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DOLLAR SKY IS FALLING! DOLLAR SKY IS FALLING! EVERYONE PANIC!
10/25/2007 | Philistone

Posted on 10/25/2007 8:12:27 PM PDT by Philistone

To read the MSM headlines (which I try not to) the falling dollar is the end of the world. Maybe Wall Street should get a Noble Prize for their work in "Global Dollar Cooling". But seriously, what are the effects of a weak dollar?

1) Increased exports. Last month's exports were among the highest on record. Trade deficit? What trade deficit? Boeing, Caterpiller, Microsoft, Apple, etc. all with surges in foreign export sales.

2) Outsourcing? What outsourcing? All of the sudden it becomes cheaper to employ an American technician than one from Bangalore.

3) Cost of living? (I love this part!) Since China has pegged the Yuan to the Dollar, everything we get from China costs exactly the same! Maybe this will convince them to unlink the Yuan. Then we'll REALLY see who's the best producer.

4) Buhh... buhh... buhh... but foreigners will stop buying American Treasuries! What? In order to buy Russian ones? Chinese ones? Venezualian ones? Give me a break.

A weak Dollar equals: more exports, more jobs, more tourists (spending money) and the same or higher standard of living.

Bring it on!


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: dollar
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To: jedward
Like the poster before you, please READ the articles you post:

The statement said China will immediately value the currency at 8.11 yuan, down 2 percent from the 8.28 rate previously. It also said it will now peg the yuan against a "market basket" of numerous currencies, although it will keep the yuan in a tight band rather than letting it trade freely. But the central bank did promise that the exchange rate band would be adjusted when necessary according to market developments as well as economic and financial situations.

The Yuan is still tied to the Dollar even if the tie is a little looser...

81 posted on 10/25/2007 9:42:33 PM PDT by Philistone (If someone tells you it's for the children, he believes that YOU are a child.)
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To: Philistone

I guess we can start hiring more folks at home... and everything is in balance.


82 posted on 10/25/2007 9:42:56 PM PDT by Porterville (Don't bug me abuot my grammar, you are not that great.)
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To: coloradan

A weaker dollar has pros and cons. I guess I am wondering, like I think some people are on this thread, is when to be genuinely worried if the dollar keeps falling? What is the level where you’d actually try to do something, and what would that something be? I mean a lot of people would want to protect their accumulated wealth and to see their savings only be able to buy half of what it used to....


83 posted on 10/25/2007 9:45:18 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man
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To: coloradan

A weaker dollar has pros and cons. I guess I am wondering, like I think some people are on this thread, is when to be genuinely worried if the dollar keeps falling? What is the level where you’d actually try to do something, and what would that something be? I mean a lot of people would want to protect their accumulated wealth and to see their savings only be able to buy half of what it used to....


84 posted on 10/25/2007 9:45:18 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man
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To: durasell
The only professional responsibility people like that have is to their investors.

That sounds good...so does "We were just following orders!".

And Bill Gates is not an investment manager, Jim Rogers and George Soros now invest chiefly for their own accounts, and nobody is forcing Warren Buffett to make currency bets in Berkshire-Hathaway.

85 posted on 10/25/2007 9:45:26 PM PDT by snarks_when_bored
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

That’s hilarious!!! Geehad on Gum-Bawls (too funni)!!!!!!


86 posted on 10/25/2007 9:45:28 PM PDT by jedward
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To: jedward

Then his daddy worked for a stupid company. A smart company would say: “Hey! Sugar and starch are a lot cheaper in America now! Lets start buying from American producers and we can make gumballs cheaper. And use ‘Merkins to boot to make ‘em since they know our production techniques!”


87 posted on 10/25/2007 9:45:41 PM PDT by Philistone (If someone tells you it's for the children, he believes that YOU are a child.)
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To: tips up
<<<...now you are telling me it the weakening dollar.<<<

For gosh sakes man, do you have any idea how many germs there are on your toilet flush handle?

Worry about something you can do something about!

[/sarcasm]

88 posted on 10/25/2007 9:49:47 PM PDT by HardStarboard (Take No Prisoners - We're Out Of Qurans)
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To: snarks_when_bored

I was addressing folks who invest on behalf of other people or organizations. If they don’t follow the highest returns possible in a legal manner then they are not doing their jobs.


89 posted on 10/25/2007 9:50:10 PM PDT by durasell (!)
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To: crz
Germany was in hyperinflation because of war debt to the french and sanctions imposed on Germany by the allied powers, and the closing of war industries by treaty. You can’t compare the Fall of the Dollar to the German Mark after “War to end all Wars.”
90 posted on 10/25/2007 9:51:05 PM PDT by Liaison
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To: Philistone

“even if the tie is a little looser...”

Sorry guy, with all due respect, you lose me there. Economics is a solid enough subject that getting loose with key items is something I just don’t subscribe to. Others have tried that with the Trade issue, and I just don’t drink the cool-aid.

I want 3 gumballs, no loose connections.


91 posted on 10/25/2007 9:51:25 PM PDT by jedward
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To: Philistone
Like the poster before you, please READ the articles you post:

Yeah, Jedward. Guess he told us, huh?

And don't read this one either: How China Could Crash the US Dollar on a Whim

Up until two years ago, China’s currency, the RMB or Yuan, was pegged to the Dollar.

. . .

In short, China has several economic “weapons” at its disposal for countering the US, ranging from the manipulation of its currency to the diversification of its burgeoning stock of forex reserves. It also has several less blunt options to choose from, such as enabling Chinese companies to compete more directly and effectively with US companies, and opposing the US in securing a domestic energy supply. On all of these fronts, the US is essentially being held hostage, since it has become so dependent on China as the world’s factory. Ultimately, it seems unlikely that China will deliberately butt heads with the US unless it is first provoked, but America should nonetheless be on its guard, since its economy hangs in the balance.


92 posted on 10/25/2007 9:51:38 PM PDT by Racehorse (Where your treasure is, there will your heart be also.)
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To: RinaseaofDs

That’s a different question.

Oil is priced in dollars. Which means that OPEC gets less value for each dollar they receive when the value of the dollar goes down. Thus the price goes up to compensate.

The LAST thing OPEC wants is for America to develop complete energy independence (’cause then where would they be?).

The relationship between the price of oil and the value of the dollar globally has not been extensively studied. It should be.


93 posted on 10/25/2007 9:51:50 PM PDT by Philistone (If someone tells you it's for the children, he believes that YOU are a child.)
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To: HardStarboard

Most toilets are actually fairly clean.

Telephones and kitchen counters are cesspools by comparison.


94 posted on 10/25/2007 9:53:14 PM PDT by djf (Send Fred some bread! Not a whole loaf, a slice or two will do!)
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To: Philistone
>>>As for oil, only America has an alternative fuels program available, waiting only for the sign that oil is going to STAY above $50.<<<

Please elaborate on the "available" alternative fuel - and how long a sign you think we need of above $50 oil.

95 posted on 10/25/2007 9:55:45 PM PDT by HardStarboard (Take No Prisoners - We're Out Of Qurans)
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To: Racehorse

Please, think before you post.

China has close to a trillion dollars of currency reserves.

What would be the value of that if they decided to sell it all at once?

What happens when you flood the market with anything? The value drops immensely.

Does China really want to sell a trillion dollars worth of assets for $200 Billion?

Don’t think so.


96 posted on 10/25/2007 9:55:45 PM PDT by Philistone (If someone tells you it's for the children, he believes that YOU are a child.)
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To: Philistone

Yeah, right.

Silly questions, you ask. What makes you think the Chinese would “sell it all at once?”


97 posted on 10/25/2007 9:58:51 PM PDT by Racehorse (Where your treasure is, there will your heart be also.)
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To: Racehorse

LOL. I am truely a humble person. I don’t mind being told, bud damn...at least be right :) (LOL) I’m seriously thinking the talking point memos have not been circulated to all those that...how shall I say...push this type of stuff. The FreeTraders have walked into the same mudhole several times.


98 posted on 10/25/2007 9:58:53 PM PDT by jedward
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To: Racehorse; All

On that note, I’m heading to bed soon! Nite all...


99 posted on 10/25/2007 10:01:20 PM PDT by jedward
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To: Philistone

It is another powerful argument to Americans that to save $ is to be leaning over ready to get screwed by uncle sam.


100 posted on 10/25/2007 10:02:10 PM PDT by GregoryFul (is a bear a bomb in a bull?)
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