Posted on 03/09/2007 7:23:16 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
As in, influencing how people "feel" they should vote?
Thank you for your informed post.
And what happens to Rudy when people find out he was on the same side of both these issues as McCain? And is a follower of Global Warmingism to boot?
Remember what happened back in 2000 -- when McCain built his campaign entirely on his ability to win (or do well) in states with open primary processes where people could vote in either the Democrat or Republican primaries.
In states with "closed" primaries where only registered Republicans were permitted to vote, Bush usually kicked the crap out of McCain by wide margins.
Which raises an interesting question . . . How many of the early primary states next year are open-primary states, and how many are closed-primary states?
So I expect to see quite a bit of this from places like Slate as the R primary rolls on. The trouble is, the more they try to soften him up as too "liberal" for the Republican party, the more they help him with swing voters in the Fall. Therefore, I don't see a media frenzy against Rudy until or unless they can deliver a death blow. Mostly, it will be whispers like this.
Of course Giuliani can fall. But at this point, I think it is his to lose. Only McCain has the national stature and money to defeat Rudy, but McCain is too tainted to energize the right, and Giuliani captures the imaginations of the libertarian wing. It would take a major Giuliani gaffe at this point.
No real disagreement there. As Tom Wolfe would say (in The Right Stuff), "He screwed the pooch".
I agree. Isn't McCain pushing for California to make it possible for Independents to vote in the primaries? I wonder if McCain is hoping he'll squeak through.....if it's not Rudy, it won't be McCain.
If Rudy isn't nominated I don't see McCain getting it either. I really don't think he is going to make it to the primaries. McCain is hoping to capture the votes of Independents, but from what we see in the polls they seem to be going for Rudy.
In the November election an overwhelmingly Democrat state just became more Democrat and Hillary was re-elected with 70% of the vote. The New York GOP is a joke, what in world makes you think Giuliani has a chance in New York?
Rudy was too scared to run against Hillary in the last election - he could have damaged her chances for POTUS or totally killed them. If he runs against Hillary for POTUS, I fear Hillary will win.
I agree. Giuliani as the GOP nominee would be a disaster.
Caught a wiff of that crazy Casbah jive? The shareef don't like it
I don't know. I'd love to find an article that discusses that issue, as it could have a big impact on both Rudy's and McCain's chances to capture the GOP primary.
Texas is probably going to move its primary to February 5, and it's the equivalent of an open primary state. You don't register by party in Texas. You're just a registered voter. You can vote in any party's primary, but your voter card is stamped to show which primary you voted in. You are then ineligible to vote in any runoff election occurring in the other party's races.
I don't know how much crossover will occur in open primary states, though. Both parties have interesting decisions to make. Back in 2000, everyone knew Gore had it locked up on the Dem side, and the Dem primary voters could make mischief in the GOP race.
But the truly independent voters still could affect the outcome in open primaries this year.
But who was her opponent? It wasn't a serious race.
Giuliani is a different story. He supports taxpayer funding of abortion, sued gunmakers for selling guns, and went to court to keep New York City from giving the names of illegal immigrants to the federal government.
The real question at this point is whether the social conservatives want to cede their influence and relevance as they have in California, or do they want to accept compromise and help the party gets its majority back.
That's because the New York GOP is in such a shambles that they couldn't produce a serious candidate.
With a sitting Republican governor, albeit Pataki, they could not generate a competitive candidate for Governor or the Senate. There was talk of importing William Weld to run for governor, but I guess he thought better of it. The GOP lost the race for state comptroller to a sitting Democrat under indictment for misappropriation of state resources and who was forced to resign within a month of his re-election.
For all intents and purposes the GOP might as well not exist in NY state, does that bode well for a successful presidential run?
That's how it looks to me too.
If some others don't make their move soon, then it will be a Democrat president.
Because he'll have a broader base of appeal.
He was having chemo treatments for cancer, which made it impossible to mingle with crowds, be dynamic or able to run around the state. Shame on you.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.