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The party's over for American consumers
Seattle Times ^ | Sept. 15, 2007 | Froma Harrop

Posted on 09/15/2007 2:24:18 PM PDT by AuntB

The new numbers on consumer confidence are out. They show American consumers very confident that the economy is going down the tubes.

Over in Asia and Europe, stocks plunged on fears that Americans may no longer be able to find the second jobs and recklessly borrow the money needed to buy imported stuff. Economists now freely use the "recession" word following the report that American payrolls fell in August, the first monthly decline in four years.

American consumers, in other words, are all dried up. And the discussion has begun on what kind of baloney economy kept them lubricated for so long.......

Of course, some professions thrive in tough economic times. Business should be brisk for bankruptcy lawyers. And we will need auctioneers to help unload foreclosed properties........

Today's "partying," he said, would lead to tomorrow's "hangover."

So here we are: The partygoers have downed a bottle and still they can avoid a hangover.

A recent article on the Motley Fool's British Web site offered "Five Ways to Prepare for a Recession." The prescriptions: Don't make big luxury purchases you can't pay for with cash. Build an emergency fund. Live more frugally. Reduce your debt. Find more work.

All sound advice, but consumers had better act fast — like five years ago.

(Excerpt) Read more at seattletimes.nwsource.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: consumerconfidence; consumers; doomage; economy; freshcarrion; fromaharrop; producers; savings; spenders; spending; stockmarket; trade; vulturegram
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To: BunnySlippers
ecay Thank you. If only Americans were taught about the fundamentals of investing in school ... and in providing for oneself!

Now we are in total agreement and the point I was making in the first place.

101 posted on 09/15/2007 3:55:41 PM PDT by AuntB (" It takes more than walking across the border to be an American." Duncan Hunter)
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To: palmer

I’m in Los Angeles and an LA native. If you are not a short term real estate investor, real estate only goes up in LA.

Really.

My family has lived in Southern California since the mid to late 1800s and all have made money in real estate. That and farming.

Really.


102 posted on 09/15/2007 3:57:03 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (Buy a Mac ...)
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To: AuntB

I hope you decide to look on the bright side some day. More Americans invest now than ever.

I’m off to a wedding.

Later.


103 posted on 09/15/2007 3:58:59 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (Buy a Mac ...)
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To: BunnySlippers
I hope you decide to look on the bright side some day More Americans invest now than ever.

Investing doesn't mean saving, necessarily. It's not about a point of view. We have the LOWEST personal savings rate EVER and the highest personal debt....that's not from me, that's a fact.

104 posted on 09/15/2007 4:02:20 PM PDT by AuntB (" It takes more than walking across the border to be an American." Duncan Hunter)
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To: Hot Tabasco

“I would at least double what your government is going to pay to me 5 years from now....../.”

There would be a lot of variables involved in your statement, you are right, but perhaps wrong. Depending on your age, when you started, your yearly investment and what you invested in, you are absolutely correct in that it would be better than the government. I am thinking you may be wrong in how much better. I am thinking if you are set to retire in 5 years, you would have far more than double what the government is going to pay you.

As I stated, there are lots of variables in play and I am basing this on the stock market performance of the last 40 years and the Galveston model. I didn’t post a link because if you are not familiar with it (Galveston model) and are set to retire in 5 years; I don’t want to be the one responsible for depressing you. :)

Take care, WC


105 posted on 09/15/2007 4:06:14 PM PDT by WildcatClan (Duncan Hunter '08 -)
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To: AuntB
Good grief! How many people do you think have a 401K plan?

Your concerns seem to be supported by the data I have seen. The percentage of people over 50 with minimal retirement saving was appalling.

106 posted on 09/15/2007 4:09:46 PM PDT by RochesterFan
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To: uncbob
Ya don't think PEROT had anything to do with it

Him taking away votes -big time- from Bush it contributed to Bush's defeat.  If that's what you meant, you are right.  But the article in this tread reminded me of something else, and that was my post about. 

 

107 posted on 09/15/2007 4:20:32 PM PDT by OneHun
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To: AuntB; BunnySlippers
Give up, Aunt B doesn't get it.

So much for "diversification" of opinion in a forum opened for individual opinion.
That's why there are "them" and then there are "us" in regard to The Partaaaaaaaa's Over For Americans". I Partaaaa'd with some restraint during the Clinton Adminstration, and have learned from my mistakes.
Life is not a Party and economically speaking should not be given that title as the mast head shows.
The Party comes after, not before, that's what Aunt B, Andy, Opie or whomever doesn't get.
We need not waste our time.
Stats and Polls mean very little to me.

Respectfully
F_T_D

108 posted on 09/15/2007 4:21:46 PM PDT by fight_truth_decay
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To: AuntB
Oh, poor babies. The median income is only $48,000/yr. By golly, it takes 24 people to earn that much in India or Iraq.

Would it be bad, in your estimation, if the illegals left some jobs for American poor who only work 16 hours a week? Sounds like a winner to me, even if it generates some worisome stats.

109 posted on 09/15/2007 4:25:59 PM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: AuntB
Say you broke your back. Boom. No income. Not an on the job injury. It could take 5 years easily to get an approval for disability

Ridiculous scenario, if I broke my back I would be approved for S.S. Disability within 5 months. I would then convert my 401-K to an Ira and start dipping into it to supplement my disability.......

Next question.......

110 posted on 09/15/2007 4:27:01 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (I could be Agent "HT")
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To: texastoo; Borax Queen; Czar
Of the conflict in the Middle East, Greenspan said: “I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.”

Interesting, isn't it?!

111 posted on 09/15/2007 4:29:20 PM PDT by nicmarlo
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To: WildcatClan
Depending on your age, when you started,

The very first job you ever had be it in your teens or after........

112 posted on 09/15/2007 4:29:51 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (I could be Agent "HT")
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To: AuntB

You seem to be one of the few who understand that investing means you can lose ALL of the money invested (even in 401k’s). That isn’t saving; thats called gambling.

Do I have money in the various markets? Of course. Savings account/checking account rates are pitiful, so I have to seek a higher rate of return. But I have money in those accounts, too, because they don’t require that someone buy the shares or mutual fund units I offer for sale. People seem to think that once they tell their broker to sell shares/mutuals there will always be a buyer for it. Not always so, especially in a panic or market crash.

Its all about balance. Too many people think diversification means spreading all their unallocated money throughout the various stock/mutual types. It doesn’t.


113 posted on 09/15/2007 4:30:40 PM PDT by ex 98C MI Dude (All my hate cannot be found)
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To: dragnet2
Nobody, or very few are borrowing anything anymore

Wow, they had to be hit over the head with a 2x4 before they learned.

However, some are still bringing in big bucks in the mortgage industry. Not the high risk sub prime loans that this is all about. Learned, intelligent, creative, positive individuals who will always be at their desks way after the weak at heart or those with a more often "get-rich-quick-waiting-for-the-phone-to-ring" mentality will long be gone.

Patience builds wealth.

Bad times, in any industry, can provide good opportunities.

114 posted on 09/15/2007 4:32:56 PM PDT by fight_truth_decay
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To: ex 98C MI Dude
diversification means spreading all their unallocated money throughout the various stock/mutual types

Correctly stated.

115 posted on 09/15/2007 4:34:25 PM PDT by fight_truth_decay
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To: AuntB; BunnySlippers
What BS doesn't understand is that investment has been swamped by speculation in the credit bubble. Once the Fed got going with excessively low rates (1.25% in 2002/03) people started speculating instead of investing. Millions of people just like BS bought real estate in places like sunny Southern California because they could and deluded themselves into thinking that it was a great investment (people want to live here because of the jobs, weather, etc). The worse effect was people refinanced and used the extra money to buy junk from China. The worst effect of all was the speculation leaked back into the markets so many people are indirectly invested in these ridiculous mortgages thank to CDOs, etc.

Now most people (exluding BS) realize the housing speculative phase is over so they have stopped borrowing to buy overpriced houses. The Fed can't do anything about that even lowering rates to zero. So we will have deflation whether we like it or not. The only other possibility is an inflation mindset to get the real estate bubble going again. BS is one of those inflation mindset people without even realizing it. Inflation destroys savings and turns investment into speculation.

116 posted on 09/15/2007 4:37:29 PM PDT by palmer
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To: edcoil

The Seattle economy is humming along swimmingly....


117 posted on 09/15/2007 4:39:27 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Hot Tabasco
if I broke my back I would be approved for S.S. Disability within 5 months.

Why aren't you buying private disability insurance?

118 posted on 09/15/2007 4:39:31 PM PDT by palmer
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To: palmer
Why aren't you buying private disability insurance?

I don't need it

119 posted on 09/15/2007 4:45:32 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (I could be Agent "HT")
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To: Hot Tabasco
I don't need it

I don't need it either, but I buy it anyway. It returns 50% of my income if I'm disabled and it doesn't cost much.

120 posted on 09/15/2007 4:47:30 PM PDT by palmer
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