Fred Thompson Hitting Rudy Giuliani With A Club On Illegal Immigration Record

Jeeperth-——why are you peoplth makin fun of my lithp? LOL.

LOL... it’s not a flaming lisp... it’s more like he’s got few marbles rolling around in there.

....... it’s not a lisp... it’s more like he’s got few marbles rolling around in there.....

Oh, I see--------guess the marbles fell down into his mouth from his brain cavity. LOL.

In other words, do you think if Rudy takes FL, then he is the nominee?

Not necessarily. While I think it certainly makes it easier for Rudy if he carries Florida, there are a lot more delegates to gain in a lot of states where Giuliani's positions on red meat issues are very unpopular. It's true that Florida alone would give him the lead in delegates going into Super Tuesday, even if one other candidate wins every other early primary. The main benefit winning Florida would give him, however, is both momentum and the prestige of winning such an important general election state. This holds true even if the RNC follows through on its threat to strip the pre Feb. 5 primary states of half their delegates.

That said, if Rudy wins Florida but another candidate wins Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, Rudy's momentum would be seriously blunted, and Super Tuesday could be in doubt. This could happen in the ironic but very plausible scenario where Mitt Romney's campaign collapses due to, of all things, money problems.

It hasn't been widely reported, but Romney's campaign was nearly $9 million in debt as of the end of Q3, and it is suffering from significant internal turmoil. If this interferes with his ability to campaign in Iowa and New Hampshire, it could cost him both states, assuming he isn't forced to withdraw outright. In that case, it would likely be a race between Thompson and Huckabee for Iowa and Thompson and Giuliani for New Hampshire.

I also like Fred's chances in Florida. Gun owners comprise one of the most important voter constituencies in Florida, and perhaps the most important in the Republican primary. Fred's best bet to take Florida is to speak directly to these voters and highlight the differences between his and Giuliani's records on upholding the right to keep and bear arms.

Also, if Romney's campaign does indeed collapse, Thompson's position both in Florida and on Super Tuesday will be greatly strengthened. One other thing to consider; while Giuliani leads in a lot of polls in a lot of states, I have yet to see any poll, state or national, where Giuliani enjoys the support of a majority of likely Republican voters. His highest numbers have been in the low 40s, and in many states he is "leading" with less than a third of the vote. As the field of candidates thins, the opportunity exists for a candidate to surpass Giuliani without taking any of his votes.

As long as a majority of Republicans are supporting someone other than Rudy, I'd be very hesitant to pencil him in as the presumptive nominee.

I’d take Fred in a heartbeat over Rudy. I hope he gets some fire under him soon before to many people buy into the Rudy scam. I’d like to see a real locking up of the field soon. I see Romney taking Rudy’s voters and teaming up with Fred at the end of the day. I can’t imagine Mitt would want Rudy’s past involved with his campaign.

Who are Rudy’s kids voting for this week? Hillary? Obama? Ron Paul?

Go get them, Fred!!