Let's see how accurate Sabato is. Look for a last second hedge to cover his ass.
His bottom line prediction: THE SENATE: Democrats + 6 = 51D, 49R THE HOUSE: Democrats + 27 = 230D, 205R THE GOVERNORSHIPS: Democrats + 7 = 29D, 21R
1 posted on
11/02/2006 8:52:49 AM PST by
finnman69
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To: finnman69
Okay, these slimy polls, MSM and doom sayers convinced me to stay home November 7, 2006.
I voted early and for all Republicans.
2 posted on
11/02/2006 8:55:53 AM PST by
HuntsvilleTxVeteran
("Remember the Alamo, Goliad and WACO, It is Time for a new San Jacinto")
To: finnman69
How accurate was Sabato in 2004?
3 posted on
11/02/2006 8:56:02 AM PST by
frogjerk
(REUTERS: We give smoke and mirrors a bad name)
To: finnman69
". . . We bet it's never happened before, and it certainly hasn't happened in the post-World War II era . . ."
This guy is supposed to be a professor and a political expert and he doesn't know what happened in his field of expertise prior to 1941. And he's too lazy to look it up.
5 posted on
11/02/2006 8:59:37 AM PST by
Brad from Tennessee
(Anything a politician gives you he has first stolen from you)
To: finnman69
..wait till the numbers flow in from the last 72 hrs...
Pollsters and pundits never learn...
7 posted on
11/02/2006 9:02:55 AM PST by
WalterSkinner
( ..when there is any conflict between God and Caesar -- guess who loses?)
To: finnman69
11 posted on
11/02/2006 9:05:30 AM PST by
Quilla
To: finnman69
But increasingly it looks like they will win five (Pennsylvania, Ohio, Montana, and Rhode Island, in that order, and at least one of Missouri, Virginia, or Tennessee). Sorry, Larry, they may win Rhode Island and one of Ohio and Pennsylvania. They will win none of Missouri, Virginia, or Tennessee. That would be Dems +2. Add in the probable GOP win in MD and possible win in New Jersey and that's a wash.
12 posted on
11/02/2006 9:05:32 AM PST by
mak5
To: finnman69
"Spppfffttt...(cough, cough)"
Here, man, smoke a little more of this one. It's far out!!!....
14 posted on
11/02/2006 9:07:06 AM PST by
Amalie
(FREEDOM had NEVER been another word for nothing left to lose...)
To: finnman69
Crystal Ball, ya it fell on the floor and it is what we will crawl over to prove you wrong Larry !
To: finnman69
THE HOUSE: Democrats + 27 = 230D, 205R If this happens, Dubya gets his arse savagely - and popularly - impeached in 2007, and the GOP won't see control of the House in a decade or more.
I don't think it's going to happen, though. But if it does, take the rose-colored glasses off, folks. There is utterly no upside to this.
22 posted on
11/02/2006 9:13:55 AM PST by
HitmanLV
("If at first you don't succeed, keep on sucking until you do succeed." - Jerry 'Curly' Howard)
To: finnman69
No one credibly argues that Democrats aren't going to win at least 3 or 4 Senate seats, bringing the GOP down to 51 or 52 seats. But increasingly it looks like they will win five (Pennsylvania, Ohio, Montana, and Rhode Island, in that order, and at least one of Missouri, Virginia, or Tennessee). To get the magic 6 they need for control, Democrats need 2 of those 3. Gravy would be all 3, giving them a 52 seat majority. Bullsh*t, Larry. Steele will win in Maryland and you didn't even MENTION that. I also think Allen will win, Webb is NOT going to beat him, Talent will squeak by, and we might hang on to Burns, Santorum, or DeWine, albeit not all three.
23 posted on
11/02/2006 9:16:02 AM PST by
RockinRight
(Maintaining a Republican majority is MORE IMPORTANT than your temper tantrum.)
To: finnman69
Fall 2006 headline:
Larry Sabato is a Pumpkinhead!...and if I had a kid attending U.Va. Center for Politics, I'd want my money back.
25 posted on
11/02/2006 9:17:52 AM PST by
floozy22
To: finnman69
This outlook is more optimistic than even the DNC, from what I can tell! What does that tell us?
To: finnman69
Probably the worst election prognosticators out there are political science professors. It galls the political scientists no end that economists usually construct better election prediction models.
My wife's friend worked for Larry Sabato when she was an undergraduate at UVa. Although he tries to conceal it, she said Sabato is a very partisan Democrat. I think his heart is overruling his head here. Although it might be a bad night for the Republicans, it won't be the wipeout that Sabato is predicting.
To: finnman69
Sabato has actually gone on record to predict that NOT ONE REPUBLICAN WILL SUCCEED A DEMOCRAT.
In fact, I'd wager that he's predicting that all Republicans in the United States melt into puddles of butter.
37 posted on
11/02/2006 9:39:36 AM PST by
Lazamataz
(I love you.... but not in a gay way.)
To: finnman69
Sabato discredited himself when he accused Allen of using the N word then had to retract the statement. He leans RAT.
To: finnman69
What a crock!! My prediction: The Rs gain in both Houses. Wishful thinking? Maybe. But we've got Kerry on our side, and there's still plenty of time for Dhimms to shoot themselves in the foot.
43 posted on
11/02/2006 10:00:22 AM PST by
chesley
(Republicans don't deserve to win...But America does not deserve the Dhimmicrats!)
To: finnman69
Can anyone give me directions to Galt's Gulch?
58 posted on
11/02/2006 10:17:12 AM PST by
LIConFem
(Just opened a new seafood restaurant in Great Britain, called "Squid Pro Quid")
To: finnman69
+6 Senate for Dems? I'll say it right now... NO FREAKING WAY.
To: finnman69
What a load of crap. Neither of the Georgia races are on the map. Both will be GOP pick-ups.
Here's my picks:
Senate: GOP Even Dem -1
House: GOP -7 Dem +8
61 posted on
11/02/2006 10:26:18 AM PST by
Hoodat
( ETERNITY - Smoking, or Non-smoking?)
To: finnman69
The Crystal Ball will go the way of John Kerry's crystal clear 'no apology' statement on Tuesday. It's a bad year for crystal.
63 posted on
11/02/2006 10:31:27 AM PST by
vamoose
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