Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rudy Beats Hillary – End of Story
Special to FreeRepublic ^ | 4 March 2007 | John Armor (Congressman Billybob)

Posted on 03/05/2007 6:45:59 PM PST by Congressman Billybob

This weekend we were at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington. All but one of the 2008 Republican candidates were there. The conservatives sought to buttress their support from the right, to seek the support of the whole party. Rudy Guiliani was there to show he doesn’t have two heads. John McCain, to his disgrace and harm, did not bother to show.

We had a chance to hear the candidates. We came away with an conclusion which we shared with Bill Schneider of CNN in an interview. Since our mailbox didn’t fill up with e-mails about that interview, we presume it didn’t air. Here’s our conclusion:

Rudy Guiliani will defeat Hillary Clinton to become the next President of the United States.

Here’s why: Conservatives of different stripes, and on different issues, like Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Sam Brownback, Duncan Hunter, possibly Newt Gingrich, were at this conference seeking the “enthusiastic support” of the conservatives in the Republican Party. Each got some of that, with most of it at the CPAC meeting going to Mitt Romney.

But this is the simple, real world truth; the Republican Party consists of more than just the bedrock conservatives – even if they were monolithic, which they are not. And the 51% that it takes to win a national election consists of more than just the Republican Party.

Look at the polls which have come out in the last two weeks. All show the same pattern. Guiliani leads among Republicans, and he also leads against all currently-known Democrats. Why is that? The answer jumps out of the statistics. Many more independents and Democrats – yes, Democrats – support Guiliani, than any other Republican.

On the other side of the equation, it seems clear that the Hillary Clinton juggernaut will roll over all challengers, beginning with Barack Obama, and extending to the hapless John Edwards. But her statistics in a general election are weak. She has more in-house support, from her own party, than any other candidate. But when you get beyond her party, she is the weakest candidate among independents and the opposite party.

It’s happened before to both Republican and Democrat candidates. A particular candidate “owns” the nomination; no one could stop him (and now her). On the other hand, it’s clear even during the nomination process that this candidate would probably fail in the general election. Like lemmings, the party follows him (now her) over the cliff in the next election.

We watched something happen while Guiliani was speaking to the largely skeptical audience at CPAC. It demonstrated why those polling results are correct, and why Rudy will win both the Republican nomination and the general election.

First, he didn’t lie to the audience, or tapdance around them. Repeatedly, he said “we do not agree on all things.” He went on to discuss the five points he thought mattered. One was education, about which Guiliani said, “I made a mistake.” Originally, he thought he could improve the public schools themselves. Now, he has concluded that only parental choice to take their children out of failed public schools, will force them to improve.

Admitting a mistake, and taking a new and better direction, is a rare and attractive quality in a politician. Rudy showed that.

But most of all, he concentrated on his factual accomplishments in years of public service. He demonstrated he’s not just a man of words and slogans, but a man of accomplishment – in a rough environment and against high odds. That quality, actually doing things rather than forever spouting vague promises and idle slogans, will lead to Guiliani’s victory over Hillary Clinton.

The last ditch defense of some conservatives against Guiliani is attacking his sexuality through pictures of him when dressed as a woman for a charitable group. I mean, what man hasn’t dressed as a woman for charity?

Paint and Powder is a Baltimore organization that’s close to a century and a half old. In the beginning, it was all male. It’s long since coeducational, but it retains a “drag” routine in its shows. The largest men are cast as the females, and the smallest as the males, because that made the dances funnier.

I can vouch for the fact that it’s darned difficult to dance in high heels. I can also vouch for the fact that fishnet stockings make the soles of your feet look and feel like you’ve been standing on a waffle iron. No pictures survive of me in a wig and a Carmen Miranda dress. The American electorate can take a joke, and expect their politicians to be real humans rather than stuffed shirts. So, such attacks on Guiliani (or me) won’t amount to a hill of beans.

Expect Guiliani to carry most of the Bush states plus several of the Kerry-Gore states, and win going away.

- 30 -

About the Author: John Armor is a lawyer specializing in constitutional law, who may again be a candidate for Congress in the 11th District of North Carolina. John_Armor@aya.yale.edu

- 30 -


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cpac; duncanhunter; duncanloses2all; electionpresident; elections; giuliani; guiliani; hillary; hillaryclinton; kevmospam; lol; mittromney
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 141-160161-180181-200 ... 281-286 next last
To: M. Thatcher

How many times can you be wrong in 5 minutes? Billybob quickly admitted he did not include his fiance' traveling with him to Washington and that he should have mentioned this fact. He also quickly admitted that such an ommission would lead one to believe he was writing using the "royal we," and that by doing so could leave the wrong impression. Billybob likes to be precise and he knows he wasn't. No big deal.


161 posted on 03/05/2007 8:16:45 PM PST by Oystir
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 149 | View Replies]

To: Gop1040
All temper tantrum talk, but no viable alternative candidate. And I mean "viable".

What's wrong with Mitt Romney?

162 posted on 03/05/2007 8:17:10 PM PST by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 96 | View Replies]

To: cajungirl
"And you can chose to lose the battle to Hillary but mark my words, if we lose to Hillary, we may lose the war too. She is very dangerous."

To sell out everything your value, your core beliefs, just to have an (R) in the White House, describes the Rudy supports precisely. They have their price (and it is very low).

If Hitlery wins and attempts to mold the country into her Stalinist view, then a real WAR needs to take place in America.

A Republic needs a good blood letting every 200+ years or so.
163 posted on 03/05/2007 8:17:17 PM PST by MaDeuce (Do it to them, before they do it to you! (MaDeuce = John Browning's gift to freedom))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies]

To: dynachrome

it often works because many of the swing voters who don't pay close attention hold conservative values. If a dem candidate can properly pay lip service to those values, they can win - because the MSM isn't going to call them on it, and the hardcore libs aren't going to expect them to live up to those conservative promises when elected.

Put that up against a candidate on the record wanting to ban guns and register all handguns & owners and the dems have a big advantage in the southern states that are now the GOP's power base in the electoral college.


164 posted on 03/05/2007 8:18:07 PM PST by flashbunny (<--- Free Anti-Rino graphics! See Rudy the Rino get exposed as a liberal with his own words!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 154 | View Replies]

To: Blackirish
FLOPSWEATERS?

Sorry, but once again...

I don't SPEAK Northeastern Yankee speak. :)

165 posted on 03/05/2007 8:18:26 PM PST by DocH (Gun-grabbers, you can HAVE my guns... lead first.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 155 | View Replies]

To: Congressman Billybob
Somebody who dresses up like a girl and lived with two homosexuals and condemns what Ann Coulter said can go straight to hell...


166 posted on 03/05/2007 8:20:24 PM PST by Sir Francis Dashwood (LET'S ROLL!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: supercat
What's wrong with Mitt Romney?

The Book of Mormon.

167 posted on 03/05/2007 8:22:27 PM PST by Enosh (†)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 162 | View Replies]

To: Enosh

Wow --- what a crappy comment.


168 posted on 03/05/2007 8:23:05 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 167 | View Replies]

To: claudiustg

Aah, stop being so apocalyptic and just hold your nose and vote GOP. Sheesh. You'll live. I'd vote for whatever nudnick your dream candidate is as long as he defeats a Democrat.

This is Hillary we're talking about, dammit! Do I have to post pictures?


169 posted on 03/05/2007 8:23:14 PM PST by Jhensy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 160 | View Replies]

To: flashbunny

You are exactly right. I'm ashamed to admitt it worked on me several times. We have to be absolutely strict about saying no to gun grabbers. Let Rudy go back and run for governor of NY or something.


170 posted on 03/05/2007 8:24:17 PM PST by claudiustg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 164 | View Replies]

To: Jhensy

Better to lose to an actual enemy in the field than gut your own forces because you're pissing yourself with fear.


171 posted on 03/05/2007 8:27:07 PM PST by claudiustg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 169 | View Replies]

To: Congressman Billybob

By the way, I'll call one as I see it. I see the bandwagon propaganda approach in most of the advocacy for Giuliani. To attempt the bandwagon approach against conservatives for such an evil purpose is to publicly insult us and to imply that we go away.


172 posted on 03/05/2007 8:29:07 PM PST by familyop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: onyx
"crappy comment."

No, that was a direct, honest reply.

173 posted on 03/05/2007 8:32:23 PM PST by Enosh (†)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 168 | View Replies]

To: claudiustg
Better to lose to an actual enemy in the field than gut your own forces because you're pissing yourself with fear.

Damn straight I'm pissing myself with fear over President Hillary Clinton, Vice President Obama, and Secretary of State Bill Clinton.

174 posted on 03/05/2007 8:33:48 PM PST by Jhensy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 171 | View Replies]

To: muffaletaman
Rudy in New York is NOT Rudy in DC. In NY guns is one thing - at the national level, with the whole of the country at bear - something else intirely. He will NOT move against guns spontaneously at the very least, and he may well not oppose pro-gun moves.

Rudy has already attacked the Second-Amendment rights of everyone nationwide. What makes you think he won't do so again if given the chance?

175 posted on 03/05/2007 8:34:21 PM PST by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 144 | View Replies]

To: Enosh


It's a bigoted, ugly comment and if that's your position, I want no part of you.


176 posted on 03/05/2007 8:34:35 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 173 | View Replies]

To: Congressman Billybob

Rudy Rocks!


177 posted on 03/05/2007 8:34:55 PM PST by Verax ("Colored people are like human weeds and are to be exterminated - Planned Parenthood President,")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fishrrman
If your statement is in fact true, would it not be reasonable to chose the one who will get us there more slowly?

If civil war is inevitable, would it not be better to have it occur while most of the people who know what this country is supposed to be about are still alive?

178 posted on 03/05/2007 8:37:05 PM PST by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 158 | View Replies]

To: Oystir

So I take that as an acknowledgment that you were completely offbase in questioning the author's veracity and presence at CPAC.


179 posted on 03/05/2007 8:39:25 PM PST by M. Thatcher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 161 | View Replies]

To: Enosh
The Book of Mormon.

I don't have a reference for who said it first, but I'd rather have a polygamist who doesn't polyg, than a monogamist who doesn't monog.

There are a significant number of Mormons in national elected office, and I don't recall religion having been a problem for any of them. Romney's actions speak more of "family values" than Rudy's, and to me that matters more than the collection of books behind his faith.

180 posted on 03/05/2007 8:40:25 PM PST by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 167 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 141-160161-180181-200 ... 281-286 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson