Posted on 01/16/2008 9:59:15 AM PST by dangus
In 2000, when scientists declared that the Earth's temperature was rising, much anxiety ensued, even though the increase was only half of a degree over sixty years. In just the past year, however, the Earth's temperature has reversed, yielding back one-half of that increase.
Last month, I wrote that the past month's (November's) global oceanic data from the National Climatic Data Center was .2548 degrees warmer than the 1880-2007 average. That was down from .5250 last year and .5597 roughly a decade ago.
Well, they have dropped even further. This past month's average reading, .2493 degrees above average, is the coolest this millennium, and the second coolest since 1996.
Here's some further explanation from my post last month:
"There have been drops of roughly a couple tenths of a degree previously, in spite of the general warming trend. But such drops, blamed on "La Ninas," have occured immediately following temperature spikes. What makes this current La Nina unusual is that the current temperature drop follows an imperceptibly small temperature spike.
"As a result, the cold snap is pulling down even the six-year running average of temperatures.
"This does not mean that the warming trend has necessarily reversed itself; there have, indeed been declines in running averages even longer than that during this decline. In fact, a cooling trend lasted from the 1940s through the 1970s.
"However, unable to justify drastic temperatures with fears of the temperature rising a single degree or less next century, the global-warming doomsday-preachers have been asserting that the surge in global warming in the late 1990s indicated an acceleration of global warming.
"The notion of such an acceleration seems difficult to reconcile with the new data: The world's oceans were warmer during warm spells of the 1940s."
BUT NOTE THIS:
Even if temperatures return to recent highs, and continue warming at the fastest decadal trend rate, the recent downturn will mark the biggest interruption in the temperature trends in several decades. (Precisely which decade depends on how you define trend lines.) This recent data is completely incompatible with any claims of an acceleration in global warming, as presumed by Al Gore, the UN-IPCC and other alarmists.
Heresy!!!
Climate Change... (I got the memo, it’s not ‘global warming’ anymore)
See??? Climate Change is real!!!!
This isn’t the Word of the Day thread but here is a word, a real word from the medical dictionary:
Main Entry: al·gor
Pronunciation: al-g()r
Function: noun
: a sensation of coldness : CHILL
Nothing to do with Algore of course. Nope, not even close. LOL
Algore: Oh noes!!!
Algore is deeply saddened.
¿La Niña?
It is all the Glaciers drom Greenland melting into the sea as well as the Larsen B ice shelf. Kinda like putting ice cubes into a gin and tonic. All we need are limes and we would be set. Also, don’t they have any floating parking lots to place thermometers on? That would yeild the results Saint Al and his Branch Algorians desire.
If you look at the air temp data from 2001 forward, there has been no warming, if anything slight cooling. Another inconvenient truth.
Read the 5th paragraph.
A reminder: Cooler water retains carbon dioxide in higher concentrations.
Will we soon hear of diminishing atmospheric CO2 levels?
See - Al Gore was right! Live Earth was a success!
We've started to reverse the trend - but much more work is needed.
Keep up the good work!
And keep those contributions rolling in!
Actually, any glacier ice melting into the sea would be WARMER than the sea it’s melting into, since the glacier ice is fresh water.
Any decrease in temperatures or change in opposition to the Global Warming (tm) brand Supposition always has a natural, Mother Earth-based explanation.
A small uptick in the “preferred” direction means there are too many Hummers, too much capitalistic success.
Just so I am clear.
Don’t confuse me with facts. Ice cubes are ice cubes.
My question: what will you write when the next year with a moderate-to-strong El Nino sets a new global high temperature record?
I'm as sure of that happening as I am sure that the Sun will rise tomorrow. There are only some extreme circumstances that could prevent either from occurring.
"The red line is the annual global-mean GISTEMP temperature record (though any other data set would do just as well), while the blue lines are 8-year trend lines - one for each 8-year period of data in the graph. What it shows is exactly what anyone should expect: the trends over such short periods are variable; sometimes small, sometimes large, sometimes negative - depending on which year you start with. The mean of all the 8 year trends is close to the long term trend (0.19ºC/decade), but the standard deviation is almost as large (0.17ºC/decade), implying that a trend would have to be either >0.5ºC/decade or much more negative (< -0.2ºC/decade) for it to obviously fall outside the distribution. Thus comparing short trends has very little power to distinguish between alternate expectations."
Another inconvenient truth.
Yep.
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