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The Thompson Effect
NationalJournal.com ^ | May 1, 2007 | Charlie Cook

Posted on 05/01/2007 7:33:24 PM PDT by Josh Painter

If the 'inside the Beltway' conventional wisdom is to be believed, actor and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson will jump into the Republican presidential nomination fight before too long, filling a vacuum that many have long sensed in the GOP race.

So if Thompson does enter the race, who would it hurt? Two recent polls -- one by Peter Hart and Neil Newhouse for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal and the other by RT Strategies for the Cook Political Report -- indicate that Thompson's candidacy would draw most from former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, perhaps about 4 to 6 points. He would draw minimally, if at all, from Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Thompson would start out behind Giuliani and McCain and about even with Romney...

Considering that the margin of error for the Republican primary sample is more than 5 points in each poll, it is clear that Thompson's 12 percent doesn't come at the expense of any one candidate but might come from front-runner Giuliani more than the others. This might be an affirmation of the view of many analysts that Giuliani's lead is inflated by his 9/11 performance and is less durable than the support of other candidates in the race...

If you assume that Thompson enters the GOP race and that Gore stays out on the Democratic side, the data would suggest that both contests will continue to flatten, that the gap between the front-runner and the third-, fourth- or fifth-place candidate will diminish, creating more of a contest. Clinton and Giuliani are still on top of their respective fields, but their leads are somewhat more precarious than they appeared a couple of months ago...

(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fred; fredthompson; nomination; republican; rfr; runfredrun; thompson
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Fred Thompson: a liberal's worst nightmare.



Fredipedia v2.27: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
1 posted on 05/01/2007 7:33:27 PM PDT by Josh Painter
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To: jellybean; Politicalmom

ping


2 posted on 05/01/2007 7:34:28 PM PDT by KoRn (Just Say NO ....To Liberal Republians - FRED THOMPSON FOR PRESIDENT!)
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To: Sturm Ruger

In before the FredHead Ping! :-)


3 posted on 05/01/2007 7:38:03 PM PDT by pillut48 (CJ in TX --Bible Thumper and Proud! RUN, FRED, RUN!!!)
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To: Sturm Ruger
So if Thompson does enter the race, who would it hurt?

Most likely it will hurt where I hopes it hurts the most: Hildabeaste!

4 posted on 05/01/2007 7:38:32 PM PDT by meandog (For me it's either Fred Thompson or John McCain, and 2nd Amendment rights!)
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To: Sturm Ruger
Fred Thompson: a liberal's worst nightmare.

In the primaries and the general.

5 posted on 05/01/2007 7:39:26 PM PDT by Petronski (Fred.)
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To: jellybean; STARWISE; carlo3b; girlangler; KoRn; Shortstop7; Lunatic Fringe; Darnright; babygene; ...
PING!!

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Fredipedia v2.26: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference

Please FReepmail jellybean if you want on/off this list. WARNING: This ping list can often be extremely active.

6 posted on 05/01/2007 7:42:34 PM PDT by Politicalmom (Conservatives want freedom. Republicans want power.)
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To: Sturm Ruger

Go Fred Go!


7 posted on 05/01/2007 7:47:40 PM PDT by RockinRight (Proud FREDeralist.)
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To: Politicalmom

WOW!! I am really enjoying the variety of Fred graphics for the pings!! Good one, PM! It woke me right up, LOL! ;-)


8 posted on 05/01/2007 7:50:12 PM PDT by pillut48 (CJ in TX --Bible Thumper and Proud! RUN, FRED, RUN!!!)
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To: Sturm Ruger
I missed seeing Fred T. on Hannity & Insectman tonight. Maybe it comes on again later.
9 posted on 05/01/2007 7:50:57 PM PDT by Ditter
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To: Petronski

BUMP


10 posted on 05/01/2007 7:51:43 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker ( Hunter/Thompson/Thompson/Hunter in 08! Or Rudy/Hillary if you want to murder conservatism)
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To: Ditter

According to Comcast, it repeats at 12AM


11 posted on 05/01/2007 7:53:04 PM PDT by AFreeBird (Will NOT vote for Rudy. <--- notice the period)
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To: Ditter

What it showed was a very thoughtful, determined conservative, in case you don’t see it.


12 posted on 05/01/2007 7:53:17 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker ( Hunter/Thompson/Thompson/Hunter in 08! Or Rudy/Hillary if you want to murder conservatism)
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To: pillut48

methinks she has some little elfs working around the clock on new ones. LOL

:O)

P


13 posted on 05/01/2007 7:53:54 PM PDT by papasmurf (Patience is, not only, a virtue...it's also a weapon. Be patient FRed!)
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To: Ditter
Ditter, you can watch the video here.
14 posted on 05/01/2007 7:55:17 PM PDT by Josh Painter ("The court basically said the Constitution means what it says and I agree with that" - Fred Thompson)
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To: Ditter

The video is on Fox’s website right now—main page, just to the right. http://www.foxnews.com/


15 posted on 05/01/2007 7:58:14 PM PDT by pillut48 (CJ in TX --Bible Thumper and Proud! RUN, FRED, RUN!!!)
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To: pillut48

Nobody is allowed to FReep half-asleep. :)


16 posted on 05/01/2007 7:58:18 PM PDT by Politicalmom (Conservatives want freedom. Republicans want power.)
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To: Politicalmom

I stand (well, sit, anyway) corrected!! Far be it for me to start dozing off again, even though it’s getting late and I’m exhausted!!

Anything for the Fred pings! ;-)


17 posted on 05/01/2007 7:59:17 PM PDT by pillut48 (CJ in TX --Bible Thumper and Proud! RUN, FRED, RUN!!!)
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Comment #18 Removed by Moderator

To: kots
This talk about his candidacy is just a ploy to help his buddy McAmnesty (to beat Guliani).


19 posted on 05/01/2007 8:08:55 PM PDT by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country. Thompson/Franks '08)
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To: kots

Fine. Go away.


20 posted on 05/01/2007 8:10:57 PM PDT by Politicalmom (Conservatives want freedom. Republicans want power.)
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