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Records show January the hottest ever, thanks to El Niño and global warming, scientists say
ap on San Diego Union - Tribune ^ | 2/15/07 | Seth Borenstein - ap

Posted on 02/15/2007 6:35:24 PM PST by NormsRevenge

WASHINGTON – It may be cold comfort during a frigid February, but last month was by far the hottest January ever.

The broken record was fueled by a waning El Niño and a gradually warming world, according to U.S. scientists who reported the data Thursday. Records on the planet's temperature have been kept since 1880.

Spurred on by unusually warm Siberia, Canada, northern Asia and Europe, the world's land areas were 3.4 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than a normal January, according to the U.S. National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. That didn't just nudge past the old record set in 2002, but broke that mark by 0.81 degrees, which meteorologists said is a lot, since such records often are broken by hundredths of a degree at a time.

“That's pretty unusual for a record to be broken by that much,” said the data center's scientific services chief, David Easterling. “I was very surprised.”

The scientists went beyond their normal doublechecking and took the unusual step of running computer climate models “just to make sure that what we're seeing was real,” Easterling said.

It was.

“From one standpoint it is not unusual to have a new record because we've become accustomed to having records broken,” said Jay Lawrimore, climate monitoring branch chief. But January, he said, was a bigger jump than the world has seen in about 10 years.

The temperature of the world's land and water combined – the most effective measurement – was 1.53 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal, breaking the old record by more than one-quarter of a degree. Ocean temperatures alone didn't set a record.

In the Northern Hemisphere, land areas were 4.1 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal for January, breaking the old record by about three-quarters of a degree.

But the United States was about normal. The nation was 0.94 degrees Fahrenheit above normal for January, ranking only the 49th warmest since 1895.

The world's temperature record was driven by northern latitudes. Siberia was on average 9 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal. Eastern Europe had temperatures averaging 8 degrees Fahrenheit above normal. Canada on average was more than 5 degrees warmer than normal.

Larger increases in temperature farther north, compared to mid-latitudes, is “sort of the global warming signal,” Easterling said. It is what climate scientists predict happens and will happen more frequently with global warming, according to an authoritative report by hundreds of climate scientists issued this month.

Meteorologists aren't blaming the warmer January on global warming alone, but they said the higher temperature was consistent with climate change.

Easterling said a weakening El Niño – a warming of the central Pacific Ocean that tends to cause changes in weather across the globe – was a factor, but not a big one. But Kevin Trenberth, director of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, said El Niño made big changes worldwide that added up.

Temperature records break regularly with global warming, Trenberth said, but “with a little bit of El Niño thrown in, you don't just break records, you smash records.”

As much of the United States already knows, February doesn't seem as unusually warm as January was.

“Even with global warming, you're not going to keep that cold air bottled up in Alaska and Canada forever,” Easterling said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; elnino; elnio; globalwarming; hottest; january; lyingabouttheclimate; scientists
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To: NormsRevenge

They will have problems convincing the people in Colorado.


41 posted on 02/15/2007 7:32:38 PM PST by jch10
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To: NormsRevenge

More crap reporting from the AP


42 posted on 02/15/2007 7:32:45 PM PST by D-Chivas
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To: AmishDude

Don't be alarmed. It is an AP report, which means that it is about as scientific as a story in National Lampoon.


43 posted on 02/15/2007 7:33:51 PM PST by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: mtg
Sorry, that should have read hottest January ever.
44 posted on 02/15/2007 7:33:57 PM PST by mtg
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To: NormsRevenge
Records show January the hottest ever, thanks to El Niño and
global warming, scientists say


Those scientist haven't been in Mid-Missouri during Jan 15-Feb 15 2007.

We haven't seen 32 degrees F but one or two days in this time.

Today, it was 15 deg. at mid-day in Columbia, MO.

It's FREAKIN' COLD!

These scientist aren't retards.
They are geniuses at cherry-picking and DENIAL.
45 posted on 02/15/2007 7:34:53 PM PST by VOA
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To: NormsRevenge
The scientists went beyond their normal doublechecking and took the unusual step of running computer climate models “just to make sure that what we're seeing was real,” Easterling said.

It was.

I call BS.

46 posted on 02/15/2007 7:35:54 PM PST by Sir Gawain
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To: Spunky
"! I can't remember where they said it was though."

Nepal.

47 posted on 02/15/2007 7:39:30 PM PST by editor-surveyor
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To: editor-surveyor

My evidence: some Mexican-Sort-Of-Americans I've had some business
dealings with recently here in Mid-Missouri contacted me today.

"We're moving back to California!"

I didn't ask, but I suspect the Jan 15 to Feb 15 month of sub-freezing
temperatures (with a WEIRD one-day break into the low 50s) probably told
these folks it's time to get the H-ll out of Missouri.


48 posted on 02/15/2007 7:40:01 PM PST by VOA
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To: NormsRevenge

Let's talk about February.


49 posted on 02/15/2007 7:40:05 PM PST by Faith
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Comment #50 Removed by Moderator

To: editor-surveyor

The hottest ever?

Well, the snow plow sure has been active this winter. I guess one can get "hot" shovelling the walkways.


51 posted on 02/15/2007 7:40:40 PM PST by Cindy
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To: VOA

>>>>>>>"These scientist aren't retards.
They are geniuses at cherry-picking and DENIAL"<<<<<<

Only if there is GRANT MONEY involved, you see we must fund the STUDY because ALGORE says so.

There is NO MONEY available without a manufactured Crisis, very similar to the Manufactured Healthcare Crisis we have now, we didn't have one... involve the Government... now we have one.

Socialism ruins everything it touches

TT

TT


52 posted on 02/15/2007 7:41:57 PM PST by TexasTransplant (NEMO ME IMPUNE LACESSET)
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To: jch10
"They will have problems convincing the people in Colorado."

In the hills above Golden, my daughter's horses were tromping through snow up to their hackles in January.

53 posted on 02/15/2007 7:42:55 PM PST by editor-surveyor
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To: NormsRevenge

Someone evidently forgot to copy Antarctica on the global warming memo:

http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2007-02/osu-atd021207.php


54 posted on 02/15/2007 7:45:58 PM PST by Cringing Negativism Network (Mr. President: PARDON NACHO AND JOSE!)
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To: TexasTransplant
There is NO MONEY available without a manufactured Crisis

I spent a decade or so in academia.

While the researchers in academia do a lot of good, I learned that
the collateral down-side was just what you described.

"Imagineer" a crisis and gettin LOTS of grant money for it certainly seemed
to be a fast-track to tenure.
55 posted on 02/15/2007 7:48:03 PM PST by VOA
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To: NormsRevenge

San Diego had it's 5th coldest January in 65 years, my gas bill was double what it was in December and even December was exceptionally cold.


56 posted on 02/15/2007 7:50:55 PM PST by dalereed
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To: NormsRevenge

It's physically impossible for the average temperature on land and water to suddenly jump by 1.53 degrees in one year. This story is either not being reported correctly, or the average temperature doesn't include temperature measurements in more remote areas of the ocean which were lower than normal.


57 posted on 02/15/2007 7:51:40 PM PST by defenderSD (The concept of national martyrdom, combined with nuclear weapons, is extremely dangerous.)
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To: NormsRevenge

Records show January the hottest ever....



I've got issues with "ever".

What arrogance from scientists who cannot even provide a reliable weather forecast 3 days into the future.

Yep, I'm feudin' with the word "ever".


58 posted on 02/15/2007 7:52:01 PM PST by EyeGuy
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To: NormsRevenge
As much of the United States already knows, February doesn't seem as unusually warm as January was.

No, DUH!!! It's hardly broken 20 all month.

59 posted on 02/15/2007 7:52:19 PM PST by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

There no way, zero chance, that the average temperature of the earth on land and water suddenly jumped by 1.53 degrees in one year. I can't believe some of the stuff that journalists write these days.


60 posted on 02/15/2007 7:53:19 PM PST by defenderSD (The concept of national martyrdom, combined with nuclear weapons, is extremely dangerous.)
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