[Jim Robinson]

Maybe someone can post a table with the remaining states and how their delegates would have to split to keep McCain out.

Thanks

[hosepipe]

Thats a positive note.. an extreme longshot but positive..

I wonder how many registered republicans will vote for Hillary because shes a woman.. or will enact Universal Health Care or both.. or for Obama because hes black more or less.. You know the affirmative action President.. Affirmative action on crack..

True its time to start planning how to hijack the republican convention.. or if not hijack then derail it.. Because it appears the republican train is running wild.. or has a democrat engineer passed out drunk...

[Jim Robinson]

Woo hoo!!

Just announced on FOXNews:

Huckabee Wins KANSAS!!

[callisto]

Give me a few minutes to format the data and you will have your table.

[libh8er]

As it stands now, more and more conservatives are declaring their intentions to sit out the general

That would depend on who the opponent is. We don't always get what we want, but if Hillary is the nominee and conservatives still decide to sit it out because of a childish tantrum, it would be no less than an act of treason. They already did that once in 2006 and a fat lot of good that did us.

[Miss Didi]

And risk Huck actually becoming the nominee? I want him off the stage—now!

[don-o]

Nice try. But, you’re locking the barn door and the cows have done run off.

We did not get in this mess just off this election cycle. Like it or don’t, but our most recent Republican presidents have been far from conservatives of the brand that we hope for. The party has moved left and McCain is a good fit.

I already voted (for Mitt - Huckabee won Tennessee) and I do hope that a brokered convention might happen and someone besides McCain get the nod. If he does, may once again swallow the same spit as I have done several times in the past when voting

[Atchafalaya]

I voted for Fred here in Baton Rouge this AM.

[stockstrader]

The national political conventions are the pinnacle of energy and enthusiasm for a Party's nominee. The signs, balloons, confetti, the wild cheering and excitement help to 'fire up' the traditional base and other Party faithful for the fall campaign (for both parties).

Now I could be wrong here,,,but I just CANNOT imagine a wildly cheering, enthusiastic, energized and excited 'conservative base' cheering on the acceptance speech from John McCain. Heck, he might even get booed by some (unless the RNC closely screens the delegates closely).

[bigbob]

I think this is flawed logic. Failing to vote for McCain is the best way to put a Democrat in the White House. Every poll (not that they mean that much) says McCain is the one R who can beat Hillary or Obama. Read the article on Realclear politics by Robert McFarlane that ends with this:

“there is the cost of their extremist rhetoric to the Republican Party. As President Reagan once told me, “Going over the cliff, flags flying, is still going over the cliff.”

[callisto]

Here's the data to date. Give me a couple of minutes to analyze the breakdown of remaining delegates and I will add ot to the table with a table of remaining state primaries and respective delegate counts. Note: estimate is based off combined total.

TOTAL 1191 TO WIN - TOTAL OUTSTANDING 1035
CANDIDATE	# PLEDGED	# UNPLEDGED	COMBINED TOTAL	# NEEDED	% NEEDED
MCCAIN	697	17	714	477	46.10%
HUCKABEE	178	3	181	1010	97.58%
PAUL	16	0	16	1175	113.5%
ROMNEY	286	0	286	905	87.43%

[Def Conservative]

great thinking!

[johnthebaptistmoore]

It’s even more important to truly make sure that all conservative voters do turn out on November 4 to vote for truly conservative candidates for Congress all the way down to the most local levels of political office! Turnout truly needs to be heavy on the conservative side if we all don’t want long-term socialism to take over the U.S. soon!

[papasmurf]

Jim

That’s what I was trying to do with my posts for double teaming FRed and Mitt.

I thought, perhaps, it had crossed you somehow, and that’s why my posts we’re being “Reviewed” before being allowed to appear.

I fully support blocking McManiac, in any way, shape, or form.

[joe whit]

Some state by state organization required. As winner take all standard could help McCain with continued split vote. I don’t care who we pick as long as it’s one candidate. It seems to make sense for the Huckster. However with few options I’m certainly open.

[seekthetruth]

I need help with these questions.

Wouldn’t it be best to vote for Huckabee to let him take the delegates from McCain?

Do those candidates who left the race still receive delegates if the state isn’t a winner take all state?

Since Fred said to rally behind McCain because he is the presumed nominee mean Fred’s 8 delegates go to McCAin?

I am all for making McCain lose on the convention floor, it that is possible!

[NickFlooding]

Huckabee Takes Early Lead in Kansas GOP Caucuses

http://www.wibw.com/home/headlines/15478046.html

Huck 61%
McCain 24%
as of 2:43 PM

[deport]

The math says that McCain will be hard to stop. It's possible I guess but the remaining states would have to vote in an order such that McCain would be kept under the 492 delegates he currently needs to win. Not sure the combinations needed to do that as it would depend upon type of allocations in each state. Also the state party allocations usually go as unpledged so who knows how they'd voted, party line I'd guess.

Summary .

1274 delegates remaining before LA votes today. 1191 needed to win.

McCain .. 699 delegates .. Needs 492 [38% of remaining available]

Here's the running scoreboard to date and future events.....

Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary

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		Republican Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary Alphabetically by State   2,516 total delegates - 560 base at-large / 1,305 re: 435 congressional districts / 168 party / 483 bonus Pledged/Unpledged delegates: 1,798 pledged, 582 unpledged. Need to nominate: 1,191.
Rank	(sort) State	Romney, M (175)		Huckabee, M (179)		McCain, J (699)		(available) (1,274)		Uncommitted (20)		Paul, R (21)		Hunter, D (1)		Thompson, F (11)		Allocation
		(sort) Pl (118)	(sort) Unpl (57)	(sort) Pl (156)	(sort) Unpl (23)	(sort) Pl (683)	(sort) Unpl (16)	(sort) Pl (816)	(sort) Unpl (458)	(sort) Pl (20)	Unpl (0)	(sort) Pl (5)	(sort) Unpl (16)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (1)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (11)	(sort) Pl	(sort) Unpl	(sort) Total
1	Alabama			20		16		9	3									45	3	48
2	Alaska		12		6		3	0	3				5						29	29
3	American Samoa							6	3									6	3	9
4	Arizona					50			3									50	3	53
5	Arkansas	1		29		1			3									31	3	34
6	California	12				158			3									170	3	173
7	Colorado							0	46										46	46
8	Connecticut					27			3									27	3	30
9	Delaware					18			0									18		18
10	District of Columbia							16	3									16	3	19
11	Florida					57												57		57
12	Georgia			45		3		24	0									72		72
13	Guam							6	3									6	3	9
14	Hawaii							20	0									20		20
15	Idaho							26	6									26	6	32
16	Illinois	2				54		1	13									57	13	70
17	Indiana							27	30									27	30	57
18	Iowa		10		13		5		3				4				5		40	40
19	Kansas							36	3									36	3	39
20	Kentucky							45	0									45		45
21	Louisiana							20	27									20	27	47
22	Maine		10		1		4	0	3				3						21	21
23	Maryland							34	3									34	3	37
24	Massachusetts	22				18			3									40	3	43
25	Michigan			3		7			0	20								30		30
26	Minnesota							0	41										41	41
27	Mississippi							36	3									36	3	39
28	Missouri					58			0									58		58
29	Montana	25							0									25		25
30	Nebraska							30	3									30	3	33
31	Nevada		17		3		4		3				4				3		34	34
32	New Hampshire	4		1		7			0									12		12
33	New Jersey					52			0									52		52
34	New Mexico							29	3									29	3	32
35	New York					87			14									87	14	101
36	North Carolina							69	0									69		69
37	North Dakota	8		5		5			3			5						23	3	26
38	Northern Marianas							0	9										9	9
39	Ohio							0	88										88	88
40	Oklahoma			6		32			3									38	3	41
41	Oregon							27	3									27	3	30
42	Pennsylvania							0	74										74	74
43	Puerto Rico							20	3									20	3	23
44	Rhode Island							17	3									17	3	20
45	South Carolina			6		18			0									24		24
46	South Dakota							24	3									24	3	27
47	Tennessee	8		23		15		6	3									52	3	55
48	Texas							137	3									137	3	140
49	Utah	36							0									36		36
50	Vermont							17	0									17		17
51	Virgin Islands							6	3									6	3	9
52	Virginia							63	0									63		63
53	Washington							19	21									19	21	40
54	West Virginia			18				9	3									27	3	30
55	Wisconsin							37	3									37	3	40
56	Wyoming		8					0	2						1		3		14	14
Convention		118	57	156	23	683	16	816	458	20	0	5	16	0	1	0	11	1,798	582	2,380

 

Pl: Pledged or Bound Delegates.
Unpl: Unpledged or Not Bound Delegates

 

---

 

Last Modified: Sat Feb 9 14:31:34 CST 2008

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[Truth29]

I agree; gives ABM a whole new meaning - Anybody But McCain.

[sinclair]

I am proud to say I finally got a chance to vote for a real conservative today. Duncan Hunter! Didn't count for a damn thing but it sure felt good. Hopefully in the future I'll get another chance to do the same again. You know, like voting for Bobby Jindal for POtUS. Y'all give that some thought and see how it feels and maybe real soon you can be proud of your vote again.

[neverdem]

The GOP needs a brokered convention in 2008

Arise, Ye Favorite Sons