In a follow-up to this, in other House polls just released, there's news that Sekula-Gibbs is not looking like such a long shot anymore in TX-22 and 2 new polls from Illinois should have the Dems worried. Melissa Bean lead by just 3 points (42%-39) in IL-08, while Republican Roskam led 46%-42% in Henry Hyde's open district of IL-06. The Dems have popped the champagne way too soon . . .
Sekula-Gibbs will be helped by Bush in Texas. I'm worried about Florida.
I mentioned on another thread, going up to MI this weekend I heard a Granholm ad that was positively BEGGING the base to get out and vote. They are panicking, dude. I'm telling you, people are going to be stunned on election day. The Dem turnout will be lighter than 2004, and the GOP turnout will be (adjusted for off-year elections) AS HEAVY.
I don't want to be pessimistic, but if we won ALL the races you mentioned, we'd still be in danger of losing the house. We have 3 seats endagered in Florida, 3 in Indiana, 4 in New York and 4 both Pennsylvania and Ohio. That's not even to mention 2 in Kentucky, and several others.
Not predicting disaster, but it's still a degrees of bad election, not a good election.