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Poll: Ohioans Favor Clinton, Guiliani for President (Quinnipiac Poll)
Kansas City Star ^ | 1/29/07

Posted on 01/30/2007 5:41:01 AM PST by areafiftyone

COLUMBUS, Ohio - Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a strong lead over other Democratic presidential contenders in a new poll of voters in Ohio, the closely divided swing state that tipped the 2004 election for President Bush.

Former New York Mayor Rudy Guiliani, who appeared in TV ads and at fundraisers during last year's gubernatorial race, is the favorite among the state's Republican voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday. He is favored by 30 percent of voters surveyed compared to 22 percent for Sen. John McCain, 11 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and 4 percent for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

Among Ohio Democrats, 38 percent pick Clinton, 13 percent pick Sen. Barack Obama, 11 percent pick former vice presidential candidate John Edwards, and 6 percent would vote for former Vice President Al Gore. Ohio's own Rep. Dennis Kucinich gets just 2 percent of the vote, or less than the survey's margin of error.

"Those who say Sen. Hillary Clinton can't win the White House because she can't win a key swing state like Ohio might rethink their assumption," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

The institute polled 1,305 registered Ohio voters by phone from last Tuesday to Sunday. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. When results are broken down by party, the margin of error rises to plus or minus 4 percentage points for Democrats, and plus or minus 5 percentage points for Republicans.

Though she holds a strong early lead within her own party, Clinton also faces the strongest bloc of voters among the early contenders - 38 percent - who dislike her, perhaps explaining why she did not beat the poll's margin of error in any of the head-to-head match-ups tested.

The survey found hypothetical contests between Clinton and Guiliani, Clinton and McCain, Obama and McCain, and Edwards and McCain all within the margin of error.

"Given their stronger overall image, Mayor Guiliani and Sen. McCain would seem to have the potential to improve their standing," Brown said. "That might be much more difficult for Sen. Clinton because of the larger number of voters who don't like her."

The poll also found that 60 percent of Ohio voters oppose Bush's plan to send 22,000 additional troops into Iraq. Fifty-six percent say going to war in Iraq was wrong, and 65 percent dislike Bush's handling of the situation.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: elections; gopnomination; ohio
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To: veronica

You are right on the money - the vast majority sit and watch and act merely as "Monday morning quarterbacks".

Being negative is like frowning - it's easy because it takes less muscle than smiling - know what I mean?

Nice to see you're a player.


41 posted on 01/30/2007 6:23:00 AM PST by Jake The Goose
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To: Hydroshock

I know many conservatives who will be voting for him. But why am I preaching to the choir? LOL!


42 posted on 01/30/2007 6:23:00 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone
Though she holds a strong early lead within her own party, Clinton also faces the strongest bloc of voters among the early contenders - 38 percent - who dislike her, perhaps explaining why she did not beat the poll's margin of error in any of the head-to-head match-ups tested.

This is the most important line in the story. The ONLY way that Hillary can win is if conservatives split the vote by nominating a RINO Republican and a conservative 3rd party candidate is forced to run. Hillary's negatives are so high that we can take our pick of nominees. Her husband never got a majority of the vote and neither will she.

On the other hand if it is so important for you to have a Republican in the WH, I say we just convince Hillary to change her party affiliation and nominate her. Republicans don't care about the positions of their candidates and Democrats don't care about the honesty of their's. Everyone will be happy. You will have your Republican and the Dems will get their policies enacted.

43 posted on 01/30/2007 6:23:23 AM PST by nitzy (America is a nation not an economy)
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To: Jake The Goose
They're going to run to the middle or the right anyway.

Dunten Dunkin is this months Diane Irey. I have not ever gotten a response from the Rudy Haters about how one of there unknown guys will be able to pull a national campaign and a 100 mill in a by Feb 5 08. When they don't have dime friggin one now.
44 posted on 01/30/2007 6:26:12 AM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: GulfBreeze

Good Morning Gulf Breeze! Glad to see you on here. You are one of the few Duncan Hunter fans who are pleasant to talk to. I'm glad you are sticking with Duncan Hunter and you should. He's a good man in many ways and if he wins the primary - he will get my vote. He's doing pretty well so far. I have this feeling he might even surpass McCain. I heard McCain is not doing too well.


45 posted on 01/30/2007 6:26:25 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: Jake The Goose
Working on a campaign is really fun. I've had many adventures due to my political activism, and met people I would never have met otherwise. In fact I have a partner on some projects that I met through a political organization. We met at a luncheon for a political candidate. Pure serendipity, or maybe not.
46 posted on 01/30/2007 6:28:40 AM PST by veronica (http://z8.invisionfree.com/Tears_of_a_Kloughn/index.php?showforum=1)
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To: nitzy; All

Let me tell you something that maybe you didn't notice on these threads - the ones who say they would rather vote for HILLARY are NOT the Rudy fans - they are the Rudy haters. That shows where their loyalty really is. The Rudy fans will vote for the Republican who wins - the Rudy haters will stay home and/or vote for Hillary if their guy doesn't win. What does that say about them? Traitors may be a strong word or it might not. Think about it!


47 posted on 01/30/2007 6:29:42 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone

We do? Funny, I don't remember anybody asking me or my husband.


48 posted on 01/30/2007 6:29:54 AM PST by yankeedame ("Oh, I can take it but I'd much rather dish it out.")
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To: Blackirish

Good observation and analogy.

One thing to always consider - many of these people run for President for reasons far less noble than actually being President.

-- They raise lots of money - don't spend it all - and keep it.

-- They face other campaigns down the road (House, Senate, et.) and want to raise their exposure.

-- Simple resume padding for the "speakers tour" - i.e. higher fees.

Running for President is easy - being serious is not.


49 posted on 01/30/2007 6:30:31 AM PST by Jake The Goose
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To: Baynative

Is it love?


50 posted on 01/30/2007 6:30:43 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: narses

WOW. The MSM is really pushing for Guiliani.

Well Rudy McRomney will split the rino vote making room for a real conservative.

Duncan Hunter in '08.


51 posted on 01/30/2007 6:31:22 AM PST by proudpapa (Forget Rudy McRomney it's Duncan Hunter in '08!)
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To: areafiftyone

No - just P_nis envy.


52 posted on 01/30/2007 6:31:58 AM PST by Jake The Goose
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To: Jake The Goose

LOL! You bad!


53 posted on 01/30/2007 6:32:20 AM PST by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: Mr. K
Lets do what the liberal media say and elect Rudy to represent us~!!

Do whatever you want, but the bald fact remains that Guiliani is the front-runner among the MAJORITY of Republicans.

And no, I do not believe that Free Republic reflects the majority of Republicans.

54 posted on 01/30/2007 6:32:34 AM PST by Wormwood (Your Friendly Neighborhood Moderate)
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To: areafiftyone

Notice I didn't say which had the envy of the other...


55 posted on 01/30/2007 6:33:03 AM PST by Jake The Goose
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To: Jake The Goose

OR to get a VP slot


56 posted on 01/30/2007 6:33:53 AM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: GulfBreeze

After voting I was left with this question:

I wonder why so many non-members are supporting Newt?

Then I realized that they are likely dem's that would love to see Newt's campaign get off the ground, knowing that he would be toast in the general election.


57 posted on 01/30/2007 6:35:44 AM PST by proudpapa (Forget Rudy McRomney it's Duncan Hunter in '08!)
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To: areafiftyone

Its beginning to look like us conservatives are doomed.....We're Damned with Hillary and Damned with Rudy......

This is just another symptom of the liberalization of America.....look at the EU and Canada et el and see where we are headed.

May God Have Mercy upon America.


58 posted on 01/30/2007 6:37:16 AM PST by Halgr (Once a Marine, always a Marine - Semper Fi)
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To: proudpapa

Keep in mind - for the next 18 months many people voice their choice by "who they like" - it's not until the final 6 months that polls begin to reflect - "who can win" and "who will get my vote".

Polls right now are pretty meaningless - just indicators.


59 posted on 01/30/2007 6:37:27 AM PST by Jake The Goose
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To: areafiftyone
Yea McCain is tanking a bit. How about Hillary yesterday and that "evil men" thing? I think that could be the REAL point of descent for her.
60 posted on 01/30/2007 6:38:34 AM PST by GulfBreeze (Proverbs-"A fool says in his heart, there is no God."-Meaning: God doesn't believe atheists exist.)
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