Fred Thompson Wants 'No Amnesty'

The Washington Post ^ | November 14, 2007 | Ed O'Keefe

[2ndDivisionVet]

It's a big day for political TV ads, and in the case of Fred Thompson, he's got great timing. On the same day Rudy Giuliani releases his first TV ad, and the day Gov. Eliot Spitzer (D-N.Y.) decides to withdraw his plan to give illegal immigrants access to driver's licenses, the former Tennessee senator releases a 30-second spot called, "No Amnesty." It starts airing across Iowa today.

[seekthetruth]

Fred’s ad is very good! I believe Fred will do much better in Iowa than the current polls show. In about 50 days we will know. :)

[BobS]

We cannot allow the election to be decided between a New York Mayor and a New York Senator for the rest of the country. I know all about NY and I’m not going back.

[daylilly]

I have to wonder what the poll question is. If they ask ‘If the election were held today who would you vote for?’ That could easily change between now and next week. Nothing seems like it is set in cement.

It seems there needs to be adjustments, and one of them for Fred is to start running campaign ads. We shall see.

[Eastbound]

I’ll study that and will weigh your endorsement.

[devere]

According to the betting site intrade.com Fred Thompson is gaining against Rudy, but he still ranks 6th in the GOP race, behind Giuliani(41.2%), Romney(31.5%), Paul(8.2%), McCain(7.5%), and Huckabee(7.3%). Thompson is rated by the bettors to have a 6.7% chance of becoming the Republican nominee.

[JRochelle]

“The Angel Moroni has all this written on
the Golden Plates in Reformed Egyptian.”

Drop that line and you have a great post.

[captnorb]

Sean Hannity......

[captnorb]

Right on...

[Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus]

Yeah, well, Fred's still a RINO who wants to sell us out to the illegal immigrants!

/typical Hunter supporter

[Blue Highway]

Sean Hannity......

I rest my case...

[gathersnomoss]

This alone goes a long way towards getting my vote.

[stephenjohnbanker]

Yep!

[Mr. Mojo]

President Bush and John McCaine were against “amnesty” as well.

Yup. Speaking out against amnesty has been SOP for all the amnesty proponents in the GOP.

[stephenjohnbanker]

Short and to the point.

[spectre]

How about Thompson/Hunter or like in the good ole days he picks someone else..say like Jeff Sessions :)

sw

[Kevmo]

Hunter’s criticism of Thompson over this issue is well aimed. We need someone in the white house who isn’t a johnny-come-lately on this issue.

Road to Des Moines Conversions on Immigration (Hunter Press release)
News Which Cannot Lose ^ | 10/25/07 | Duncan Hunter/staff
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1916889/posts

[Kevmo]

Well, it’s interesting to see someone else posting Intrade results.

It’s a wide open race, might as well back the most conservative man.

According to Polls, Fred Thompson Foundering
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1925179/posts

Here’s what I’ve been posting lately.

Here’s a recent poll showing Hunter at 4%.

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28889/republicans_2008_giuliani_28_thompson_19

Here’s an intrade link to the forum site discussing how Hunter might be gaining traction.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1797.page

Here’s one showing Fred at 6%, and discussing why.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page

One thing prediction markets are better at — their only bias is whether someone can make money trading the futures contracts.

The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets
The Liberty Papers ^ | November 8, 2007 | Brad Warbiany
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts

Posted on 11/08/2007 12:21:43 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum

Fred has lost ~30 points at Intrade over the last few weeks, looks like it’s stabilizing at ~6%.

Thompson Tanking in Futures Markets (Intrade, IEM)
Intrade; Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | October 31, 2008

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1919127/posts

The Dropout contract for Thompson has an ask price 2 points higher than last trade. There is no Dropout contract for Hunter.

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/

DROPOUT.DEC07.(F)THOMPSON
Fred Thompson to drop out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 31 Dec 2007 M 6.0 9.2 4.0 0 0

[Petronski]

Here’s one showing Fred at 6%, and discussing why.

Still a lie.

[Petronski]

Fred has lost ~30 points at Intrade over the last few weeks, looks like it’s stabilizing at ~6%.

Nope, still a lie. Not a percentage, just a futures price.

[Kevmo]

Oh, cool, it’s Petronski coming in and bumping the thread with his nonsense. Or was that her nonsense? We never did clear that up. I checked today and Fred was at 6%, with an upward looking trend to 6.5 or so.