Posted on 11/03/2006 11:23:06 PM PST by JohnHuang2
On MSNBC yesterday, Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report said he believes the Republican Party is in a "meltdown" that will lead to a 20-seat pickup for Democrats in the U.S. House. (Democrats need to gain 15 seats to take control of the House.) With all due respect, I believe Mr. Cook is wrong. Continues...
================================================================
GOP rolls out October Surprise!
In the generic ballot vote for control of Congress, the AP poll has Democrats "leading" Republicans. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll has Democrats "leading" Republicans. CNN/USA Today has Democrats in the "lead." Republicans are also losing in the CBS News/New York Times poll -- only 39% say they'll vote Republican! Oops, that was two years ago. (In fairness, a few days after the CBS survey, a poll did come out showing Republicans leading Democrats -- the poll called Election Day, '04.)
Polls in '04 had Kerry beating Bush. Kerry winning! How dumb is that? But that's the dumb business of polling for you. Which stresses the importance of education. Education. If you make the most of it, you study hard, you do your homework and you make an effort to be smart, you can do well. If you don't, you get stuck doing polling.
Fast-forward to 2006: The Los Angeles Times reports that "The latest USA Today/Gallup poll has the Democrats leading the Republicans . . ." Steven Thomma of the McClatchy newspapers writes that polls show "Democrats lead Republicans . . ." The Sacramento Bee says "State-by-state polls show Democrats leading" Republicans. The New York Times reports that "polls have shown . . . Democrats leading Republicans." But that was last week.
Now that we're just one week from the elections, the "polls" are magically "tightening." And the headlines are magically changing. Democrats fear the storm could leave them high and dry, read one. Race for Congress is narrowing, read another. And more and more stories of Democrats complaining about voter-ID measures that require voters to show they're citizens. (The 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals just revived Ohio's ID provision for early absentee voters, putting at risk thousands and thousands of already cast illegal votes!)
One week from the elections, GOP House seats once "certain" to go Democrat, are now "toss-ups." Liberals are shocked that in former Congressman Tom Delay's district all Republicans didn't become Democrats, despite their pounding voters there for months with polls showing the Democrat 'leading.' One week ago, the write-in GOP candidate didn't have a shot. This week, the Write-in for Delay spot has a shot -- headline in the Houston Chronicle.
The Wall Street Journal admitted that the GOP is ahead in early voting in "Congressional districts from Ohio and Florida to New Mexico and Arizona." Democrats are losing even in Mark Foley's district. In GOP Rep. Heather Wilson's district, 22,000 absentee ballots have been requested by "demoralized" Republicans, almost as many as requested in 2004 by "energized" Republicans.
Democratic Campaign Committee honcho Karin Johanson, after checking the latest polls from "swing seats," told the London Times that "some of the polls are looking great -- really great -- but some of the recent ones have been looking not so good."
It's been so "looking not so good" for the losercrats that last Saturday they gave James Webb the mike to deliver the party's weekly radio address, hoping to knock the pedophile stuff from his novel off the front pages. Webb was so eager, he ran happily toward the mike and grabbed it in his arms, turned it upside down, and put it in his mouth.
Probably out of frustration, Congressman Charles Rangel on Monday "blasted Dick Cheney as a 'son of a bitch' after the vice president" said Rangel would hike taxes if Democrats got control of Congress, reports the New York Post. "The bitter war of words escalated to the point where the bombastic Rangel questioned whether the tightly-wound" 'son of a bitch' "needed professional treatment." Cheney reacted to Rangel's remarks magnanimously, even inviting him to go hunting.
Then the Republicans rolled out their sneaky October Surprise -- John Kerry! Kerry accused Republicans of Kerry's explosive remarks. This is what horseface on Monday told a group of college students in California: "You know, education, if you make the most of it, you study hard, you do your homework and you make an effort to be smart, you can do well. And if you don't, you get stuck in Iraq." Kerry says Republicans are taking his lips out of context, twisting his insult into an insult of troops in Iraq, when he 'clearly' meant to insult the President. So here's what horseface really meant to tell those college students: 'If you study hard and you do your homework, you presidents won't get stuck with a dead-end job like . . . president.' Or, 'if you study hard, you presidents will brilliantly lead an international coalition into Iraq . . .' Keep in mind that Kerry accused troops in Vietnam of being butchers and rapists and troops in Iraq of terrorizing women and children. He must have meant Bush there, too.
Kerry's remarks were such a self-inflicted wound, he immediately put in for a Purple Heart.
Kerry said that "the White House's attempt to distort my true statement is a remarkable testament to their abject failure to making America safe." Evidently, 'accurately' interpreting Kerry's deranged remarks is now part of making America safe.
The left wing nut-job called Republicans "right wing nut-jobs," belittled White House spokesman Tony Snow as a "stuffed suit," Rush Limbaugh as "doughy" and Sen. John McCain as a liar -- all part of Kerry's effort to set the proper tone for discourse.
On a broader level, beyond Kerry and Rangel, if you go strictly by the polls, signs of how much "trouble" the GOP is not in include:
-- Missouri's human cloning ballot proposal sinking like a rock.
-- A new Washington Post poll showing 60% are OK with their Congressman. Because it wasn't 100%, the press promptly called this a 'growing wave' of anti-incumbency.
-- The Cook Political "Report" noting on Monday "there are no signs that this (Democrat) wave is abating," which must be why the Democrats are going into debt.
-- Iraq being a 'loser' issue for warmongering/Zionist/imperialist candidates this election, which is why Ned Lamont is getting creamed by a Warmongering/Zionist/Imperialist. But that's just warmongering Connecticut for you.
Armed with this knowledge, "experts" insist the GOP base isn't as "energized" about this election as the Jerry Springer couch potato set. "Disenchanted" conservatives are disenchanted because Republicans have govern as Democrats. Falling gas prices, 700-mile fence, Alito, Roberts, record stock market, booming economy, tax cuts -- nothing "alienates" "true" conservatives like this stuff. Then there's the deficit -- unlike the string of balanced budgets under Reagan.
If I understand the "disaffected" brainiacs who want to hand this election to the Democrats, the plan is to sit this one out, let the GOP crash to "teach them a lesson," then watch the GOP -- without power -- magically enact the "lesson" into law, because if you want the conservative agenda implemented, you flush your allies down the toilet and let Nancy Pelosi be Speaker. Tax cuts are a big hit with her. This strategy worked swimmingly back in '92, now didn't it? To "teach" George H.W. Bush a "lesson," people voted for Perot and got Clinton, Monica and Osama bin Laden.
Which is why the good money is still on Republicans not sitting out the election.
Anyway, that's...
My Two Cents
"JohnHuang2"
AGREED. Our elected leaders need to be sent this message, loud and clear.
Interesting article:
Bad Weather Cuts Democratic Turnout
http://www.sptimes.com/2006/11/03/Worldandnation/Democrats_hope_rain__.shtml
From the article:
"Another explanation is that Democrats are more likely to be what political scientists call peripheral voters, people casually interested in politics who dont feel compelled to vote in every election."
Like I said in previous post, the "feeling" I've been getting from Dems in my neighborhood is that this election doesn't interest them. Of course, I'm in Florida, and the sentiments in other states might be more intense than it is here.
Fear of the alternative is good enough for me!
Bump for excellent analysis.
BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!! GREAT LINE!!!
Too many people forget that most of the Republicans in tight races are the very ones who saved us from the amnesty that was surely coming. Show some appreciation.
Secondly, no matter what the year, election, administration, or congressional makeup, you are never going to get everything you want. You have to look at this stuff realistically and say hey, we got Alito, we got Roberts, were going to get a couple more SCOTUS judges, we got big tax cuts, we got a 700 mile wall, we got an economy that's making you're pockets bulge, we got partial birth ban passed, we got an answer for terrorists around the world with no attacks in 5 years, etc, etc, etc....
I mean come-on people, we get none of this if the Dems were in power and we won't be able to build on any of it if the Dems get in power.
Common sense, common sense, common sense.
Vote damnit
Well, here we are the weekend before the election, and the MSM / DNC slime machine is in full force. Since yesterday they have unleashed their "November Surprise" stink bombs:
- Military recruiters are caught lying on hidden camera
- An evangelical preacher is outed for a massage from a gay man and for buying drugs
- Etc.
I was listening to trash radio on the FM dial during the drive home from work yesterday, and the two Libs were giddy about the evangelical being "taken down." They echoed that the worst thing was not if he was gay or a meth user. Oh no. It was "hypocrisy!"
I thought to myself, "Doesn't this just prove that homosexuality is a terrible thing?" A caller asked the same thing. The FM jocks ganged up on the lady and attacked her as "another Christian hypocrite."
Hypocrisy is a sin - Christ condemned the Pharisees for it. But sin is still sin, and the Democrats and Liberals will never acknowledge that, because they hate God.
I don't know if they will win on Tuesdays, but if they do, it will be sand in their clenched fists. God is sovereign.
Whenever I start to regret the current Republican leadership descisions, I always think of how steadfast Ronald Reagan was in his leadership. He had to deal with bot Houses that were Democrat...and a host of Rhinos that make todays crowd look conservative. RR's eleventh commamdment...thous shall not speak ill of another Republican...clearly illustrates the difficulty he sometimes felt dealing with the RINOS of that time!!
I'd submit that the RAT House and Senate(actually, the GOP held the Senate from 81-87) that Ronaldus Magnus had to deal with weren't nearly as radical as the current moonbats who stand ready to take charge if we don't vote on Tuesday.
Broken Glass Republican ping..
Fox News was showing Weasly Clark stumping for democrats. He was pure venom pure talking points for the DNC.
I am seeing two types of polls.
HEAVY push polls which are all about democrats.
and
a few whispered CYA polls from polsters who are trying to keep credibility for 2008 (see the late voter news service)
Hi there "JonhHuang2"!!!
"..he immediately put in for a purple heart..." :) :) :) You're as funny as I remember you!
Nancee
PING!!!!
Nancee
How refreshing!!!! COMMON SENSE!!!!
Nancee
In the FYI, FWIW department:
Here's my brief report on what I saw with Georgia's Advance Voting Monday:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1728963/posts?page=20#20
And some followup here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1728963/posts?page=28#28
I've thought over what I saw, and I finally realized what my first impression of the crowd was...
"These are all talk radio listeners."
So the Republican base is motivated- highly motivated.
Stay tuned...
RANGEL-harlem (WAYS AND MEANS)
CONYERS-detriot ghetto (JUDICIARY)
HASTINGS- Florida (INTELIGENCE CHAIR) he was impeached for corruption.
PELOSI- San Fransisco (SPEAKER)
THIS WOULD BE A NIGHTMARE>
Sure, in July. RealClearPolitics had the average poll results going for Bush late in August and never changing. The average in the last two weeks prior to the election had Bush winning the popular vote by 1.5 percentage points, and he wound up winning it by 2.46 points. Not too shabby.
Thanks for the info ltm
Great article John!
Here's a November surprise that must get out to the Press.
There are a couple of comments on here from DU that are totally disgusting!
Local Gold Star Families Take Secret Trip to Iraq [FReepers Included]
Sacramento Union ^ | Published: November 3, 2006 | SacUnion Staff Report
Posted on 11/04/2006 12:51:37 AM PST by Jim Robinson
In a stunning and historic trip under the utmost secrecy, a delegation of families of fallen U.S. troops have traveled to Iraq to counter critics of the war effort, just days before the Nov. 7 midterm elections.
Rest of article here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1732071/posts?page=61
Latest media assault. Left-leaning Army Times prints an Editorial asking for Rumsfeld's resignation. I just hope most military folks know that those papers always tilt left.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.