Posted on 01/17/2007 7:55:38 AM PST by seanmerc
Political analyst Dick Morris used a baseball analogy out of season to summarize what he considers the bleak prospects for Republican victory in the 2008 presidential election.
"I think you’ll see one of the minor leaguers win it [the GOP nomination],” Morris told Fox News Channel.
Morris thinks the leading Republican candidates – Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich – are "too flawed” to win the hearts and votes of conservatives in the early primaries.
"The top four candidates for the Republican nomination can’t win,” Morris said. "Rudy Giuliani, John McCain . . . Romney with all of the flip-flops on abortion and Newt Gingrich, who I don’t think gets into it.”
That leaves a cast of lesser-known Republicans in line for a surprise run toward the nomination.
"I think that the Republican nominee is going to be one of these minor leaguers: [Tom] Tancredo, [Mike] Huckabee, [Sam] Brownback, [Jim] Gilmore from Virginia, Duncan Hunter from California,” Morris said. "It’s like the pitching rotation is all going to be injured at the World Series and the Triple –A pitching staff, one of them is going to pitch the opening game.”
Morris suggests the GOP will face Hillary Clinton in "the big game,” despite all of the buzz surrounding Sen. Barack Obama.
"Obama serves the function of keeping Al Gore out of the race,” Morris said. "He just sucks up too much of the anti-Hillary vote, but he won’t win.”
Morris said Obama’s showing in the primaries may boost Hillary to victory in the general election.
"Hillary will run a vigorous race against Obama, probably a nasty race,” he said. "She defeats him, then reaches out to African-American voters and puts Obama on as vice president.
"I have said from the very beginning, Hillary is the Democratic nominee and she is the next president of the United States.”
Oh, great. Now a bunch of these perpetual malcontent FReepers will be quoting always-wrong Morris endlessly to prop up their impossible candidates.
Yours doesn't. That's for sure.
Check the tagline.
You sure? As I remember, Bush was always the presumptive front-runner after his re-election as governor in 1998. John McCain came later and gave him a bit of a shock, but outside the two there was never anybody who attracted much buzz.
What exactly is a "minor leaguer"? If it means not being a household name then, yes, the people he mentions are minor leaguers. If he's talking about people with the experience and qualifications to be president, then it seems to me that Obama more than fits the bill. Major leaguers are not the guys who look best in the uniform, or who have the greatest media presence, or who date the hottest chicks; the major leaguers are the ones who have what it takes to do the job in a major league way.
Of course I could be wrong and a guy I heard on the radio this morning could be right. He said that these days we elect a class president. I had to think for a second to figure out what he meant. Not a president with class. But president of the class -- like in high school.
YOU'RE one of THEM!
"I think that the Republican nominee is going to be one of these minor leaguers: [Tom] Tancredo, [Mike] Huckabee, [Sam] Brownback, [Jim] Gilmore from Virginia, Duncan Hunter from California,”
If that is true, then it seems to me that Huckabee has the best chance to win the nomination, over Gilmore and then finally Brownback.
I think by April of that year he had raised more money than anyone else, ever, at that time. By that yardstick it looks like Romney is going to be the man to beat. And I'm not sure I have such a big problem with that. We'll see.
[Tom] Tancredo,
[Mike] Huckabee,
[Sam] Brownback,
[Jim] Gilmore
Duncan Hunter
Newt Gingrich
He doesn't mention
John McCain
Rudy Guiliani
Mitt Romney
So who will win the primary in YOUR state?
Yet you oppose those with a chance to beat her.
How much do you want to bet that Morris is wrong?
Yours doesn't. That's for sure.
I tend to agree.
By getting in this early and pushing conservative issues for the GOP, Tancredo and/or Hunter could be the one to beat.
McCain didn't even straw-poll well in his home state.
Tancredo/Hunter can move the issues from the countryclub fat-cat Republican agenda to a more conservative agenda. And illegal immigration will be an issue in the 08 election.
A further nightmare for the countryclub fat-cats could be Bloomberg running as an Independent. He could peel away support for the 'top' GOP guys -- McCain, Guliani.
And if Hillary does the usually left-4-primaries, center-4-general election, and if Tancredo/Hunter is the opposition, they could pull the conservative (Reagan) Democrat vote from her.
Check this out http://www.draftnewt.org/december.jpg
Can Dicky see his idol clinton not making the WH????? Isn't that toooo bad....
"That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to TRY TO alter or to abolish it..."
It doesn't matter one iota if Morris is right or wrong. What matters is who will be the nominee of the GOP in 2008, and are we going to roll over and play dead for the liberals?
Morris is again dead wrong, which is his stock-in-trade. None of those minor league candidates will ever have the money to take down all of the top tier GOP candidates. And despite the lack of pragmatism by some mouth breathing, knuckle-dragging absolutist non-thinkers in the GOP, I think the majority of the GOP wants a winner who can beat superstar Democratic candidates like Hillary or Barak Abomination and will vote for one of the three strongest GOP candidates. I think most of us see a half a plate will be better than a full plate of what we don't want should a Democratic president be elected.
Morris also forgets that current polls show little or no popularity for these no-name candidates as well with the top 3 still being Guiliani, McCain or Romney.
Nearly a quarter-century of Bush/Clinton is more than enough Clinton fatigue and Bush fatigue to last.
It is time to elect ABBC - Anyone But a Bush or Clinton.
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