Posted on 10/30/2006 1:59:37 AM PST by Princip. Conservative
ATLANTA - With just over a week to go before Election Day, the match-up between U.S. Rep. John Barrow, D-Savannah, and former Congressmen Max Burns remains extremely tight, according to poll results announced Friday.
The latest survey in the 12th District congressional race shows Barrow with a slight edge over Burns - 42 percent to 39 percent - among voters who say they will cast ballots on Nov. 7.
But considering that the margin of error is 6 percentage points, the poll indicates the two candidates are running neck and neck. A high number of respondents - 19 percent - indicated they remain undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at savannahnow.com ...
In a follow-up to this, in other House polls just released, there's news that Sekula-Gibbs is not looking like such a long shot anymore in TX-22 and 2 new polls from Illinois should have the Dems worried. Melissa Bean lead by just 3 points (42%-39) in IL-08, while Republican Roskam led 46%-42% in Henry Hyde's open district of IL-06. The Dems have popped the champagne way too soon . . .
Sekula-Gibbs will be helped by Bush in Texas. I'm worried about Florida.
"The poll was taken before of after Bush helped him in the district?"
I believe the poll was taken before. In other words, the GOP will probably get a boost from his visit. And, don't forget that Perdue is going to probably boost Collins and Burns, too.
SSG will win.
This is very good news since my guy on the ground has told me that Barrow would be the tougher of the two down there to beat. The GOP GOTV in Georgia can certainly make up 3 points against a Dem who is at just 42%. The huge undecided in this race is a very encouraging piece of news. It stands as a very reachable target.
According to the MSM and some "freepers" here, there are absolutely no Democrat seats in play in the House.
Great news since GOP candidates almost always underpoll by 3-5%.
"The GOP GOTV in Georgia can certainly make up 3 points against a Dem who is at just 42%. The huge undecided in this race is a very encouraging piece of news. It stands as a very reachable target."
If this poll has a 6% margin of error than that is very bad news for Barrow. Any poll with a margin of error of more than 3.5% is worthless, so it's very possible Burns is ahead. Also, any incumbent polling below 50% and facing that large a number of undecided voters this late in the campaign is up "sh*t's creek." Go Burns!
Not such good news in CT though. Long time GOP rep Nancy Johnson is down by 4 in one poll. This is one that had been rated as leaning Republican. She is a pro choice moderate so any other year I would shed no tears at seeing her go, but this time we need every seat we can get. I thought her ads stressing how her opponent would be soft on terrorists were effective but perhaps not.
Don't worry about Florida! The court has now allowed there to be written information at the Polling Places on how the vote for Foley is REALLY a vote for Negron. This is a very safe Republican District, these folks will figure it out and vote R!
I've met him too(I live in Savannah), and I think he is a real liberal with all of the trimmings. This P.O.S. even "moved" to Savannah from Athens as he figured out he would really lose votes if he didn't. He lies and tells some whoppers, but what else do we expect from a demorat congress-critter?
Why would you be worried about Florida? Our Florida GOTV is at the top of it's game. We OWN Florida GOTV. Go back and look at the last few elections.
LOL. MOE is 6%, and it's a 3% race and the GOP has demonstrated a 2-4% voter turnout edge in a GOOD year for Dems. I think this seat is a pickup.
I mentioned on another thread, going up to MI this weekend I heard a Granholm ad that was positively BEGGING the base to get out and vote. They are panicking, dude. I'm telling you, people are going to be stunned on election day. The Dem turnout will be lighter than 2004, and the GOP turnout will be (adjusted for off-year elections) AS HEAVY.
She's fine. The LS rule, even in CT, says that a Dem 4% advantage is a dead heat.
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