Posted on 11/03/2006 11:09:04 AM PST by boberino
On the final Friday of Election 2006, Democrats take the lead for the first time in the race for control of the U.S. Senate. Today, Rasmussen Reports is switching two states (New Jersey and Montana from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democrat”). We now rate 49 Senate seats as Democrat or Leans Democrat, 48 seats as Republican or Leans Republican and three as Toss-Ups. We polled in each of the Toss-Up States (Tennessee, Missouri and Virginia) on Thursday night and this may lead to further shifts in the Senate Balance of Power ratings.
I tend to agree with him, although I think Maryland may be a toss-up as well.
hmmm
I think Scotty is drinking Zogby's special sauce.
Im going to be sick. Tuesday cannot come faster. The polls are making me nuts.
we're screwed...
Stop it.(?) What are the odds of us losing Senate but keeping the House? Has this been considered?
good point
Who cares what rasmuslim thinks?.........
Same here.
What's his margin of error? So many races are close, that to definitely say they're "leaning" one way or an other is completely useless if a survey has a MOE of 3 or 4%? I know Rasmussen, and the rest of the nose-counting fraternity, are in the business of crunching numbers, but no one has to pay attention to them. Just vote!
I saw that the Virginia polling put Allen/Webb at 49/49. Which would be bad, except that after having Allen/Webb 40/48, he did a sunday poll that had Allen/Webb 46/52 or something, so this is actually good news.
The Montana race results are within the margin of error, so I'm not sure why he pushed it to lean democrat except I think he'd like to have all the toss-ups on one side or another before the election. It was a 4-point margin, and tester was right at 50%, not above.
The NJ race was I think 5 points, and Menendez was below 50%, but somehow Kean's NEGATIVES were over 50%. Is Kean really disliked by over 50% of the people in New Jersey (maybe so, he's not corrupt enough?)
I don't know if he plans another poll of Maryland, but I would have thought he would after the big endorsements from two days ago. I saw SurveyUSA has that race even now.
According to Tradesports, that's the longshot. There's only about a 3-5% chance of that scenario happening.
not very
I saw one comment the other day that really caught my eye. In nominating Tester for the Montana Senate race, the Democrats probably picked the one guy in the state who could actually lose to Burns this year.
Oh, give it a rest please. You know what this means? VA, TN, MT, NJ, MO, and MD are all close races. Duh! Now get out and volunteer this weekend, and vote this Tuesday (if you haven't already).
I think we pull out Montana? NJ well that is going to be hard.
One thing that is absent in the media and even on the blogs. There is a ton of articles on if the conservative base will turn out. However is the Dem base energized in all these races? Maybe it is. But I just don't detect the excitement among the Dem base like I did in 2004. We shall see
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