal Fascism.

4 posted on 03/25/2008 8:55:53 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy
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To: digger48

” Republican officeholders who became Democrats: 3”

Unfortunately, one of those is Mccain.


5 posted on 03/25/2008 8:57:05 AM PDT by wilco200 (Typical White Person)
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To: CondiRice08
I was rooting for hillary to be the nominee. I still believe that our liberal McCain would beat her, but McCain actually leads Obama by greater margins in PA and Ohio than he does hillary.
Anyway the economy will be ok on election day. Gas prices will fall a bit, and the tax rebate checks will have a short term stimulus on the economy. And we're winning in Iraq. Obama’s past is catching up with him big time, he's a fading rock star hoping to cut it on the oldies circuit.
And a McCain win is the only way hillary can ever hope to be president. So she'll definitely sabotage Obama’s campaign.
6 posted on 03/25/2008 8:57:59 AM PDT by mainerforglobalwarming
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To: icwhatudo

The Democrats do not like their “losers” to run again. Gore and Kerry were not the “annointed” frontrunners for the 2008 election. She will lose all of her power after this cycle.


7 posted on 03/25/2008 8:59:02 AM PDT by LetsRok
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To: icwhatudo

Some people are wondering why the Republicans are keeping their powder dry attacking Obama. The answer is that Hillary is doing an OK job right now on that front. Personally I think Obama will start faltering when it sinks in to most people his church/pastor problem and the fact that someone who’s name is Hussein might become president. Hillary will likely win the nomination and then the battle will begin.
But if Obama wins the nomination there will emerge groups who will make the Swift Boaters look like choir boys, then things are going to get real ugly real quickly.


8 posted on 03/25/2008 8:59:14 AM PDT by TrebleRebel
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To: icwhatudo
If Obama is the nominee, clinton will sabotage him. No way she waits 8 years to run again.

If Obama becomes President, there is no way Clinton could wait 8 years. To do so would require her beating Obama's VP in the primary. That is a tough prospect, unless his administration is just a total disaster the last 4 years, in which case she could do it, but beating the GOP nominee would be even tougher.

She needs Obama to lose to McCain. Period.

There are 3 available scenarios to Hillary. Sabatoge Obama so McCain wins, she runs in 4 years.

Steal the nomination at the convention.

Accept the VP spot and have Obama whacked.

9 posted on 03/25/2008 9:01:20 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: CondiRice08
Her continued campaign is significantly damaging Obama's general election prospects

The sense of entitlement among Obama supporters is breathtaking. The man is so insubstantial it is laughable.

10 posted on 03/25/2008 9:06:20 AM PDT by montag813
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To: CondiRice08

Is this guy Catholic?

11 posted on 03/25/2008 9:08:25 AM PDT by xp38
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To: CondiRice08
I agree with the notion that 2008 represents Hillary Clinton's only real chance to win the White House. This is an ideal election year for a Democratic candidate to win (mainly because the current GOP administration is on its last legs and because John McCain is a miserable candidate), and history doesn't bode well for candidates on the national stage who lose during previous primary or general elections (note how thoroughly Walter Mondale was trounced in 1984 after losing on the Carter ticket in 1980, and how Joe Lieberman was generating Sharpton-like numbers in the 2004 Democratic primaries after losing as Gore's running mate in 2000).

For some reason I find myself wondering if the stars are lining up perfectly for Mitt Romney to be the ideal presidential candidate in 2012 -- regardless of who wins this year.

12 posted on 03/25/2008 9:10:36 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (I'm out on the outskirts of nowhere . . . with ghosts on my trail, chasing me there.)
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To: ClearCase_guy
Sometimes I think the Clinton's are like Anakin Skywalker --

Similarly, I see Barak Obama as Spock, (from Star Trek) -- ashamed of his earth (white) mother.

13 posted on 03/25/2008 9:11:02 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: sportutegrl

And there are the ears, as well ...


14 posted on 03/25/2008 9:12:53 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy
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To: CondiRice08
Clinton is acting as if she doesn't care about the Democratic Party's interests at all, except insofar as they coincide with her own

Damn, these liberals learn slowly.

15 posted on 03/25/2008 9:13:20 AM PDT by T. Buzzard Trueblood ("a wee bit silly." -Lord Trimble on Hillary Clinton's claim of foreign policy "experience".)
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To: CondiRice08
The Clintons were probably the worst fate to ever befall the rats.

And still better than Obama. Says a lot about the state of the Party.

In addition, dems now are into conspiracy theories big time... with Clintons deemed omnipotent no less!
16 posted on 03/25/2008 9:24:58 AM PDT by alecqss
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To: wilco200

McCain may have become a “democrat”, but he still supports our troops and our mission in Iraq.


17 posted on 03/25/2008 9:25:01 AM PDT by LottieDah (Democrats and liberals never fail to disappoint.)
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To: Phantom Lord
Accept the VP spot and have Obama whacked.

I find that comment repulsive, ignoble, and shocking. However, I have no problem believing it could be a plausible outcome. Is that not an amazing thing? Name another recent political figure about which the same could be said with little or no argument from vast number of the American populace. John Gotti? Pol Pot? Chavez?

Astounding!!!

18 posted on 03/25/2008 9:26:25 AM PDT by jimmyray
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To: ClearCase_guy
And there are the ears, as well ...

And with still pervasive theory that if we only kiss him passionately enough, he will become a prince.
19 posted on 03/25/2008 9:27:55 AM PDT by alecqss
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To: jimmyray

Someone else said several months ago that an Obama/Clinton administration would be the first one where the secret service had to protect the President from the Vice President.


20 posted on 03/25/2008 9:28:12 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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