Republicans 2008: Giuliani 29%, McCain 19% (Angus-Reid Poll)

angus-reid.com ^ | 2/2/2007 | Staff

[Dark Skies]

Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the top spot among Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 29 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in a 2008 presidential primary.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 19 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 16 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent. Support is lower for former Kansas senator Sam Brownback, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, and Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel.

On Jan. 29, Romney expressed his support for U.S. president George W. Bush’s recent decision to increase the number of troops in Iraq—without leaving his usually critic stance—saying, "I’m glad we’re seeing a change in strategy. I’m glad we’re adding to the mission of our military the protection of the safety of citizens in and around Baghdad. I don’t know how you could rebuild a country and an economy if your capital city is literally all covered by what we call a red zone. You know you’ve failed if you have a red zone. The conduct of our policy in Iraq has been fraught with a number of mistakes."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Republican Presidential Primary Contenders

	Jan. 25	Jan. 18	Jan. 11
Rudy Giuliani	29%	30%	28%
John McCain	19%	22%	20%
Newt Gingrich	16%	12%	14%
Mitt Romney	8%	10%	8%
Sam Brownback	3%	--	--
Mike Huckabee	1%	2%	--
Chuck Hagel	1%	1%	--

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 579 likely Republican voters, conducted from Jan. 22 to Jan. 25, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

[PhiKapMom]

I wondered if it wasn't Newt instead of Rudy -- I was right! Rudy never struck me as being wonkish! :)

[deport]

It's early in the primary season at best but like it or not this where the populace falls at this time... For some there is major ground to be made up and for others there is major ground that can be lost. Time will tell who will make up ground and who will lose.

The Poll in question

 18. – 23. Now I am going to read a list of possible candidates for the next presidential 
race. For each one, please tell me how comfortable you would be having that person as 
president. (RANDOMIZE) SCALE: 1. Extremely comfortable 2. Very comfortable 
3. Somewhat comfortable 4. Not very comfortable 5. Not at all comfortable 6. (Don’t know)

                         --- Comfortable ---     - Not comfortable - 
                        Extmly Vry Smwht         Nt vry Not (Don’t know) 
Hillary Clinton         12%    23   18            12     33     2 
Democrats               23%    40   21             7      8     1 
Republicans              3%     1   10            17     67     1 
Independents             7%    21   22            12     37     2

Rudy Giuliani            8%    26   31            12     12    11 
Democrats                5%    20   27            19     19    10 
Republicans             14%    37   32             4      5     9 
Independents             6%    26   39             9     11     9

John McCain              6%    20   32            12     15    14 
Democrats                4%    12   30            19     20    14 
Republicans              9%    31   35             7      8    10 
Independents             8%    23   32             9     15    13

[Dark Skies]

Past my bedtime...vy error prone!:-)

[Dark Skies]

Rudy Guiliani has marched in lockstep with liberals on affirmative action

No he didn't. He killed affirmative action in NYC.

[deport]

Others will enter and some will drop out..... Newtie says wait until Sept.......

Election 2008

Republican Candidates Running in 2008 Presidential Election

2008 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE	FAV/UNFAV RATING	IDEOLOGY	GENERAL ELECTION MATCH-UP
SAM BROWNBACK	22% / 23% History	Conservative: 13% Moderate: 16% Liberal: 7% History
NEWT GINGRICH	39% / 52% History	Conservative: 63% Moderate: 15% Liberal: 9% History	Gingrich (41%) Clinton (50%) Gingrich (36%) Gore (52%) Gingrich (38%) Kerry (47%) Gingrich (38%) Obama (48%)
RUDY GIULIANI	63% / 29% History	Conservative: 28% Moderate: 47% Liberal: 11% History	Giuliani (54%) Biden (35%) Giuliani (47%) Clinton (43%) Giuliani (44%) Dodd (39%) Giuliani (49%) Edwards (41%) Giuliani (46%) Gore (43%) Giuliani (51%) Kerry (37%) Giuliani (50%) Obama (39%) Giuliani (49%) Richardson (34%) Giuliani (56%) Vilsack (28%)
CHUCK HAGEL	22% / 30% History	Conservative: 9% Moderate: 26% Liberal: 9% History
MIKE HUCKABEE	18% / 25% History	Conservative: 11% Moderate: 19% Liberal: 7% History	Huckabee (33%) Edwards (50%) Huckabee (31%) Obama (50%) Huckabee (29%) Vilsack (37%)
DUNCAN HUNTER	19% / 25% History
JOHN McCAIN	52% / 39% History	Conservative: 26% Moderate: 47% Liberal: 12% History	McCain (48%) Biden (36%) McCain (51%) Clark (33%) McCain (49%) Clinton (45%) McCain (52%) Dodd (33%) McCain (43%) Edwards (46%) McCain (49%) Gore (44%) McCain (53%) Kerry (35%) McCain (44%) Obama (47%) McCain (43%) Richardson (39%) McCain (49%) Vilsack (42%)
MITT ROMNEY	29% / 35% History	Conservative: 36% Moderate: 30% Liberal: 8% History	Romney (41%) Clinton (49%) Romney (39%) Gore (50%) Romney (32%) Edwards (54%) Romney (35%) Obama (48%) Romney (35%) Vilsack (39%)

Rasmussen Reports Home

[politicalwit]

Wow...after scrolling down the responses I find it amazing how the media manipulates so many folks. You have a "front-runner" that is about as conservative as the Clinton's; the next candidate that's as crazy as a loon and the third place polling candidate with the morals and ethics of a tom cat and Bill Clinton combined. Why doesn't someone in the Republican party just go ahead and pull the trigger? Conservatives aren't going to buy this crap anymore.

[Dark Skies]

Newtie might make a great Veep.

[familyop]

"Why are 2 Democrats leading the Republican list?"

...because their proponents are noisier and craftier than most.

[Phone rings.]

Fat man wearing women's underwear: "Hello?"

Pollster: "We're surveying Republicans. Would you like to participate?"

Fat man wearing women's underwear: "Why, yes!!!! Oh, yes, I'm a Republican, and I'm surely going to vote!" [Yeah, that's the ticket.]

[Dark Skies]

...after scrolling down the responses I find it amazing how the media manipulates so many folks.

Thx politicaltwit...can't believe we were pulling for a winner.

Dang that manipulative media.

[onyx]

Thanks, deport.

[deport]

Who among them will be the next Howard Dean?

---

Polling Report.com

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Jan. 24-25, 2007. N=332 registered Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 6.

						.
"Suppose the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between [see below]. Who would you MOST like to see nominated?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward [see below]?"
						.
		Rudy Giuliani	John McCain	Unsure
		%	%	%
	1/24-25/07	48	44	8
						.
		Rudy Giuliani	Mitt Romney	Unsure
		%	%	%
	1/24-25/07	72	17	11
						.
		John McCain	Mitt Romney	Unsure
		%	%	%
	1/24-25/07	69	19	12

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Jan. 22-23, 2007. N=441 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican.

					.
"Now I'm going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Republican Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for. . . ." Names rotated
					.
		%
	John McCain	30
	Rudy Giuliani	26
	Newt Gingrich	14
	Mitt Romney	5
	Sam Brownback	3
	George Pataki	2
	Tom Tancredo	1
	Chuck Hagel	1
	Mike Huckabee	1
	Jim Gilmore	1
	Other (vol.)	1
	Unsure	14
	Won't vote (vol.)	1
					.
"What if your choices for the Republican nomination were just John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Rudy Giuliani -- which one would you vote for?" Names rotated
					.
		%
	John McCain	43
	Rudy Giuliani	40
	Mitt Romney	8
	None of these (vol.)	1
	Unsure	8

 

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Jan. 19-21, 2007. N=365 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5.

					.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ." Names rotated
					.
		1/19-21/07	12/5-7/06	11/17-19/06	10/27-29/06	8/30 - 9/2/06
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	32	29	33	29	32
	John McCain	26	24	30	27	21
	Newt Gingrich	9	13	9	12	12
	Mitt Romney	7	6	9	7	6
	Jim Gilmore	3	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
	George Pataki	3	2	1	5	3
	Sam Brownback	2	2	2	1	1
	Chuck Hagel	1	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
	Mike Huckabee	1	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
	Duncan Hunter	1	1	2	n/a	n/a
	Ron Paul	1	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
	Tom Tancredo	1	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
	Tommy Thompson	1	2	3	n/a	n/a
	Unsure	12	23	8	11	14
	Bill Frist	n/a	n/a	3	6	4
	George Allen	n/a	n/a	n/a	2	7

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 16-19, 2007. N=344 leaned Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 5. Fieldwork by TNS.

					.
"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated
					.
		1/16-19/07	12/7-11/06
		%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	34	34
	John McCain	27	26
	Newt Gingrich	9	12
	Mitt Romney	9	5
	George Pataki	2	3
	Sam Brownback	1	1
	Jim Gilmore	1	n/a
	Mike Huckabee	1	-
	Ron Paul	1	n/a
	Tom Tancredo	1	-
	Tommy Thompson	1	2
	Chuck Hagel	-	-
	Duncan Hunter	-	1
	None of these (vol.)	2	6
	Unsure	9	9
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	1	-

 

Gallup Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2007. N=412 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

					.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated. Rice was included in the list of candidates in 2006.
					.
		1/12-14/07	12/11-14/06	11/9-12/06
		%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	31	28	28
	John McCain	27	28	26
	Newt Gingrich	10	8	7
	Mitt Romney	7	4	5
	George Pataki	3	1	1
	Tommy Thompson	2	2	n/a
	Jim Gilmore	2	n/a	n/a
	Sam Brownback	1	2	1
	Mike Huckabee	1	2	1
	Chuck Hagel	1	1	1
	Condoleezza Rice (vol.)	1	12	13
	Duncan Hunter	-	1	-
	Someone else	2	1	2
	None (vol.)	3	3	3
	Unsure	10	7	7
	George Allen	n/a	2	2
	Bill Frist	n/a	n/a	4

[Dark Skies]

Uh oh...Duncan Hunter has fallen behind "someone else."

I wonder what that means?

[Rex Anderson]

It means there will be spam as far as the eyes can see.

[Dark Skies]

lol...right you are.

[PhiKapMom]

LOL!!!

[politicalwit]

Republicans and the Republican party have done absolutely nothing to prime candidates for the 2008 Presidential election. They've known for years what needs to be done but just as their legislative record have failed to produce.

[BunnySlippers]

You're funny! :)
I'm happy!

[Salvation]

Giuliani bump.

[AmeriBrit]

The spammers remind me of that 3yr old kid that had a tantrum on the plane last week.

[narses]

Tuesday, June 20, 2000 MAYOR GIULIANI AND SPEAKER VALLONE ANNOUNCE CITY LAWSUIT AGAINST GUN INDUSTRY

I is and Rudy ain't.