Posted on 01/17/2007 7:55:38 AM PST by seanmerc
Political analyst Dick Morris used a baseball analogy out of season to summarize what he considers the bleak prospects for Republican victory in the 2008 presidential election.
"I think you’ll see one of the minor leaguers win it [the GOP nomination],” Morris told Fox News Channel.
Morris thinks the leading Republican candidates – Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich – are "too flawed” to win the hearts and votes of conservatives in the early primaries.
"The top four candidates for the Republican nomination can’t win,” Morris said. "Rudy Giuliani, John McCain . . . Romney with all of the flip-flops on abortion and Newt Gingrich, who I don’t think gets into it.”
That leaves a cast of lesser-known Republicans in line for a surprise run toward the nomination.
"I think that the Republican nominee is going to be one of these minor leaguers: [Tom] Tancredo, [Mike] Huckabee, [Sam] Brownback, [Jim] Gilmore from Virginia, Duncan Hunter from California,” Morris said. "It’s like the pitching rotation is all going to be injured at the World Series and the Triple –A pitching staff, one of them is going to pitch the opening game.”
Morris suggests the GOP will face Hillary Clinton in "the big game,” despite all of the buzz surrounding Sen. Barack Obama.
"Obama serves the function of keeping Al Gore out of the race,” Morris said. "He just sucks up too much of the anti-Hillary vote, but he won’t win.”
Morris said Obama’s showing in the primaries may boost Hillary to victory in the general election.
"Hillary will run a vigorous race against Obama, probably a nasty race,” he said. "She defeats him, then reaches out to African-American voters and puts Obama on as vice president.
"I have said from the very beginning, Hillary is the Democratic nominee and she is the next president of the United States.”
Mehlman "leaked" top secret, high level info to Log Cabin Republicans----then tendered his resignation over his traitorous act, but it was refused.
God knows what else this crumbcake leaked.
Mehlman was notorious for his belligerent attitude to longtime conservative Republicans and for engaging donors in confrontations.
Kenny's Big Plan was to dump social conservatives off the party. But it was Kenny Smartstuff who got his *** handed to him after the Nov debacle.
Kenny's foisting Julie-Annie on the party was and is a stupid idea.
If conservative vote third party, they will give us Hillary - just as Ross Perot gave us Clinton. It would be a terrible, terrible mistake.
I think Gilmore has a decent chance. This is all because GEORGE ALLEN BLEW IT IN VIRGINIA!!!! And Rick Santorum lost also. Looks at what has happened. I still think that Romney is the man to beat. He is saying the right things and as a pro lifer, I welcome converts to the cause. I am angry at Brownback for not backing the increase in troops in Iraq.
George Allen forgot that he had to be elected Senator again in order to run for President. Now Virginia has the despicable Jim Webb. What a sad state of affairs! Watch for Romney and Gilmore.
and then he would get us killed!
That's a very good point, and it's the same way that the Democrats won power back. They were willing to compromise and run more conservative candidates in some districts/states.
I didn't know that Mehlman had dissed social conservatives. When I met him, I thanked him for W.'s pro life work.
ok, so that explains his FIRST divorce ...
Newt is brilliant and the best spokesman for the GOP/conservatives on the scene today. However, you can't say he isn't flawed. If his personal discipline were half as good as his political discipline, he'd have the nomination and the presidency in a heartbeat. As it is, he has a lot to overcome, and I'm not so sure as you that he can do it.
As Ingraham mentioned in a snipe attack on another Pres candidate, depending on the speech writer more or fewer verbs may be conjugated.
I would like to hear Rudy disavow abortion on demand.
I'm glad Allen is out of the presidential race, but he was running up against a smear campaign based, really, on the man's mother. It was dispicable what they (largely the WaPo) did and it shows that a biased media still has power. Lots of power.
Allen should have come clean about his mother's background years ago, and I can't understand why he didn't. They had nothing to be ashamed of. Krauthammer wrote a good article about this. Webb is a nasty bigoted man who appeals to the worst in people - as does the Washington Compost. I hope Webb is kicked out the next time around.
I could stomach the tanking economy, the marching toward socialism and every other imaginable calamity that might befall this nation but I could not stomach knowing the satisfaction that egotistical power hungry bitch is enjoying nor could I stomach knowing how drastically the American voter's mental capacity has diminished to make that happen.
Being a gun-grabber is simply not practical politics. Just ask Al Gore. There is no way Rudy will shake that baggage. We're too big of a political force, and Rudy will never gain the endorsement of any gun organization.
BRILLIANT!
Both of whom were assasinated before obtaining the big goal. Any suggestions?
Frankly, that is a very selective reading of Huckabee's political career. True, he became governor when Jim Guy Tucker was convicted but he won the lt. governor position in a state-wide election prior to that. He won two elections to the office of governor after that.
Huckabee did lose his first statewide race to Dale Bumpers in 1992 but Huckabee was facing a popular, incumbent senator in an election when his opponent's ticket was headed by the state's "favorite son" running as President. To say the least, the deck was pretty severely stacked against Huckabee in 1992. I don't know who submitted that Wikipedia piece on Mike Huckabee but it seemed very biased against him.
I'm not suggesting anything.However,just as Colin Powell was said to have skipped the 2000 race because of his wife's fear that he'd be assassinated (a race which I'd wager that he would have won),The Former Twelfth Lady has *got* to know that she'd be in far more danger than most Presidential candidates.
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