Posted on 10/26/2007 5:20:32 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
While Fred Thompson travels the nation with his message of consistent conservatism and touts his border security and immigration reform proposal, a recent national tracking poll shows that Thompson has pulled into a virtual tie with Rudolph Giuliani. This poll further shows that Giuliani has lost almost a third of his support in the last 12 days.
In a separate Field Poll conducted in California, Giuliani's "support has eroded markedly among the party faithful, setting up the prospect of a shootout in February's primary," wrote the San Francisco Chronicle, dropping 10 points since August.
Earlier this week, a Rasmussen poll showed Giuliani and Thompson both statistically tied with Hillary in a head-to-head matchup in Ohio.
I’m with you. I will not be part of the transformation of the PUB party moving to the left.
An earlier posteron another thread indicated that Internet betting (including Intrade) is now illegal in the United States, so that most bettors are Brits or other foreign national not always well-versed in American politics, FWIW.
“I’m suspicious that many conservatives, like myself, simply don’t respond to polls at this stage.”
What? When it’s meaningless is the most important time.
I have a sense that Fred’s campaign is going to completely baffle the MSM. I relish in the thought of their confusion to figure it out.
And I posted that it’s probably not true. The rumor is going around because InTrade doesn’t accept credit cards.
And, anyways, that would have a tendency to add credibility to the market as one step removed from the emotionalism that americans attach to politics. Guys who do well betting on football teams do better than guys who put money down for their own team.
I’d love to find some other unbiased indicator, especially one that we can point to for debates. Most of the debate threads are all Mr. Superduper’s follower pointing out how super he did versus Mr. Whooptedo’s follower pointing out what a big splash he made. No real objectivity.
Polls more than a year in advance of the election testing the various Republican candidates against Hillary mean nothing. What voters say now has nothing to do with what they will do when they face real choices in the changed circumstances of November 2008. Rudy and McCain have an artificial advantage in advance polling because they are the best known Republican candidates.
The reality is that Rudy is the weakest Republican candidate as well as the worst. Nominate him, the party fractures, Hillary wins in a walk. As Republicans come to understand this (and it’s happening) his support will continue to erode.
The real reality is that Republicans will choose between Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney and either one of them will have better than even odds of beating Hillary. Every other candidate is wasting time on an ego trip.
“This poll further shows that Giuliani has lost almost a third of his support in the last 12 days.”
Ouch...
Psssst...over here. Come see what a bird with clipped wings does (lol).
“Giuliani in Free Fall “
She’s from Georgia, bless your heart.
Rass has more credibility then the other polls. Mason Dixon, and Battleground are the only other two worthy of notice.
Also, Rass had Thompson in a free fall a couple weeks ago with Rudy soaring. So the race is by no means settled. But I tend to accept polling units with a strong record of not only getting the final results right, but getting the weeks preceeding the election close as well.
No cheery picking here. Rass has simply earned credibility with both sides after three strong successive elections were called correctly.
Ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh my gut hurts!!! LOL!!!! And it’s the right animal too...a Donkey/Liberal!!! I’m crying here!!! :)) Poor thang...
hehehehe...
Thompson’s number did drop but he seems to have stabilized, for the moment, at around 20%.
As for the others I’d say Romney has lost support to Huckabee. And Rudy has lost support to McCain.
Personally, If I’m Fred I take advantage of his fairly stable 20% minus or plus a couple and make a play for the large number of undecideds that place third in this poll while Rudy/mcCain spar off for the moderate/Liberal wing and Romney/Huckabee spar over part of the social conservatives.
Mitt must be doing better than the polls show because Oprah had a show today dedicated totally to polygamy including a half hour on the DARK side of the issue. Since Mitt is the only Mormon running and this is always used as a hammer against Mormons someone must think Mitt could be a problem for Hillary.
I will not support Rudy the liberal.
Rasmussen Polls only most likely primary voters, which are the only ones who count or at this point paying any attention. Rasmussen also ajusts for the various state primary voter rules, as some states allow voters to vote in any party’s primary. Rasmussen has been the most accurate pollster for several years as proven by the actual votes and winners of elections.
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