Posted on 05/01/2007 7:33:24 PM PDT by Josh Painter
If the 'inside the Beltway' conventional wisdom is to be believed, actor and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson will jump into the Republican presidential nomination fight before too long, filling a vacuum that many have long sensed in the GOP race.
So if Thompson does enter the race, who would it hurt? Two recent polls -- one by Peter Hart and Neil Newhouse for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal and the other by RT Strategies for the Cook Political Report -- indicate that Thompson's candidacy would draw most from former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, perhaps about 4 to 6 points. He would draw minimally, if at all, from Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Thompson would start out behind Giuliani and McCain and about even with Romney...
Considering that the margin of error for the Republican primary sample is more than 5 points in each poll, it is clear that Thompson's 12 percent doesn't come at the expense of any one candidate but might come from front-runner Giuliani more than the others. This might be an affirmation of the view of many analysts that Giuliani's lead is inflated by his 9/11 performance and is less durable than the support of other candidates in the race...
If you assume that Thompson enters the GOP race and that Gore stays out on the Democratic side, the data would suggest that both contests will continue to flatten, that the gap between the front-runner and the third-, fourth- or fifth-place candidate will diminish, creating more of a contest. Clinton and Giuliani are still on top of their respective fields, but their leads are somewhat more precarious than they appeared a couple of months ago...
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
ping
In before the FredHead Ping! :-)
Most likely it will hurt where I hopes it hurts the most: Hildabeaste!
In the primaries and the general.
Fredipedia v2.26: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
Please FReepmail jellybean if you want on/off this list. WARNING: This ping list can often be extremely active.
Go Fred Go!
WOW!! I am really enjoying the variety of Fred graphics for the pings!! Good one, PM! It woke me right up, LOL! ;-)
BUMP
According to Comcast, it repeats at 12AM
What it showed was a very thoughtful, determined conservative, in case you don’t see it.
methinks she has some little elfs working around the clock on new ones. LOL
:O)
P
The video is on Fox’s website right now—main page, just to the right. http://www.foxnews.com/
Nobody is allowed to FReep half-asleep. :)
I stand (well, sit, anyway) corrected!! Far be it for me to start dozing off again, even though it’s getting late and I’m exhausted!!
Anything for the Fred pings! ;-)
Fine. Go away.
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