Posted on 11/04/2006 9:17:16 AM PST by Just_an_average_Joe
My homeys at the Weekly Standard have published their election predictions, and they range from dire to calamitous. Meanwhile, I’m merrily skipping about Soxblog Manor (in a completely manly way, mind you) whistling a happy tune. I expect Tuesday to be an extremely successful day for the Republican Party.
I think those trends were there all along. I'm convinced that the pollsters' strategy of late is to give the Dems a big (and false) polling advantage during the campaign season to encourage lemmings to "go along with the crowd." Then, as the election draws near, they have to release more close-to-accurate polls to maintain their reputations.
Well, I've been among those here that has maintained for all this time that we would be fine in both houses of Congress.
So, yes, I agree with him. Remember, even Newsweek's poll admitted oversampling Democrats by 11 points, and others are over 14 points of Democrat "error" left uncompensated for.
I am looking forward to this week. The liberals will GO NUTS AT THEIR LOSS!
What about propositions on different state ballots, are there many that will bring out liberal voters this year?
Also keep in mind - this quick blip in the polls will be all you see before the actual voting begins. The weekend polls are notoriously pro-DNC and will have extra sauce for the Monday talk show rejoicing.
Hugh Hewitt is the real deal and not a joker by any stretch. If he feels optimistic, that's good enough for me.
See 2002, and 2004. Same old, same old.
"If you could go back in history and conduct polls, I don't think you'd find any, and certainly not many, two-year periods when the balance in party identification shifted from even to having one party 12 percent ahead of the other." said Michael Barone
They're already whining.
I recall the last election and how the polls had Bush behind. Even on election day, the exit polls had Bush losing.
Heck, Susan Estrich was sober and giddy.
Then....the results started coming in.
The people voted and the the people elected
GEORGE BUSH and the REPUBLICAN PARTY!
They have a whole long "blame" list...Voters disenfranchised (that word a legacy of Al Gore) by voter I.D. or some other contrived means, long lines, can't find the polling places, not enough information or received intimidating info, polls closed too early or didn't open early enough, not enough voting places in Dem ares, and the biggie of them all...Karl Rove pre-programmed the machines!
"Numbers don't lie."
Yes they do... 2004 exit polls! Figures lie and liars figure!
LLS
The GOP 72-hour GOTV machine appears to be running at close to 100% efficiency at this point. It's only 12:30 here and I've already gotten three phone calls reminding me that it's the last day of early voting (one from the GOP and two from candidates' campaigns offering rides), and two in-person visits. There's not going to be a single registered Republican in the entire United States that is going to make it to Tuesday evening without being contacted at least once or twice.
The Voter Vault is a Godsend.
And now you see what the plan has been all along.
Remember, it's not a legitimate election unless Democrats win.
He may be the most underrated host at the moment. While he is an amateur at this political prognosticating thing, but in his interviews, he has pulled much out of his guest that flies in the face on conventional wisdom along with his own gut feel and wisdom, if so he may be spot on.
Heck, if you give the incumbent GOP candidates 3% because they are incumbents and another 2 or 3 for the GOP GOTV effort, they lame stream polls are off BIG-TIME.
Next cycle? put the money in GOTV and don't hire Charlie Cook, he will be so passe...
Not sure, but they have to understand them first. No major ones here. You can see I have a very low opinion of Dem voters. I guess because I know some.
"I wish I had your guys optimism. I don't."
I'm glad I don't share your defeatism. I don't.
LLS
I am a volunteer for Santorum {taking a break after 50 calls this morning} and either I hit the "good call list" or the demonRATS are going to be very disappointed on the 8th.
The breakdown is:
38 Will definitely vote for Rick {plus spouses and relatives}
8 not home - left messages
2 Disconnected numbers
2 going to vote bobby jr. These two losers wanted to waste my time and get into an argument but I'm too busy to try and convert losers at this stage. I thanked them and made the next call.
Hey PA Residents, it's not too late for you to volunteer to make calls or poll watch, or drive people to the polls. Give Rick and Swann some help, the response is very good. Keep the faith, pray on Sunday and vote on Tuesday.
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