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Wyoming: The Mystery Caucus
www.gopublius.com ^ | January 4, 2008 | GOPublius

Posted on 01/04/2008 5:59:53 PM PST by americanophile

Did you know there’s another caucus before the New Hampshire primary? Yes, it’s Wyoming, and it’s Saturday, January 5. Though it’s raised the ire of the RNC, Wyoming is moving forward with its primary anyway in the hopes of playing an important, if less than decisive role, in selecting the GOP nominee.

To add to the mystery, no major media operation is covering the race, nor have they bothered to poll Wyomingites, so we are left to wonder who, if anyone, will win, and whether it will matter.

The buzz in Wyoming centers around two candidates - Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney, the only two major candidates who have visited the state, though the momentum generated by Thursday’s contest in Iowa could make Huckabee a competitor, and low turnout could even hand a surprising victory to the likes of Ron Paul.

John McCain remains the only westerner among the major candidates, but his campaign has made little effort in the state. Given these facts, and his surprise showing in Iowa, it looks as if Wyoming could be fertile ground for former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson. The folksy, gun-owning Senator could hit the right note with plain-spoken, independent Wyomingites.

Still, Mitt Romney’s organization skills should not be discounted, nor should the enthusiasm of his fellow Mormon parishioners, who comprise a significant minority and can count on organizational support from bordering Utah.

In all likelihood, Wyoming will make little difference to the national race, if for no other reason because it will take place on a weekend, but it’s true impact may be upon New Hampshire. If Romney wins, its suggests the beginning of a comeback that could carry over into New Hampshire. For Thompson, it could provide continuing hope for his devoted following and could keep him relevant while he waits for South Carolina and the southern primaries.

It’s anyone’s guess, but the smart money is probably on Thompson.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Wyoming
KEYWORDS: caucus; romney; thompson; wy2008; wyoming
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Fred's moment?
1 posted on 01/04/2008 6:00:00 PM PST by americanophile
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To: americanophile

Interesting. I did not know. Thanks for posting.


2 posted on 01/04/2008 6:03:02 PM PST by PGalt
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To: Pride in the USA; Stillwaters

A couple of things to keep track of this weekend:

The Wyoming caucus, which, oddly enough, may or may not get any mainstream media coverage.

Two back-to-back GOP debates:

Saturday, January 5 on ABC at 4PM PDT
Sunday, January 6 on Fox at 5PM PDT


3 posted on 01/04/2008 6:09:19 PM PST by lonevoice (It's always "Apologize to a Muslim Hour"...somewhere)
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To: americanophile

One would think a poor showing by John McCain would mean the people who know him the best (former Mexican Territory, Rocky Mountain State) would have some meaning to the enemedia, but it won’t. They will look at the Wyoming results as an opportunity to disqualify Fred Thompson or Mitt Romney, whoever finishs second, if they cover it at all.


4 posted on 01/04/2008 6:10:53 PM PST by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: americanophile

Duncan Hunter and his wife (who used to live in Wyoming) have been campaigning in Wyoming, too.


5 posted on 01/04/2008 6:12:10 PM PST by unspun (God save us from egos -- especially our own.)
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To: americanophile

I’d love to see Fred win this primary. I’ve been donating to his campaign and will give more if he gets some significant endorsements and places well in the next few primaries.


6 posted on 01/04/2008 6:12:21 PM PST by ChocChipCookie (Homeschool like your kids' lives depend on it.)
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To: Vigilanteman

Just saw this on Fred’s web site. Sorry to say I missed all of these appearances! Will have to look for the videos when they are available. Someone said Fred had a nice long interview with Wolf B. Anyone see them?

Here are three upcoming media appearances for Fred today:

Fred Thompson Live Interview on MSNBC with Norah O’Donnell at 3:30 pm ET
Fred Thompson Live Interview on Fox News’ Your World with Neil Cavuto at 4:00 pm ET
Fred Thompson interview on CNN’s The Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer between 4-5 pm ET


7 posted on 01/04/2008 6:13:19 PM PST by seekthetruth
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To: americanophile

Yea I’ve known Wyoming was Sat for a while, yet the media ignores it. Course it is just Wyoming in this area that nobody really cares about.

Then again it could be that Fred is doing well there and the media in their blackout of him don’t want to mention it.

Talked to someone at work today about Iowa caucuses and they had NO IDEA the Fred was running for president. Asked how he did and was suprised he placed third cause the media was saying Huckabee/Romney for first and second Rudy/McCain having poorer then expected showing.

Media outlets just skipped over that he came in third. Apparently Dodd and Biden dropping out was bigger news.


8 posted on 01/04/2008 6:13:52 PM PST by Domandred (Eagles soar, but unfortunately weasels never get sucked into jet engines)
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To: americanophile
Fred's moment?

Could be Fred big moment by winning Wyoming, but who would notice?

9 posted on 01/04/2008 6:17:29 PM PST by Popman ("We are going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." Hillary Clinton)
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To: Domandred

Fred just got the Wy RTL endorsement today!


10 posted on 01/04/2008 6:20:21 PM PST by Beagle8U (FreeRepublic -- One stop shopping ....... Its the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: americanophile

Romney’s a city slickster.


11 posted on 01/04/2008 6:39:47 PM PST by counterpunch (ABH - Anybody But Huckabee)
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To: americanophile
I continue to wonder why Duncan Hunter is not being pushed. Where the hell are all the tens of thousands of very wealthy Republicans and like minded independents from California in all this?
Are they all so corrupt and involved in all type of business deals to increase their personal wealth and the wealth of their companies, that they fear Hunter would be a threat?
Though I would support Fred Thompson in a pinch I sure would like to see more support start for Hunter. Let us have a true race between two real conservatives, both that most likely would carry on our quest in the GWOT, keep current allies together in this quest as well as make sure our military do not get short changed.
The poor widdle women who love to have tons of babies will always be with us. Why should we support them buying new boxes of high heel shoes.
We had better fear what the ex (?) muslim boy, the beast, or the pretty one that claimed Hanoi John would make the lame walk, the blind see if elected will end up doing to this country.
Wake up those that listen.
12 posted on 01/04/2008 6:42:06 PM PST by Marine_Uncle (Duncan Hunter for POTUS)
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To: Beagle8U

He got the National RTL endorsement last week!


13 posted on 01/04/2008 6:43:12 PM PST by Former Fetus
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To: americanophile

Probably not Fred’s moment. Since yesterday’s Iowa caucus, his dropout contract has risen by ~40 points, currently at 75% and leading the pack.

DROPOUT.JAN08.(F)THOMPSON
Fred Thompson to drop out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 31 Jan 2008 75.0

Huckabee has surged because he won a couple of debates and he’s got evangelical support. If a quick rise can happen to the liberal pro-life evangelical Huckster, it can happen to the conservative pro-life evangelical Hunter.

I do not know Duncan Hunter’s strategy. However, he may yet surprise us even before New Hampshire. Because he has campaigned in Wyoming, which has a race before New Hampshire, and no one else is campaigning there.

Wyoming to Hold Overlooked GOP Caucus Before New Hampshire
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1947693/posts

Then there’s New Hampshire. Hunter’s already there while everyone else wraps up in Iowa. It’s conceivable that he will have momentum.

Basically, it’s a wide open race, with the lead changing on a weekly basis. Might as well support the truest conservative, Hunter.


14 posted on 01/04/2008 7:24:35 PM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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To: unspun
Duncan Hunter and his wife (who used to live in Wyoming) have been campaigning in Wyoming, too.

The fact that both Wyoming and Hunter have been ignored by the MSM should create a natural affinity! Not to mention that Hunter's true-blue conservatism should have appeal out there. Go Hunter!

15 posted on 01/04/2008 7:30:16 PM PST by hellbender
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To: Beagle8U
WYOMING - Choose Fred.
He won’t disappoint you.
16 posted on 01/04/2008 7:32:47 PM PST by Route66 (America's Main Street - - - Fred D. Thompson / Consistent Conservative...The One with Gravitas)
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To: americanophile

bump


17 posted on 01/04/2008 7:34:14 PM PST by ShowMeMom (America: The home of the FREE because of the BRAVE.)
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To: americanophile

18 posted on 01/04/2008 7:40:59 PM PST by maine-iac7 (",,,but you can't fool all of the people all the time" LINCOLN)
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To: americanophile

GO WYOMING!! My favorite state where liberty still matters.


19 posted on 01/04/2008 8:24:37 PM PST by NaughtiusMaximus (A.D.D. , Me? . . . NO WAY! Hey, look at the chicken!)
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To: americanophile
Fred's moment?

Could be. I certainly can't see Wyoming voters going ga-ga over Huckabee. Since Fred is better on the 2nd amendment than Romney, that might help, too.

20 posted on 01/04/2008 8:45:42 PM PST by SuziQ
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