US Senate Predictions for 2006 (Republicans maintain majority with help of Joe Lieberman!)

[charlie5]

Well with one week away from the 2006 elections, I would like to share with you my prediction for control of the US Senate.

[charlie5]

This is what will happen:

49 dems, 49 rep, 2 independents.

Brown -- Ohio, Whitehouse -- Rhode Island, Casey -- Pennslyvania, McCaskil -- Missouri, Ford -- Tennessee, Tester -- Montana, Lieberman -- Connecticut, allen -- virginia, kyl -- arizona,

In my prediction, you then have a 49 Dem, 49 Rep, 2 Ind in the US Senate.

Lieberman votes with the Republicans for Majority Leadership positions, Sanders of Vermont votes with Democrats, thus allowing V-P Dick Cheney the unique opportunity to cast vote in favor of Republican Control of the US Senate for 2007-2008.

There you have it. Remember my thread on Election Day.

Sincerely, the Predictor.

[zendari]

We won't lose all of (MO/TN/NJ/MD).

[ChurtleDawg]

I agree generally with this assesment, but Lieberman will only caucus with the GOP on Iraq and WOT issues

on most other issues he will be with the dems

[aft_lizard]

Lieberman will caucus with the Dems, giving them a majority, in fact I wouldnt be surprised if he switches back to D after the election.

[John Jorsett]

What indications do you have that Lieberman will vote with the Republicans for Majority Leader? It wouldn't surprise me either way, but I haven't seen anything about what he might do.

By the way, last time I looked at TradeSports, the betting was running 75% that the GOP retains control of the Senate, 33% that it retains controlof the House.

[glorgau]

Lieberman would posture, express "serious concerns", maybe even crack a tear or two, but he'd still vote for Democratic leadership. Regular Stockholm syndrome.

That's my prediction.

[MadIvan]

Steele - Maryland. Thus, 50 Republicans, 48 Democrats, 2 independents.

With Cheney as the casting vote, the majority is maintained.

I do think, however, you are being unduly pessimistic.

Regards, Ivan

[Reily]

If we have to depend on Lieberman, we will be in the minority ! He will caucus with the Democrats. For he will forgive his 'erring' party mates. There is nothing to be gained by him caucusing with the GOP.
Now if we keep our majority and with a little luck to add to it ! Lieberman will caucus with us, otherwise he would be just another 'outsider' looking in.

[charlie5]

Okay, but why should Lieberman vote with DEMS for majority leader position, when he was pushed out of party? If it comes down to this 49-49-2 situation, believe you me that DEMS will be wishing they treated Joe alot nicer than in the primaries.

[mn-bush-man]

Ford -- Tennessee

You really think so???

[jamese777]

Lieberman has a more liberal voting record over the course of his Senate career than Harry Reid. He is ONLY a moderate on Iraq and War on Terrorism issues due to his conservative Judaism. At every campaign appearance he has reiterated that he will caucus with the Democrats if elected. I do not expect him to change his mind unless the Dems stripped him of Seniority. If the Senate was 49-49-2, the Dems would NOT strip Lieberman of seniority. I see no scenario where the Dems would stip him and give the Republicans another vote.

[Alas Babylon!]

Lieberman will, he is still very much a dem, but Steele is going to win in Maryland and Burns will hang on in Montana. I'm more worried that Allen will lose Virginia (he won't) than Ford will win Tenn (he won't).

Steele wins Maryland
Burns keeps his seat
Corker wins Tennessee
Allen squeaks by in Virginia
Talent keeps Missouri

Senate: R 52, D 48 (includes Lieberman and Socialist Sanders)

[EDINVA]

no way Lieberman would vote with the Republican!

Nor do I think Talent will lose, nor Ford win.

[Hendrix]

"Ford -- Tennessee

You really think so???"

I don't think so. Somebody has been hitting the crack pipe to come up with that prediction.

[charlie5]

No way Steele wins Maryland!

[Hendrix]

"Senate: R 52, D 48 (includes Lieberman and Socialist Sanders)"

I agree with your conclusion. The good news is that Chaffey and Dewine won't be a thorn in the GPO side again, and Ohio will eventually go back GOP once this RINO cleansing takes place.

[Jackal7]

I agree, Hendrix - Corker will win Tennessee.

[ClarenceThomasfan]

I don't think Ford will win Tennessee. He has a new worry. The "sistas" are mad at him now. As an African-american woman, I visit many black message boards. People are posting threads about "Ford's white fiance". They say he is courting black women for their votes but if he wins and has a victory speech, he will introduce his "white" girlfriend. That doesn't sit to well. Many black women are threatening not to vote for him.

[HitmanLV]

Lieberman votes with the Republicans for Majority Leadership positions, Sanders of Vermont votes with Democrats, thus allowing V-P Dick Cheney the unique opportunity to cast vote in favor of Republican Control of the US Senate for 2007-2008.

Lieberman has been clear and unambiguous in saying he plans to caucus with the democrats.

[mn-bush-man]

My sister (caucasian) is married to an African-American man. On more than one occasion, she has felt the chill of eyes of icicles being shot at her by "sistas" (your term...)