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Thompson Tanking in Futures Markets (Intrade, IEM)
Intrade; Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | October 31, 2008

Posted on 10/31/2007 1:17:10 PM PDT by Plutarch

Thompson might still be hanging in there in national polls , but those trading money on the probability of Thompson becoming the nominee are increasingly bearish on his chances.

At one point, the probability of Thompson winning the GOP nomination was trading at 35% at Intrade . Over the last month his position has deteriorated, and in the last several days crumbled.

At Intrade Thompson is trading at 8.4%. At Iowa Electronic Markets 7.1%,

Free Image Hosting at allyoucanupload.com

The validity of future’s markets is sometimes questioned. No one was questioning them, however, when Fred was trading at 35% .


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: anklebiters; axisofdesperation; fred; fredthompson; gnats; hunterites; internetgambling; intrade; iowa; mittwits; polls; romneysleazemachine; thompson; tradesports
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To: skeeter

Negative press? Just going by the negative reactions I’m seeing by folk here and on other forums and blogs, but don’t ya know, he got into the race too late, (because apparently now presidential races are supposed to start 2 years before the election), he’s got no fire in his belly, he’s lazy, he’s got a trophy wife, he dated women while he was single, he’s too old, he talks too slowly, he nods his head too much, he’s an actor, he doesn’t make people pump their fists in the air and go “WOO-HOOO!” at his rallies, etc., etc., etc.


21 posted on 10/31/2007 1:40:33 PM PDT by Theresawithanh (FRED!)
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To: O6ret
But the man displays no energy, no forcefulness.

You're just repeating convenient but empty criticism fm the media & his opponents.

I could care less if the man can dance the quickstep - I want to know how he'll lead.

22 posted on 10/31/2007 1:41:14 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: skeeter

my policy interest is beating rudy


23 posted on 10/31/2007 1:41:20 PM PDT by ari-freedom (I am for traditional moral values, a strong national defense, and free markets.)
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To: Plutarch

hey !@ pissant is suppose to post these.

:)


24 posted on 10/31/2007 1:42:05 PM PDT by stylin19a
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To: All

After careful analysis, I think the most winnable ticket for the GOP would be, Romney/Thompson.


25 posted on 10/31/2007 1:48:02 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Plutarch

“Moseying” for the Presidency is not likely to work, even if he is the only conservative among the major contenders.


26 posted on 10/31/2007 1:48:37 PM PDT by vetsvette (Bring Him Back)
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To: stylin19a; pissant
hey !@ pissant is suppose to post these.

Verily, Pissant is The Dean of negative Thompson threads posters. I am honored even to be mentioned in the same post as he.

27 posted on 10/31/2007 1:50:25 PM PDT by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

“Gee, look at that, Romney is trading for 3.5 x that of Thompson. Things can certainly change!”

While Romney has staying power cause of money, I think he has little chance at getting the nomination because of the Mormon factor and especially the RINO factor. Sounds like it might be time to get out the wallet for a bet.


28 posted on 10/31/2007 1:53:58 PM PDT by FastCoyote
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To: Plutarch; stylin19a

Hey, I have been doing both Romniacs and Fred Heads a favor by exposing the Huckster as of late.


29 posted on 10/31/2007 1:54:21 PM PDT by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hunter not only “gets it”, he has got it since he stepped foot into the House in 1981


30 posted on 10/31/2007 1:58:56 PM PDT by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
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To: Plutarch

You know Ron Paul is poised to overtake him in NH?


31 posted on 10/31/2007 1:59:35 PM PDT by Canticle_of_Deborah (Romney Republican)
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To: pissant
Hey, I have been doing both Romniacs and Fred Heads a favor by exposing the Huckster as of late.

Your man Duncan is a good man. Too bad he never could get the necessary traction.

32 posted on 10/31/2007 1:59:53 PM PDT by Night Hides Not (Chuck Hagel makes Joe Biden look like a statesman!)
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To: Night Hides Not

He’s picking up alot of steam as we speak. He is gonna pull off the upset of the century.


33 posted on 10/31/2007 2:00:51 PM PDT by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
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To: Plutarch

The money hardly ever lies.


34 posted on 10/31/2007 2:02:44 PM PDT by italianquaker (Is there anything Ron Paul doesn't blame the USA for?)
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To: All

FYI

FT will be on MTP for the full hour Sunday!


35 posted on 10/31/2007 2:04:03 PM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: pissant
"He is gonna pull off the upset of the century."

IF he can, I am ALL for it. I would be happy with Hunter, Romney or Thompson.

I WILL vote for the Republican regardless of who it finally is.

36 posted on 10/31/2007 2:13:39 PM PDT by drc43 (Defeat is within our grasp... Nancy Pelosi)
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To: drc43

I will as well, with a couple of exceptions.


37 posted on 10/31/2007 2:14:50 PM PDT by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
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To: Night Hides Not

You know what would be nice is for Thompson to select him for VP so he gets exposure for the next election after Thompson wins his 2nd.


38 posted on 10/31/2007 2:15:01 PM PDT by Lx ((Do you like it, do you like it. Scott? I call it Mr. and Mrs. Tennerman chili.))
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To: Plutarch

Does this have anything to do with the “scandal” brewing in secret?


39 posted on 10/31/2007 2:20:36 PM PDT by montag813
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To: Plutarch

Maybe the ticket will be Rudy and Mitt.

John


40 posted on 10/31/2007 2:23:44 PM PDT by Diggity
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