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ARG Poll: Florida GOP Primary
ARG ^ | 1/25/08 | ARG

Posted on 01/25/2008 8:32:06 PM PST by Norman Bates

John McCain
31%

Mitt Romney
26%

Mike Huckabee
15%

Rudy Giuliani
14%

Ron Paul
3%

Alan Keyes
1%

Conducted Jan. 23-24
Sample: 600 LVs
MoE: ± 4%


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2008; fl2008; polls
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To: Norman Bates

Gotta see if this comes out right.
I assure you they took these polls off after I emailed them about it, and the underneath link is now broken.

Age

Gender

Race

Party

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Republican

Democrat

Independent

(Base)

(512)

(72)

(138)

(143)

(159)

(241)

(271)

(461)

(10)

(26)

(15)

(341)

(105)

(67)

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Romney

24.0

35.2

18.6

21.7

25.6

27.7

20.6

24.4

12.5

25.7

14.7

27.5

14.5

21.0

Giuliani

19.0

15.1

27.1

17.9

13.8

17.1

20.2

18.3

12.4

32.4

13.9

22.0

7.8

19.3

McCain

18.0

12.0

13.5

16.9

26.9

15.8

20.7

18.8

14.3

17.9

8.5

20.0

16.9

12.3

Huckabee

12.0

4.0

18.6

11.3

9.6

12.7

10.8

11.7

15.5

.0

28.8

12.7

7.4

13.4

Paul

7.0

6.3

8.7

11.4

3.2

8.4

6.5

7.6

19.8

.0

6.9

7.6

10.3

1.9

Other

5.0

.0

1.6

6.4

7.6

2.9

6.1

4.4

3.6

6.1

9.7

1.6

15.2

3.5

Undecided

15.0

27.3

11.9

14.4

13.3

15.4

15.0

14.8

22.0

17.9

17.4

8.6

28.0

28.6

Obviously, it’s only one poll. But, it holds little good information for McCain and much encouraging news for Romney. Very, very interesting.
1 posted on 01/23/2008 10:11:18 PM EST by Reaganesque
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To: Abbeville Conservative; ajay_kumar; americanophile; Austin1; bethtopaz; BlueAngel; ...
Mitt Ping!

Mitt Romney Ping List

• Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List •

2 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:03 PM EST by Reaganesque (Romney ...is manifestly the best candidate. - Ann Coulter [01/17/08])
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To: Reaganesque
Link to the rest of the poll’s internals.
3 posted on 01/23/2008 10:14:30 PM EST by Reaganesque (Romney ...is manifestly the best candidate. - Ann Coulter [01/17/08])
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To: Reaganesque


41 posted on 01/25/2008 9:14:55 PM PST by libbylu (Why vote for a democrat with an R next to his name? I'm a MITTen.)
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To: Norman Bates

ARG are the same pollsters who said Fred had 22% the night before SC. These guys suck!

My money, especially after last nights debate, McPain’s endorsement by the NYT and Bill’s floating of the story that Hill and Johnny are best buddies, is on Mitt!

Stick a fork in McCain! He’s done!


42 posted on 01/25/2008 9:16:51 PM PST by Anti-Hillary (Anyone but Hitlery)
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To: Norman Bates

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1958577/posts
the stats are in the second post.look at the republican row.

Mitt is up by 4 in a couple of polls, 7 isn’t that far off.


43 posted on 01/25/2008 9:17:18 PM PST by libbylu (Why vote for a democrat with an R next to his name? I'm a MITTen.)
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To: libbylu
Pollster.com does use ARG, and apparently partly as a result, it has McCain up by 3 in FL.


44 posted on 01/25/2008 9:18:02 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Norman Bates

Go no clear front runner.
Yay deadlock
Brokered convention Rah rah rah!
Discard the four liberal jokers and draw a new hand.


45 posted on 01/25/2008 9:21:13 PM PST by MrEdd (Heck is the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aren't going.)
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Good night, y’all. I away for now.


46 posted on 01/25/2008 9:24:23 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Norman Bates
Whoever designed his campaign strategy seriously miscalculated.

It wasn't his campaign strategy that has done him in, but his UBER-LIBERAL past, and the fact that he has very little core conservative values and principles.
47 posted on 01/25/2008 9:25:53 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: Norman Bates

“If Rudy backers sense he can’t make it, there may be a mass defection”

Why would they defect to the guy who couldn’t admit to saying he didnt know much about the economy????

I guess these retirees dont care about the destruction of the economy, eh?

Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!


48 posted on 01/25/2008 9:34:44 PM PST by WOSG (Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!)
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To: Norman Bates
Remember how off the polls were in NH for the Dem primary?

If Rudy doesn't win FL, my prediction is that he will do FAR better than is being prognosticated.

49 posted on 01/25/2008 9:35:11 PM PST by what's up
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To: Plutarch

The only GOOD news from the poll is that ARG is cr*P so who knows what is going on ...


50 posted on 01/25/2008 9:36:48 PM PST by WOSG (Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!)
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To: Norman Bates

This is going to be interesting.


51 posted on 01/25/2008 9:38:59 PM PST by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Plutarch

McCain lead by only 3 among the ‘in person’ voters.

The gender gap is bizarre.

That will help Romney big time when he goes up against Hillary.


52 posted on 01/25/2008 9:39:39 PM PST by WOSG (Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!)
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To: txflake
We can beat the Clinton machine with Romney.

I'm not so sure about that. Romney is definitely going to have to persuade the 2A folk and the social conservatives that he will represent them or they will stay home. His mormonism and its indemic racism will make him extremely vulnerable as well. He's going to have to do something about his political schizophrenia, and he is going to have to somehow hide his big business, finance company roots that can easily be associated with todays economic woes. It won't be a cakewalk.

He has demonstrated an ability to adapt his message, and it does appear that the party might be beginning to gravitate toward him, but like all the other republican contenders, he has a long row to hoe. The Clintons are serious major league, search and destroy politicians with a long history of success despite tremendous baggage. We must put our best guy against them, so we have to think long and hard about whether or not it is Romney.

53 posted on 01/25/2008 9:40:37 PM PST by LordBridey
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To: Plutarch

RCP latest insider advantage poll has McCain and Romney TIED at 23% each:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_republican_primary-260.html


54 posted on 01/25/2008 9:57:24 PM PST by WOSG (Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!)
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To: Norman Bates

Norman Bates: “Sounds like some former Fred backers might not have found a home yet.”

Conservatives without candidates. That, alas, is our fate.


55 posted on 01/25/2008 9:59:27 PM PST by CitizenUSA
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To: LordBridey

It’s taken a year ... the best guy is Mitt Romney.

1) Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!

2) Huck and Rudy have MAJOR baggage, Mitt Romney has a small valise. Huck and Rudy and would split the party with their deviations ... Mitt Romney has “reagan coalition” positions that are acceptable to all factions.

3) the other guys are out of the race

Ergo, IT’S MITT.


56 posted on 01/25/2008 10:00:16 PM PST by WOSG (Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!)
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To: Grunthor

Grunthor: “Yeah, lets all vote for Ted Kennedys’ favorite Republican.”

Did you really need to use the “K” word? Please try and refrain from vulgarity, OK?


57 posted on 01/25/2008 10:01:46 PM PST by CitizenUSA
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To: LordBridey

The Clintons will leave your Huckhead in the dust.

Come to the Mitt side. We have hair AND cookies.


58 posted on 01/25/2008 10:08:25 PM PST by txhurl (Yes there were WMDs /Romney/Guiliani '08 / Yes you will vote against Clinton)
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To: WOSG
Mitt Romney has “reagan coalition” positions that are acceptable to all factions.

I just saw a video in a gubernatorial debate about his strong stance to protect a wonman's right to choose. I wouldn't be too sure about all factions.

59 posted on 01/25/2008 10:12:16 PM PST by LordBridey
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To: txflake
We have hair AND cookies.

LOL

60 posted on 01/25/2008 10:16:07 PM PST by LordBridey
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