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Ms. Jennings, you lost — and that’s it. (FL 13th Congressional Election)
The Hill ^ | Jan. 4, 2007 | Byron York

Posted on 01/04/2007 7:04:22 PM PST by JulieRNR21

Ms. Jennings, you lost — and that’s it. Welcome, Rep. Jennings!

Well, OK, it’s not actually Rep. Jennings. But Christine Jennings very much believes she should be Rep. Christine Jennings, D-Fla. And some of her Democratic would-be colleagues believe she should be, too.

They would have a good case — if only Jennings had won the election.

In case you haven’t been following it, Jennings ran against Republican Vern Buchanan in Florida’s 13th Congressional District.

It was close the whole way. On election night, Buchanan beat Jennings by 364 votes out of 238,000 votes cast.

It was entirely reasonable for Jennings to want a recount. And then another recount. But both confirmed Buchanan’s victory; by the end of the process, he was certified the winner by 369 votes.

That should have been it. But Jennings refused — and still refuses — to concede.

Some of her supporters have engaged in darkly conspiratorial musings about the number of undervotes in the race — that is, ballots in which people voted in other races but did not cast a vote in the Jennings vs. Buchanan contest.

There’s no doubt there were a lot of undervotes — about 18,000, a little less than 13 percent. The greatest number of them were concentrated in Sarasota County, although the 13th District also includes parts of four other counties.

The Jennings camp immediately suggested there was something wrong with Sarasota County’s electronic touchscreen voting machines.

But county officials looked the machines over and over, tested them and re-tested them, and found nothing wrong. “We did not have any equipment failure,” said county elections chief Kathy Dent.

So Jennings went to court. On the day Buchanan’s victory was certified, Jennings filed a lawsuit alleging the election results were off by thousands of votes because of the “pervasive malfunctioning of electronic voting machines.”

It sounded good, but there was absolutely no evidence to support Jennings’s claim. On the other hand, there were the undervotes. Everyone agrees that 18,000 undervotes is a lot (even though there had once been 12,000 undervotes in a 13th District race). What accounts for it?

That’s where three political scientists — James Honacker and Jeffrey Lewis of UCLA and Michael Herron of Dartmouth — come in.

Almost immediately after the election, they began looking into the matter. The paper they completed in late December, “Ballot Formats, Touchscreens and Undervotes: A Study of the 2006 Midterm Elections in Florida,” should be read by anyone interested in the race.

Just like the voting authorities, Honacker, Lewis, and Herron didn’t find any evidence of machine malfunction.

But they did find a problem with the way Sarasota County’s ballot was designed.

As it turned out, machines in other counties put the 13th District race on a screen of its own. Voters chose either Jennings or Buchanan.

But in Sarasota County, the 13th District race shared the same screen with the Florida governor’s race. The governor’s ballot included more candidates and took up much of the screen. And of course, it involved a race that had been featured heavily in the news.

All that, Honacker, Lewis, and Herron found, tended to draw voters’ eyes to the governor’s ballot — and away from the smaller, less-featured 13th District ballot. Thus the undervotes.

It was as simple as that.

Other findings supported the researchers’ conclusion. For example, they discovered that in other counties, when two or more other races were squeezed on the same screen, there was also a higher number of undervotes.

And this week the Sarasota Herald Tribune reported that in precincts where most voters were over 65 years of age, the undervote was a whopping 18 percent — 40 percent higher than precincts where most of the voters were younger. The obvious message is that some older voters had trouble handling the on-screen ballot arrangement.

All of which points to the finding that the ballot for the 13th District race in Sarasota County was confusing to some voters. Honacker, Lewis, and Herron concluded that touchscreen voting systems “should not combine important races on the same voting page.”

Well, that’s pretty obvious. But the bottom line is: no corruption, no stolen votes, no conspiracies. Just a flawed ballot, no doubt like other flawed ballots in other races around the country. It’s a problem to be fixed, not a crime to be investigated.

Jennings isn’t buying it. Heavily invested in the idea of machine malfunction, she went to court to demand the right to examine the voting machines’ software. Last week, a judge said no.

Now Jennings is pretty much down to her last option: politics. And even that isn’t looking so good.

The new Democratic House leadership could refuse to seat Buchanan, but instead it will simply launch an inquiry into the matter. Of course, that inquiry is almost certain to find what the previous inquiries have found.

And that means, in the end, Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Fla., will stay right where he is. And yet another Florida frenzy will turn out to be unfounded.

York is a White House correspondent for National Review. His column appears in The Hill each week. E-mail: byork@nationalreview.com


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: buchanan; congress; election; florida
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To: JulieRNR21
So basically; an undervote is just someone missing out on voting in a particular race while voting for others? If that is so then there were twenty million undervotes nationwide for republican candidates two months ago.
21 posted on 01/04/2007 9:59:02 PM PST by samm1148 (Pennsylvania-They haven't taxed air--yet)
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To: VeniVidiVici
Please send me your name, address and SSN so I can file a lawsuit.

You got it, man! Here is my info:

Nigerian Receivership Relief Fund
2297 Scam Drive
Wherever, Somewhere, Nigeria

There's millions of dollars just waiting for you at this address. Can't wait 'till ya send the $20k 'processing fee'

/grin

22 posted on 01/04/2007 10:42:31 PM PST by Mr_Moonlight
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To: GoBucks2002
Rats did this to someone in Indiana in the 1980s. They seated the Rat who lost rather than the Republican who won.

I have a feeling that they would have gotten away with this as well, if it were not for the internet and talk radio.

23 posted on 01/04/2007 11:24:04 PM PST by Hacksaw (Frohe Weihnachten!)
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To: JulieRNR21
That should have been it. But Jennings refused — and still refuses — to concede.

She learned her lesson from Algore.

24 posted on 01/04/2007 11:28:56 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: calljack
Ms. Jennings your Kung Fu is not strong.

*snort* I love that movie, cheesy as it is!

25 posted on 01/04/2007 11:29:57 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: JulieRNR21

Lets see when a Democrat wins the election is fine, but when a Republicans wins there is voter fraud or broken machines or hanging chads or 10,000 reasons. Democrats are both poor winners and losers, they have no class.


26 posted on 01/04/2007 11:41:48 PM PST by Exton1
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To: All; JulieRNR21
Honacker, Lewis, and Herron concluded that touchscreen voting systems “should not combine important races on the same voting page.”

There are *NO* unimportant races in a representative republican.

27 posted on 01/04/2007 11:44:14 PM PST by newzjunkey (Social Security Agreement with Mexico Released: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1762624/post)
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...
Of course, if it had been that Jennings had squeaked by in the election, the same lickspittle leftmedia that is currently screaming about "undervotes" would be hollering for Buchanan to concede.

As usual, the political left displays a double-standard that is as big and as glaring as the sun in the sky.

Florida Freeper


28 posted on 01/05/2007 6:23:44 AM PST by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism. *NRA*)
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To: JulieRNR21
I just read in the Bradenton paper today that they are contesting four other races here in the state....The totals are allot larger and probably will not go any where. Every race here in the past has had a large under vote....It may very well be that allot of older voters did not get it right...The fact is that is their fault and not the fault of the machines...The winner has been certified and that should be the end of it...I understand that the Republicans in Congress booed loudly when the told Vern it might not be over...I think that nothing will get done if they try to unseat him. He was singled out by Pelosi when he was sworn in that it was not over...If there is another election Jennings here will lose by allot larger margin...The Dems do not like the computer voting...It is allot harder to stuff the ballot boxes...When you have to deal with all these old folks here in our area driving it would not surprise me that they do not know how to vote...They sure do not know how to drive....
29 posted on 01/05/2007 8:31:08 AM PST by RNO1 (POW's Never Ever Have A Good Day)
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To: NonValueAdded; RNO1; Joe Brower

If the placement of the Congressional race just above the State races caused some confusion.....then that also hurt Buchanan's voters.



Bingo! Excellent point, Julie. For all we know, Buchanan would have had a greater margin of victory with a better ballot design.



I hope that the GOP lawyers have been making that argument.

In that case....I agree that one could also say that Buchanan may have won by a larger margin than he actually did.

Is Jennings saying that only her voters missed seeing where to vote?

How can she possible determine that......As the Judge found recently her case is based on speculation!


30 posted on 01/05/2007 12:27:55 PM PST by JulieRNR21 (Thanks be to God from Whom all Blessings flow..........)
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To: JulieRNR21

As to idiot-proofing a ballot, there is a certain irony in assuring idiots are able to cast their votes "properly." Assuming the voter was motivated in making a choice in the Congressional race, it was not hard to locate their candidate with a little bit of effort. Nor were there widespread complaints (were there any?) of being unable to find their candidate. Quite the uphill climb for Ms. Jennings to overturn the will of the voters. Let her chain together two dead horses to gain speed. Flog on, Ms. Jennings!


31 posted on 01/05/2007 12:35:24 PM PST by NonValueAdded (Saddam is Dead! Bush's Fault. [Pray for our patriot brother, 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub.])
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To: NonValueAdded
She's very clever. She's keeping her name before the public in a big way.

She'll announce her candidacy again in 13 -16 months or so. She has nothing to lose.

The local media will pump her up every day like a dirigible till the next election date announcement rolls around in less than two years.

32 posted on 01/05/2007 5:09:49 PM PST by MinuteGal (The Left takes power only through deception.)
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