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Amateur Hour At The Fed
Investor's Business Daily ^ | 22 August 2007 | http://epaper.investors.com/daily/skins/ibd/navigator.asp

Posted on 08/22/2007 5:42:03 PM PDT by shrinkermd

The former Ivy League professor can be expected to make some rookie mistakes after stepping into longtime chief Alan Greenspan’s shoes.

Rewind to March. Bernanke insisted the damage to the markets and economy was “contained.” In fact, it had spread like wildfire. By August, investors had learned that Alt-A mortgage lenders, investment banks and even foreign mutual funds had been exposed to the subprime rot.

On Aug. 7, with Wall Street in turmoil, the Bernanke Fed met and acknowledged the crisis. So it stubbornly kept interest rates tight, against the better advice of many (including this paper).

Two days later, a reporter asked President Bush about the market meltdown. “I am told there is enough liquidity in the system to enable markets to correct,” he said.

He was told wrong. Stocks tanked the very next day, forcing Bernanke to pump some $40 billion into the very system he apparently had assured Bush had plenty of liquidity. He since has injected $60 billion more in liquidity.

But the bad news just kept coming. So last week, Bernanke took the rare action of lowering interest rates between meetings.

(Excerpt) Read more at epaper.investors.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Political Humor/Cartoons
KEYWORDS: credit; fed; flips; flops; mortgage
Four large banks went to the Fed Discount window and borrowed billions at 5.75%. Usually, this is seen as a sign of potential bank problems. At the very least, it does not inspire confidence; however, almost immediately the DJI, NASDAQ or indices soared.

Go figure.

1 posted on 08/22/2007 5:42:03 PM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

Monday will be interesting.


2 posted on 08/22/2007 5:45:26 PM PDT by rocksblues (Just enforce the law!)
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To: shrinkermd

The stock gains today had more to do with takeover rumors and rising treasury yields.


3 posted on 08/22/2007 5:45:54 PM PDT by College Repub
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To: shrinkermd

It’s a random number generator.


4 posted on 08/22/2007 5:47:28 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (When Bubba lies, the finger flies!)
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To: shrinkermd
At least Bernanke has learned to keep his mouth shut, to some extent.
5 posted on 08/22/2007 5:47:49 PM PDT by Jaysun (It's outlandishly inappropriate to suggest that I'm wrong.)
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To: shrinkermd
big difference “this time” is market equity based on real assets (asset value) instead of “blue sky” like the clinton/gore dot-bomb meltdown.
6 posted on 08/22/2007 5:49:13 PM PDT by xcamel (FDT/2008 -- talk about it >> irc://irc.freenode.net/fredthompson)
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To: shrinkermd

So IBD wants the Fed to lower interest rates and reflate the RE bubble? No thanks.


7 posted on 08/22/2007 5:54:53 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: shrinkermd

They did it in a coordinated action to inspire confidence in the market.


8 posted on 08/22/2007 5:55:55 PM PDT by DemEater
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To: shrinkermd

PE ratios - excluding financial sector - are at bargain levels. That and the low dollar means a buy opportunity.


9 posted on 08/22/2007 6:04:14 PM PDT by spanalot
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To: shrinkermd

Hey, Greenspan said we were headed for a RECESSION 4 months ago. Maybe he was onto somethin’.


10 posted on 08/22/2007 6:09:47 PM PDT by taxed2death (A few billion here, a few trillion there...we're all friends right?)
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To: shrinkermd

Oops! Thought it said Fred. Nevermind.


11 posted on 08/22/2007 6:10:11 PM PDT by Starstruck
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To: taxed2death

Greenspan was brilliant at the Fed. He could juggle the economy like no other. One day the ponze scheme will come to a head no matter who is at the helm.


12 posted on 08/22/2007 7:03:56 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: shrinkermd
Four large banks went to the Fed Discount window and borrowed billions at 5.75%. Usually, this is seen as a sign of potential bank problems. At the very least, it does not inspire confidence; however, almost immediately the DJI, NASDAQ or indices soared.

Go figure.

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Citigroup, Bank of America Corp. and three other top banks took the rare step of borrowing more than $2 billion total from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the banks said on Wednesday, in a bid to reassure markets and remove the stigma of getting short-term financing from the central bank.

...

Borrowing money directly from the Fed has historically been seen as a sign of weakness, but Bank of America, Germany's Deutsche Bank JPMorgan Chase & Co, and Wachovia Corp said they did it for the sake of the financial system. All five banks emphasized they have access to other, cheaper funds.

...

"The psychology is, if a bank needs to borrow from the discount window, and they think there's a stigma attached to it, they can say, 'Citi has done it, too,'" said Robert Albertson, chief strategist at Sandler O'Neill in New York.

Top international banks tap Fed discount window

13 posted on 08/22/2007 7:44:02 PM PDT by Joe Miner
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To: Joe Miner

Merrill Lynch today said Citi has no sub-prime problems and gave it a “buy” rating.


14 posted on 08/22/2007 7:47:57 PM PDT by Oystir
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

How can ANY generated number be ‘random’?


15 posted on 08/22/2007 7:49:33 PM PDT by narses (...the spirit of Trent is abroad once more.)
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To: Joe Miner

That sounds kind of bogus to me. Unless these banks plan to repay the money very quickly.


16 posted on 08/22/2007 8:11:06 PM PDT by College Repub
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To: Orange1998

Greenspan is the one that overreacted to the dot.bomb bust with 17 rate cuts in a row.

He and the fed are the primary culprit in the current real estate meltdown.


17 posted on 08/22/2007 8:21:56 PM PDT by djf (America welcomes immigrants! Sadly, America welcomes crimmigrants even more...)
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To: djf
He and the fed are the primary culprit in the current real estate meltdown.

Greenspan did not loosen credit standards only the availablity of funds. The banks got greedy and let people borrow money who could not repay under any circumstance.

18 posted on 08/22/2007 8:32:35 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: shrinkermd

This paper has it right. Its not so much the fact that the Fed has decided to lower rates, the fact that its putting money into the system to ensure liquidity etc. Rather its the fact that the whole things looks like surprise and panic responses to what was a very predictable event.


19 posted on 08/22/2007 8:50:04 PM PDT by festus (I'm a fRedneck and proud of it.)
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