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Lake Mead Could Dry Up by 2021
LiveScience.com on Yahoo ^ | 2/12/08 | Andrea Thompson

Posted on 02/12/2008 2:59:01 PM PST by NormsRevenge

Lake Mead, a key source of water for millions of people in the southwestern United States, could go dry by 2021, a new study finds.

The study concludes that natural forces such as evaporation, changes wrought by global warming and the increasing demand from the booming Southwest population are creating a deficit from this part of the Colorado River system.

Along with Lake Powell, which is on the border between Arizona and Utah, Lake Mead supplies roughly 8 million people in the cities of Las Vegas, Los Angeles, and San Diego, among others, with critical water supplies.

The system is currently only at half capacity thanks to a recent string of dry years, researchers say.

The study’s findings indicated that there is a 10 percent chance that Lake Mead could be dry by 2014 and a 50 percent chance that reservoir levels will drop too low to allow hydroelectric power generation by 2017. There is a 50 percent chance the lake will go dry by 2021, the study says.

Researchers say that even if water agencies follow their current drought contingency plans, those measures might not be enough to counter natural forces, especially if the region enters a period of sustained drought or if human-induced climate changes occur as currently predicted.

"We were stunned at the magnitude of the problem and how fast it was coming at us," said study coauthor Tim Barnett of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography of the University of California at San Diego. "Make no mistake, this water problem is not a scientific abstraction, but rather one that will impact each and every one of us that live in the Southwest."

Several studies in recent years have predicted a prolonged period of drought in the Southwest as a result of global warming.

The team's analysis of Federal Bureau of Reclamation records of past water demand and calculations of scheduled water allocations and climate conditions indicate that the system could run dry even if mitigation measures now being proposed are implemented.

"It's likely to mean real changes to how we live and do business in this region," said coauthor David Pierce, a climate scientist at Scripps.

The new study has been accepted for publication in the journal Water Resources Research.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; US: Arizona; US: Utah; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: agw; coloradoriver; dryup; globalwarming; lakemead; water
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1 posted on 02/12/2008 2:59:06 PM PST by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge
We're all going to die.




Eventually at least.

2 posted on 02/12/2008 3:00:40 PM PST by mgstarr ("Some of us drink because we're not poets." Arthur (1981))
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To: NormsRevenge

Crapola at best.


3 posted on 02/12/2008 3:00:55 PM PST by Resolute Conservative
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To: NormsRevenge
Can you imagine? All the swimming pools in LA would have to go empty due to water rationing! The shame of it.
4 posted on 02/12/2008 3:00:57 PM PST by PeterFinn (A muslim in the White House would be an Obamination.)
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To: NormsRevenge

Please allow me to contribute to the effort.


5 posted on 02/12/2008 3:01:38 PM PST by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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To: Defendingliberty; WL-law; Normandy; TenthAmendmentChampion; Beowulf

Beam me to Planet Gore !

The Best Global Warming Videos on the Internet

WeatherQuestions
Roy Spencer, the Official Climatologist of the EIB Network

6 posted on 02/12/2008 3:02:31 PM PST by steelyourfaith
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To: mgstarr
When they mention "global warming" you don't need to read any further.

It is probably equally likely that Lake Mead will overflow its banks and flood southern Nevada.

:-)
7 posted on 02/12/2008 3:03:34 PM PST by cgbg (That heat you feel is not global warming. It is the wicked witch melting melting.)
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To: NormsRevenge

This could have been predicted earlier, what with Bees and Colony Collapse Disorder. When bees disappear, lakes consisting of honey wine disappear too.


8 posted on 02/12/2008 3:05:32 PM PST by C210N (The television has mounted the most serious assault on Republicanism since Das Kapital.)
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To: NormsRevenge

We are doomed, doomed, DOOMED!


9 posted on 02/12/2008 3:05:35 PM PST by HD1200
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To: NormsRevenge
Well, no lakes have ever dried up before, because it is only now that we have GLOBAL WARMING. I mean, the Great Salt Lake used to be called the Really Truely Awesome Salt Lake until it dried up. Now it is only sorta great. Everybody quit washing your cars and watering your lawns, take one shower a week and do it with a friend or two, pray for rain, and plan a picnic for every Saturday... there, I've solved the problem.
10 posted on 02/12/2008 3:05:37 PM PST by irishtenor (Check out my blog at http://boompa53.blogspot.com/)
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To: NormsRevenge

This is what happens when you build huge cities in a desert without their own water supplies. And then to suggest that it’s because of global warming.... absurd.


11 posted on 02/12/2008 3:06:08 PM PST by squidly
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To: NormsRevenge

...or maybe it won’t.


12 posted on 02/12/2008 3:06:35 PM PST by Dianna
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To: mgstarr

Dodo: If you weren’t smart enough to plan ahead, then doom on you.

Other Dodos: [chanting] Doom on you. Doom on you. Doom on you. Doom on. ...


13 posted on 02/12/2008 3:07:02 PM PST by HD1200
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To: squidly

Amen.

Building cities in deserts have more to do with drying up water supplies than any global warming scam.


14 posted on 02/12/2008 3:08:32 PM PST by perez24 (Dirty deeds, done dirt cheap.)
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To: NormsRevenge

Actually, we should not dismiss this as just another Global Warming scare. Instead, think of it as an article on water shortage in the Southwest that just happens to mention Global Warming in order to lend credence to itself.

The watershed for Arizona has been suffering from a real drought for several years. We really need more water to support the growing populations in the Southwest and instead, the available water is declining. There’s not much water in the Colorado River by the time it gets to Yuma Arizona.


15 posted on 02/12/2008 3:08:59 PM PST by the_Watchman
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To: NormsRevenge
The Americans did it! oh wait... Where's mah lake?
16 posted on 02/12/2008 3:09:06 PM PST by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: Dianna; NormsRevenge; xcamel

I notice they are (immediately!) dragging in global warming - of course, without any other justification or rational.

See, 1/2 of one degree change in 38 years just HAS to mean doom (and taxes) ....


17 posted on 02/12/2008 3:10:38 PM PST by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: NormsRevenge
...especially if the region enters a period of sustained drought or if human-induced climate changes occur as currently predicted.

And in other "What If" News:

If the oceans boil we're screwed.
If the moon crashes to earth you might not have time to get away.
If the sun goes super nova things will heat up.

18 posted on 02/12/2008 3:10:51 PM PST by randog (What the...?!)
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To: NormsRevenge

So the sea level is going to rise 27 feet and the lakes are going to dry up? Sounds like we better start digging canals pronto! ;-)


19 posted on 02/12/2008 3:14:57 PM PST by Normal4me
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To: NormsRevenge
in the 80’s the local news in Oklahoma (OKC) was informing okies that
the underground aquifer was being used up to support agriculture, and
predicted that the water will be too salty to use around 2014.
When the water is too salty, imo, the government will try to bring water
from lake superior, 1000mi. north. I think it is reasonable to start putting
restrictions on water across the U.S. right now.
sorry but 300,000,000 people are going to have kids.
20 posted on 02/12/2008 3:14:57 PM PST by machenation ("it can't happen here" Frank Zappa)
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