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Housing starts plunge to 6-year low
market Watch ^ | 11-17-06

Posted on 11/17/2006 5:54:26 AM PST by green iguana

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Home builders retreated on a massive scale in October, dashing hopes for a quick turnaround in the housing market.

Starts of new homes plunged 14.6% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.486 million, the lowest level since July 2000, the Commerce Department estimated Friday.

Building permits fell 6.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.535 million, the lowest level in nine years. It was the largest percentage decline in permits in seven years.

(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News
KEYWORDS: economy; housing
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It'll get worse before it gets better...
1 posted on 11/17/2006 5:54:27 AM PST by green iguana
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To: green iguana
Not around here. Plenty of building outside of town and over the county line.

Everybody is moving up a house size or three.

It's the investor neighborhoods that are taking a beating. Going downhill faster than the slum lords can squeeze the rent out of the welfare queens and their shack-ups.
2 posted on 11/17/2006 6:06:13 AM PST by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: green iguana
There's a big backlog of unsold homes on the market. Don't expect more building starts until those are bought out and demand exceeds supply.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

3 posted on 11/17/2006 6:07:48 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: green iguana

How can this be?

Don't people know that the Democrats are in charge now?


4 posted on 11/17/2006 6:18:01 AM PST by Arm_Bears (See Rock City!)
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To: goldstategop

Where I live, there is a huge surplus of unsold houses and falling prices, yet local buiding appears to be going full bore ahead. I doesn't make sense, but new house appear to be going up as fast as they can build them. I think somebody didn't get the messagte.


5 posted on 11/17/2006 6:21:15 AM PST by umgud (I love NASCAR as much as the Democrats hate Bush)
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To: umgud

Pelosi's fault.


6 posted on 11/17/2006 6:23:23 AM PST by EQAndyBuzz (I thank the RNC for freeing me to vote my values rather then political party. It is liberating!)
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To: umgud
Maybe they should start giving away homes for free. It'll move them along faster.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

7 posted on 11/17/2006 6:23:50 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: green iguana
The last time we had a RE meltdown (1990-91) the smart money stepped in only when the houses were being sold on the court house steps, for taxes.

The gap between inventories and sales is 10 times bigger this time around.

I shudder to think about the consequences from irresponsible lending practices.

The Fed will have to step in if they already haven't and re-liquefy the system before a general loss of consumer confidence occurs.

It is the Fed's job to keep sentiment positive.

This is what happens when speculators abandon an investment class en masse over a short period of time.


BUMP

8 posted on 11/17/2006 6:36:40 AM PST by capitalist229 (Get Democrats out of our pockets and Republicans out of our bedrooms.)
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To: PeteB570
It's the investor neighborhoods that are taking a beating. Going downhill faster than the slum lords can squeeze the rent out of the welfare queens and their shack-ups.

LOL!!

The house next to me was bought as an investment property. The landlord, who lived 1000 miles away, let a property management group rent it for him. The tenants promptly burned the house down. The owner was under-insured, but managed to get the house re-built after 2 years. It's for sale now, but he's asking 2X what it's worth, so there it sits. It's kinda nice--the neighborhood's been quiet since the barn burning!

9 posted on 11/17/2006 6:38:56 AM PST by randog (What the...?!)
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To: green iguana

Zillow.com hasn't gotten the message yet; this rental home is $50K more than it was when we moved here from CA... and still overpriced!


10 posted on 11/17/2006 6:44:05 AM PST by cgk (I don't see myself as a conservative. I see myself as a religious, right-wing, wacko extremist.)
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To: PeteB570

Where are you?


11 posted on 11/17/2006 6:50:09 AM PST by Suzy Quzy
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To: capitalist229

Wonder how that corrupt Fannie Mae fares in this.


12 posted on 11/17/2006 6:51:09 AM PST by Suzy Quzy
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To: capitalist229

"...the smart money stepped in only when the houses were being sold on the court house steps, for taxes."


That's exactly what I'm waiting for, buttom-feeder swine that I am.

:-)


13 posted on 11/17/2006 6:53:03 AM PST by roaddog727 (BullS##t does not get bridges built)
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To: PeteB570

Anecdotal evidence does not trump empirical evidence.

FWIW, I live in Seattle and prices are still going up - somewhat anyway. There is LOTS of construction going on. Boeing is BOOMING.

I still think we will be hit. I have too many friends in the business, as Real estate agents and mortgage brokers. There are some just plain wierd indicators that they have never seen before, and some of them have been in the business for decades.


14 posted on 11/17/2006 6:56:15 AM PST by RobRoy
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To: roaddog727

>>That's exactly what I'm waiting for, buttom-feeder swine that I am.<<

Me too. I am thinking late 2007 or, more likely, mid 2008.


15 posted on 11/17/2006 6:58:13 AM PST by RobRoy
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To: umgud

Looks like a few builders are going to get caught with their pants down.


16 posted on 11/17/2006 7:03:52 AM PST by SQUID
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To: green iguana

17 posted on 11/17/2006 7:07:26 AM PST by conservativecorner
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To: green iguana

Pelosi's Fault!


18 posted on 11/17/2006 7:10:36 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: green iguana

We're also going to have to eventually address the glut of smiling realtors caused by the exploding housing market of the last few years. I suggest a government program to retrain them as foreclosure auctioneers.


19 posted on 11/17/2006 7:14:07 AM PST by SlowBoat407 (A living insult to islam since 1959)
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To: green iguana

But what are all of the illegal immigrant construction workers going to do? /sarc

Mexico's economy might fail due to workers not being able to wire money back to Mexico.


20 posted on 11/17/2006 8:03:47 AM PST by anymouse
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