Posted on 04/23/2007 10:01:49 AM PDT by John Cena
April 23, 2007 For the fourth straight week, Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) has gained ground and he has finally caught New York Senator Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination. It’s now Obama 32% Clinton 32% and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards holding steady at 17%. New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson is a distant fourth at 3%. Senators Chris Dodd and Joe Biden each attract 1% support. So does General Wesley Clark.
Obama has been steadily gaining ground during April. Last week, Clinton had a two-point lead. Two weeks ago, it was Clinton by five. The week before that, the former First Lady was up by seven. Our last release in March found Clinton enjoying a double digit lead. Clinton now holds a narrow edge among white voters while Obama leads by 16% among African-Americans.
A separate survey showed that Obama has the highest level of core support among all Presidential candidates—33% of voters say they’d definitely vote for him if he’s on the ballot in November 2008.
Rasmussen Reports releases national polling data on the Democratic nomination process every Monday and on the Republican race each Tuesday. The current survey of 579 Likely Democratic Primary Voters was conducted April 16-19, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Among all voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 50% and unfavorably by 49%. Obama’s numbers are a bit stronger—59% favorable and 34% unfavorable. The two candidates are essentially even among Democrats—Clinton is viewed favorably by 74% in her party while Obama is viewed favorably by 72%. Among unaffiliated voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 50%, Obama by 67%.
All Democratic candidates issued statements last week opposing the Supreme Court ruling on partial-birth abortion. That ruling was little noticed due to the tragedy at Virginia Tech. Just 40% of Americans knew how the Court ruled on the issue. Most who knew agreed with the ruling.
The Democrats were cautious in their statements about gun control following the Virginia Tech shootings. While there has been an increase in support for stricter gun control laws in the aftermath of that horrific event, less than half of Americans want stricter gun control laws.
Iraq remains the Democrats most potent issue—just 33% of voters now believe history will judge the U.S. mission in Iraq a success.
Yesterday was Earth Day and 45% of American voters see Global Warming as a Very Serious problem. Another 28% say it is Somewhat Serious. There is a significant divide over whether the human activity is the cause or if the Warming is simply part of a long-term planetary trend. (More Below)
Advertisment While Obama and Clinton are the frontrunners among Democrats, Edwards does best in general election match-ups. He leads all GOP hopefuls and is the only Democrat to lead the Republican frontrunner, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. New results in the Obama-Giuliani match-up will be released on Wednesday. Clinton and Giuliani are essentially tied.
Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.
Rasmussen Reports also monitors underlying party identification trends and has found a substantial shift away from the GOP over the past six months.
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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Rasmussen Reports’ Election 2006 coverage has been praised for its accuracy and reliability. Michael Barone, Senior Writer for U.S. News & World Report and co-author of The Almanac of American Politics, mentions, “One clear lesson from the Republican victory of 2004 and the Democratic victory of 2006 is that the best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com." And University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato states, “In election campaigns, I’ve learned to look for the Rasmussen results. In my experience, they are right on the money. There is no question Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.”
Rasmussen Reports was also the nation's most accurate polling firm during the 2004 Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.
During both Election 2004 and Election 2006, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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My mother said he’ll be roaming all right, searching the world for any available thongs.
I think if the Dems could get away with it, they'd choose Obama, Edwards or Gore over her.
We'll see..
sw
“By this time next year, Hillary’s presidential aspirations might be dead and buried.”
I think you could say that about all of the candidates. The campaigning started right after the 2006 elections — way too early. These earlybird candidates are going to crash and burn from over-exposure and from overkill. The electorate is going to get sick and tired of seeing them 24/7. Look for darkhorse candidates in both parties.
JMHO
So might be bill. Never underestimate the sympathy factor.
At least a third of the elected repubs act like RINOs so is there going to be a difference?
Scene 1. Baraka Hussein Obama Jr announces he’s running for president.
Scene 2. Hillary Clinton is forced to move quickly and announces she’s running for president.
Scene 3. Al Gore presents enviro-fiction movie and wins two Oscars.
Scene 4. Hillary’s popularity tops out and starts declining as people get tired of the voice and the same messages said twelve different ways regarding how socialism will ‘save’ the USofA.
Scene 5. The truth about Baraka trickles out and he starts the downward turn in popularity. Baraka cannot ‘save’ the day.
Scene 6. Grassroots Democrats ask the ‘savior of the earth’ to run for president.
Scene 7. Al Gore is Democrat presidential nominee.
Scene 8. Oprah tells her audience to vote for Al Gore, the ‘savior of the earth.’
Scene 9. * we’ll have to wait to see how scene 9 turns out.
It is true. In hindsight, what you say about him is right, but it didn't have to do with organization, as Dean had the moonbat/moveon.org on his side. Aside from Al Sharpton and the blacks, who else had any organization that early in 2004? Dean was the first antiwar candidate.
Anyway, that year Dean didn't have to go up against Hillary (as far as we know, LOL! There was talk about Dean as the anti-Clinton). Dean was done in by his own hubris and believing what the polls were saying. Noisy moonbats does not an electorate make.
I think you're right. I don't think Obama will be allow himself to be intimidated by her.
The first two weeks of August is the best.
You may now wash your mouth out with soap...and for the record, this soccer mom will NOT be voting for her, and neither will my radically left feminist sister in law or her friends. They cannot stand Hillary either.
may i ask why?
(i still say that hillary! will be the next president of the U.S. and forgive me, i still say that the obnoxious, pathological, murdering left will have a collective orgasm that will shake the earth.)
I agree. Gore will show up to siphon voters from Edwards (”electable”) and Obama (”sentimental”). He’s being manipulated into doing this, and Hillary will assemble a nice set of ads on Gore’s failures and “poof” there she will be in front!
Leni
I'm envisioning Gore crying for his mommy after being demolished in the debates by Fred Thompson.
Any Republican in the presidency is better than any democrat. Period.
The reason is that even a liberal Republican has certain things he will NOT push, like abandoning the military. In addition, he will draw from a bench of Republicans for cabinet positions.
A democrat president will do those things that we don't like in liberal Republicans, in spades, PLUS actively work for things that a Republican would never do, such as abandoning Iraq, sucking up to Kyoto type environmental rules, punitive taxes on producers, and stifling speech on the internet and talk radio.
So it doesn't matter to me WHO the democrats pick, because the entire apparatus of their party is consumed with destroying our way of life.
A democrat president can do a lot of harm in a short amount of time. Example: Jimmy Carter.
I want her to be the nominee...she is far more beatable that Gore or Edwards.
My point was that I was tweaking the Guiliani supporters because of their slavish devotion to the meaningless daily polls this far out from anything resembling a real vote.
They tell us over and over that we need to look at TODAY’S poll, because it PROVES that only Guiliani can beat Clinton, and therefore, we need to vote for Guiliani.
So, I was just having a go at them by pointing out that TODAY’S poll blows apart their presumption of Clinton as the opposition nominee.
I do think Edwards is actually the biggest danger to Hillary, because the unions and non-moonbatty democrats see him as the only electable one. That might change if Gore gets in the race.
ANY of those four are a danger to the country. I will vote for whoever gets the Republican nomination. Even McCain, whom I dislike intesely, or Tancredo, who I think is a one-issue doofus. And there you have it.
She has all the charisma of a Trashcan. Maybe less??
Pray for W and Our Troops
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