Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Dang...that's too bad.
Do you know who else was banned?
So its okay to tear the base asunder as long as you don't insult scumbag fifth columnists who are only supporting an agenda of disruption? Not in my opinion. I prefer to let the base determine a candidate without dividing the potentials and to attack those who use disingenuous words to insult, harass and otherwise disrupt those in the tent.
I am just careful not to insult, I feel some of teh Rudy supports are out for blood.
Lunitic Fringe was banned or suspended.
You and me both.
You just have to come to grips with the fact that once the nominee is chosen, some people aren't going to support him and will actively work to bring about a loss.
..he got under my skin on another thread--religious pejoratives are no way to advance one's argument
FWIW I didn't see anything offensive that JimFreedom was doing--of course I don't know what goes on in Freepmail...
He used photoshopped pics to insult fellow freepers. I know one was pulled.
This worries me, too.
I'll be voting FOR my candidate in the primaries, but AGAINST the Dems in the final election, no matter who wins the GOP nomination.
..sorry to hear that, he was always cool to me--and we did disagree...
From another thread:
I've been telling y'all and telling y'all and telling y'all.
The only matter of PRINCIPLE in 2008 is that she must be defeated. I don't care if the GOP nominee is pro choice, anti gun, pro illegals, pro muslim, and pro capital gains taxes. Whoever it is will be more American that this traitorous commie.
So y'all go ahead and posture and snipe at the GOP candidates for nominee and declare yourselves true believers of any stripe. I don't care. I have seen evil and it is her. NOTHING is more important than defeat of Hillary. NOTHING.
Thanks ~ great post
Well put, hear no evil, see no evil, speak no evil and write no evil. And thou shalt survive another day.
I think it had to do with the way he did it and how often. I know he had one photoshop pulled and the later did another one.
In order to defeat the beast we must become the beast? No thanks. Besides I doubt she will be the rat nominee. If I were you I would be more concerned about Richardson or Edwards.
Good idea!
Agree with you 100%! That's what this is all about -- division. I am convinced you are correct!
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