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Posted on 06/24/2007 3:45:21 PM PDT by Kitten Festival
Climate Change: The problem with warming predictions may lie in how we measure the present. Can we say that 2006 was the warmest year ever when the temperature is being measured mere feet from air conditioning exhaust?
We are all familiar with the scenario. Junior wants to stay home from school so he holds a match under a thermometer and then runs to mom to say he has a fever. We don't think it's deliberate, but something similar may be happening with our weather-monitoring methodology.
In January, the folks at the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration trumpeted the "fact" that 2006 was the warmest year ever recorded in the continental United States. This was based on daily temperature data gathered by NOAA's National Climactic Data Center and the 1,221 or so weather observation stations it monitors around the country.
A NOAA temperature and weather station in Roseburg, Ore., sits on a rooftop just four feet from an air conditioning unit.
Where these stations are and what is in the vicinity can make a difference.
(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...
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Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
New!!: Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH
Ping me if you find one I've missed.
By analogy, I was at first skeptical of the CO 2 readings from the Mauna Loa observatory (side of a volcano, after all), but it turns out that the world-wide mixing is such that you get virtually the same readings anywhere in the world.
Neither of these caveats settles, of course, whether warming is occuring (probably is, ever since the end of the "little Ice age" in 1745), and whether all, some, a little bit, or none, is human caused (probably little or none, but jury's still out.)
Every time you look at an individual station, you find that the folks at NCDC (or the 4 other climate statistics organizations) are just cooking the books.
They take the raw temperature data from a station and make dozens of illogical adjustments to the data to come up with their adjusted temperature series which is what they report to us and the general public.
Invariably, all the older records are adjusted downwards and all the newer records are adjusted upwards.
Virtually ALL of the increase in temperatures in the last century can be explained by these adjustments.
1934, 1937, 1921, 1951 and 1941 (in order) were the warmest years in the continental US if you just go by the raw unadjusted data. 1998 comes in 6th and 2006 doesn’t even show up in the top 20.
2007 will turn out to be the WARMEST YEAR on record when the adjusted results come in (even though the satellite measurements show there has been a very strong cooling trend throughout 2007 so far - 0.34C since the beginning of the year [to put 0.34C of cooling into perspective - that is half of the warming of 0.7C the climate statistics organizations say have happened over the last century]).
Global Warming on FreeRepublic
I love it!!!
We can debate how cooked the raw data may be, and if the latest data set has been properly adjusted, but this is really an Inconvenient Truth to people who cling to the pictures in AlGore’s movie. Those who can prove AlGore wrong finally have images to counterbalance those he artfully has compiled.
The late John Daly did his own investigation of errors in the surface record. He makes the case that temperature recording stations have not only been deteriorating over time but are in an increasingly urbanized environment. By comparing urban stations with a nearby counterpart in a more rural setting he shows that the surface record has skewed towards a false warming trend.
http://www.john-daly.com/ges/surftmp/surftemp.htm
I remember the TV ads: Gravy Train — makes its own gravy.
You don’t have a lot to do, do you Isara?
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Interesting. Do you have more on this — a link or anything. I’d be interested in knowing more about the “adjustments.”
You’re welcome.
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