Replies

The math says that McCain will be hard to stop. It's possible I guess but the remaining states would have to vote in an order such that McCain would be kept under the 492 delegates he currently needs to win. Not sure the combinations needed to do that as it would depend upon type of allocations in each state. Also the state party allocations usually go as unpledged so who knows how they'd voted, party line I'd guess.

Summary .

1274 delegates remaining before LA votes today. 1191 needed to win.

McCain .. 699 delegates .. Needs 492 [38% of remaining available]

Here's the running scoreboard to date and future events.....

Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary

		Republican Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary Alphabetically by State 2,516 total delegates - 560 base at-large / 1,305 re: 435 congressional districts / 168 party / 483 bonus Pledged/Unpledged delegates: 1,798 pledged, 582 unpledged. Need to nominate: 1,191.
Rank	(sort) State	Romney, M (175)		Huckabee, M (179)		McCain, J (699)		(available) (1,274)		Uncommitted (20)		Paul, R (21)		Hunter, D (1)		Thompson, F (11)		Allocation
Rank	(sort) State	(sort) Pl (118)	(sort) Unpl (57)	(sort) Pl (156)	(sort) Unpl (23)	(sort) Pl (683)	(sort) Unpl (16)	(sort) Pl (816)	(sort) Unpl (458)	(sort) Pl (20)	Unpl (0)	(sort) Pl (5)	(sort) Unpl (16)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (1)	Pl (0)	(sort) Unpl (11)	(sort) Pl	(sort) Unpl	(sort) Total
1	Alabama			20		16		9	3									45	3	48
2	Alaska		12		6		3	0	3				5						29	29
3	American Samoa							6	3									6	3	9
4	Arizona					50			3									50	3	53
5	Arkansas	1		29		1			3									31	3	34
6	California	12				158			3									170	3	173
7	Colorado							0	46										46	46
8	Connecticut					27			3									27	3	30
9	Delaware					18			0									18		18
10	District of Columbia							16	3									16	3	19
11	Florida					57												57		57
12	Georgia			45		3		24	0									72		72
13	Guam							6	3									6	3	9
14	Hawaii							20	0									20		20
15	Idaho							26	6									26	6	32
16	Illinois	2				54		1	13									57	13	70
17	Indiana							27	30									27	30	57
18	Iowa		10		13		5		3				4				5		40	40
19	Kansas							36	3									36	3	39
20	Kentucky							45	0									45		45
21	Louisiana							20	27									20	27	47
22	Maine		10		1		4	0	3				3						21	21
23	Maryland							34	3									34	3	37
24	Massachusetts	22				18			3									40	3	43
25	Michigan			3		7			0	20								30		30
26	Minnesota							0	41										41	41
27	Mississippi							36	3									36	3	39
28	Missouri					58			0									58		58
29	Montana	25							0									25		25
30	Nebraska							30	3									30	3	33
31	Nevada		17		3		4		3				4				3		34	34
32	New Hampshire	4		1		7			0									12		12
33	New Jersey					52			0									52		52
34	New Mexico							29	3									29	3	32
35	New York					87			14									87	14	101
36	North Carolina							69	0									69		69
37	North Dakota	8		5		5			3			5						23	3	26
38	Northern Marianas							0	9										9	9
39	Ohio							0	88										88	88
40	Oklahoma			6		32			3									38	3	41
41	Oregon							27	3									27	3	30
42	Pennsylvania							0	74										74	74
43	Puerto Rico							20	3									20	3	23
44	Rhode Island							17	3									17	3	20
45	South Carolina			6		18			0									24		24
46	South Dakota							24	3									24	3	27
47	Tennessee	8		23		15		6	3									52	3	55
48	Texas							137	3									137	3	140
49	Utah	36							0									36		36
50	Vermont							17	0									17		17
51	Virgin Islands							6	3									6	3	9
52	Virginia							63	0									63		63
53	Washington							19	21									19	21	40
54	West Virginia			18				9	3									27	3	30
55	Wisconsin							37	3									37	3	40
56	Wyoming		8					0	2						1		3		14	14
Convention		118	57	156	23	683	16	816	458	20	0	5	16	0	1	0	11	1,798	582	2,380

Pl: Pledged or Bound Delegates.
Unpl: Unpledged or Not Bound Delegates

Last Modified: Sat Feb 9 14:31:34 CST 2008