Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Going in twos is a smart idea. At one point, I had a part time day job, and would take a couple of kids, the dog, and a heavy Mag flashlight.
Another one bites the dust.
Its okay for Howlin to be an honest embarrassment as a human. You, on the other hand, purposely attempt to embarrass your namesake and all conservatives. You are nothing less than a fifth columnist, intent upon division and disruption.
Basically.
That is the second RudyRobot in the past 2 days. Lunitic Fringe is out too.
Your turn will come.
I did nothing. I am just reporting it. Both went to insulting others and were banned or suspended when those other complained. I may go after a liberal like Rino Rudy, but I never insult a fellow freeper.
Respect, nor respectful disagreement, is impossible for fifth columnist disruptors. Disrespect and disagreement are essential to their division.
Crazy.
Well said!
In what way?
Huh? Logically everyone in the world can be divided into the indicted and unidicted. Therefore, you could add Rudy to the unindicted list too. Delay was indicted in a ridiculous parody of a crime. Yes, Dems have shown a willingness to go crazy and use the legal system to destroy their political opponents, or even vocal critics. Ann Coulter is under threat of felony indictment for using her work address on her voter registration. Show me one example of anything like that ever being charged. Show me one example of double voting, a true vote-fraud crime, being charged in the state of Flordia. You can't.
If you have a charge to make, make it. Otherwise quit with the insinuation. It is unbecomming for a conservative.
Check your premises.
So abortion on demand is ok with you. Ugh.
Sigh. Some other time, narses. I have made my views on the abortion issue at this site quite clear, from soup to nuts.
:)
LOL, insist on - demanding in fact, my precise view on a subject and then "sigh" as an answer on your views. Sure. Whenever. 3,000 dead children today, another 3,000 tomorrow and again day after day. And you sigh. Sad.
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