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ARG Poll: THOMPSON SURGES EIGHT POINTS IN TWO DAYS!!!
Vanity based on data from American Research Group ^ | 1/19/08 | Dangus

Posted on 01/19/2008 7:01:26 AM PST by dangus

Fred Thompson has surged EIGHT points in just two days, according to ARG, and is now within striking range of John McCain! In fact, among Republican voters, he is in a dead heat with McCain. However, according to the same poll, Mike Huckabee has surged TEN points in a single day, and now leads McCain by SEVEN points.

Candidate~~~poll of 1/16~~~1/18~~~Republicans of 1/18

Huckabee~~~23%~~~33%~~~37% Thompson~~~13%~~~21%~~~22% McCain~~~33%~~~26%~~~22% Romney~~~20%~~~9%~~~unreported Giuliani~~~4%~~~3%~~~unreported Paul~~~1%~~~2%~~~unreported Keyes~~~2%~~~1%~~~unreported Hunter~~~1%~~~1%~~~unreported

PEOPLE!!! If you have ever wondered whether pollsters flat-out lie, this should be proof. ARG's polls, (like Zogby, and sadly, the once gold-standard Gallup) have been complete nonsense all primary season long. This is nothing more than a desperate attempt to cover-up an unending barrage of obscene lies by last-minute changes, so ARG can claim that they were accurate in the future.

REMEMBER THESE LIES WHEN FLORIDA COMES!!!

Thompson is still a viable candidate!


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: fred; fredthompson; sc2008; southcarolina; thompson
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To: dangus
Fred Thompson has surged EIGHT points in just two days

Is this poll national or for SC?

21 posted on 01/19/2008 7:23:56 AM PST by Charles Henrickson (FRederalist)
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To: dangus

ARG polls are complete crap, in this case they are underestimating Fred’s surge. Go FRED go!


22 posted on 01/19/2008 7:25:26 AM PST by HerrBlucher (Fred will crush the beast and send her back through the gates of hell.)
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To: RatsDawg
If Fred beats McCain I think McCain would be finished. An endorsement for Fred would put him ahead of Huck from here on out. Maybe Fred can offer McCain the SecDef position.
23 posted on 01/19/2008 7:29:43 AM PST by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: #1CTYankee

High five for Dad!

Go, Fred!


24 posted on 01/19/2008 7:30:01 AM PST by mtbopfuyn (I think the border is kind of an artificial barrier - San Antonio councilwoman Patti Radle)
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To: dangus
This thread is no good without pictures.


25 posted on 01/19/2008 7:30:07 AM PST by Libloather (Do animals pollute the planet by exhaling, too?)
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To: cake_crumb

Fred has 21%. The 13% is the 1/16 poll. He has 22% of GOP voters.


26 posted on 01/19/2008 7:31:00 AM PST by dangus
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To: RatsDawg

It’s a hell of a lot better than McCain ahead!


27 posted on 01/19/2008 7:31:25 AM PST by dangus
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To: cake_crumb; dangus
I don’t understand the numbers.

Huckabee~~~23%~~~33%~~~37% Thompson~~~13%~~~21%~~~22% McCain~~~33%~~~26%~~~22% Romney~~~20%~~~9%~~~unreported Giuliani~~~4%~~~3%~~~unreported Paul~~~1%~~~2%~~~unreported Keyes~~~2%~~~1%~~~unreported Hunter~~~1%~~~1%~~~unreported

Me neither. Probably a kid with instant messenger syndrome.

28 posted on 01/19/2008 7:33:09 AM PST by Cobra64 (www.BulletBras.net)
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To: HerrBlucher

If Fred can finish in top 3 as long as it is within 8-10 points of winner, he is still viable. The MSM and especially MORNING JOE MORONS who proclaimed him ‘dead’ this morning will have to eat their words. It is interesting that the MSM have either given Fred no air time, or have been totally negative about him from the start of the primaries. Almost as if they know he is the true conservative in the race, and is the one candidate who could unite the social and fiscal conservatives. VAST MSM CONSPIRACY I say. All you folks in SC, vote for the man who has the best ideas, not the snake oil Huckabee, the open borders McCain, or the preppy East Coaster Romney. Fred is you man, and the time is now!


29 posted on 01/19/2008 7:33:26 AM PST by milwguy (........)
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To: dangus

Bump, baby!


30 posted on 01/19/2008 7:34:29 AM PST by Mr. Silverback (Fred, fry Huck and McCain like a squirrel in a popcorn popper!)
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To: Mr. Silverback

and bump once more! : )


31 posted on 01/19/2008 7:34:56 AM PST by xsmommy
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To: cake_crumb
Each of the percentages represents support over a three day period.

Jan. 16 at 13%

Jan. 17 at 21%

Jan. 18 at 22%.

32 posted on 01/19/2008 7:35:57 AM PST by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: dangus

“PEOPLE!!! If you have ever wondered whether pollsters flat-out lie, this should be proof. ARG’s polls, (like Zogby, and sadly, the once gold-standard Gallup) have been complete nonsense all primary season long.”

GOT TINFOIL?


33 posted on 01/19/2008 7:39:02 AM PST by GovernmentIsTheProblem (We are not to expect to be translated from despotism to liberty in a featherbed. - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: cake_crumb
Free Image Hosting at allyoucanupload.com
34 posted on 01/19/2008 7:45:17 AM PST by Plutarch
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To: GovernmentIsTheProblem

Do you REALLY think Huck gained SEVENTEEN points relative to McCain in two days?


35 posted on 01/19/2008 7:46:00 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

WOW, that is a lot. Good for FRed! Also note that McCain has dropped 7 percent (good), Romney has dropped 10 percent (not playing in SC — he’ll win NV), Huckabee went up 10 percent (looks like he’ll win in SC), and Giuliani is floundering another primary in low single digits.


36 posted on 01/19/2008 7:46:49 AM PST by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: Red_Devil 232

Sorry, not exactly.

1st: Jan 16th, all voters
2nd: Jan 18th, all voters
3rd: Jan 18th, GOP


37 posted on 01/19/2008 7:48:16 AM PST by dangus
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla
ARG has had some odd results, and these results (including Romney going down to Ron Paul land) are some of the weirdest I have ever seen.

Free Image Hosting at allyoucanupload.com

38 posted on 01/19/2008 7:50:02 AM PST by Plutarch
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To: cake_crumb
ARG's polls, (like Zogby, and sadly, the once gold-standard Gallup) have been complete nonsense all primary season long.

I think political polls have actually become much less accurate over the last several decades. At one time, when most families had a single publicly-listed land-line telephone, picking a random list of names with only a few controls would produce a representative sampling. Furthermore, there were only a few major polling organizations, so if Gallup called your house, most regarded it as a bit of an opportunity to take part in the civic process and were willing to take the time to provide honest answers.

Today, there are many ways to avoid telephone calls. Furthermore, most people are annoyed because polling in close elections is so frequent, and distrustful because a very large percentage of polls are actually campaign advertisements. The result is that people who have busy lives and the means and sophistication to use wireless or caller IDs probably never speak with pollsters. Random sampling is simply impossible, and the only way for pollsters to generate any meaningful numbers is to carefully normalize the weighting of each demographic group and subgroup according to a pre-definied model. The problem is that those models are fixed, and if there are any unusual factors present (e.g., a property tax issue on the ballot will cause homeowners to turn out, religious voters are strongly motivated by a particular candidate, there's no race in the democratic primary so indepdents will vote in the republican primary), the pollsters can only guess at how that will effect the final numbers.

39 posted on 01/19/2008 7:50:17 AM PST by CaptainMorgantown
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To: Libloather

She is HOT!!
Would love to see her as First Lady!


40 posted on 01/19/2008 7:50:25 AM PST by Mustng959
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