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MAGAZINE SHOCK: REPUBLICANS WILL HOLD CONGRESS
Drudge Report ^ | October 21, 2006 | JIM MCTAGUE

Posted on 10/21/2006 3:13:37 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative

JUBILANT DEMOCRATS SHOULD RECONSIDER their order for confetti and noisemakers, BARRON's claims in their next edition. The Democrats, as widely reported, are expecting GOP-weary voters to flock to the polls in two weeks and hand them control of the House for the first time in 12 years -- and perhaps the Senate, as well. Even some Republicans privately confess that they are anticipating the election-day equivalent of Little Big Horn. Pardon our hubris, but we just don't see it.

Our analysis -- based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data -- suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber's 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party's loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. But that is still a far cry from the 20-seat loss some are predicting. In the Senate, with 100 seats, we see the GOP winding up with 52, down three.

Developing...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006election; barrons; congress; democrat; democrats; elections; notbreakingnews; predictions; republican; retain; vote; votegop
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To: onyx
NICE!

It'll only be NICE if we ALL vote...and vote R, not some loser 3rd party to "teach a lesson."

41 posted on 10/21/2006 3:36:29 PM PDT by The Hound Passer (I See, You See: Vote R and we won't be schooled by Pelosi)
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To: onyx

Absolutely! You think Friday is a good day or should I bump it closer to Tuesday?


42 posted on 10/21/2006 3:36:46 PM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (Karl Rove you magnificent bastard!)
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To: onyx; uscabjd; Kahuna; GOPsterinMA; george76; Russ; Don'tMessWithTexas; UNGN; ClaireSolt; ...
I think we'll do better than 52 in the Senate. Right now I think we stay at 55, and lose Chafee at the same time. (For the record, I think we retain Allen, Corker, Talent, Burns, and Dewine. I think we pickup Steele for +1. I think (hope) that we lose Chafee for back to even. And then I think it is 50-50 on both Kean and Santorum. If we win both we are plus 1 @ 56, if we lose both we are -1 to 54. If we split these two either way, we stay even.

I see Kennedy(MN), McGavick(WA) and Bouchard(MI) still as long shots, but their chances could well improve by Nov 7. I think Bouchard has the best chance of the three.

SENATE 2006 PREDICTIONS- October 2006 Update

In the House I still stick with -7 to -10 and retaining control. I also think we win the two Dem House seats in GA (Barrow, Marshall) with Collins and Burns for a net gain of two in the GA GOP delegation, plus we get McLooney out of her seat replaced by someone less of a barking moonbat.


Senate 2006 Midterm ping.

If anyone wants on or off the Senate 2006 ping list, send me Freepmail.


43 posted on 10/21/2006 3:37:15 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Monthly donors rock!)
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To: West Coast Conservative

Probably pretty close to Rove's numbers, which is why he (and President Bush) aren't worried.


44 posted on 10/21/2006 3:37:39 PM PDT by DesScorp
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To: West Coast Conservative
This election could really damage the reputation of the MSM pundits. (chuckling quietly)
45 posted on 10/21/2006 3:38:58 PM PDT by BallyBill (Serial Hit-N-Run poster)
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To: BigSkyFreeper

Friday or the following Monday. I'd go with Friday. Write a reminder for Monday's publications.


46 posted on 10/21/2006 3:39:09 PM PDT by onyx (We have two political parties: the American Party and the Anti-American Party.)
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To: West Coast Conservative; All

Go vote. Make it happen. Don't rely on wonk predictions, sit back and figure the other guy or gal will do the voting for you. That's a recipe for a really bad post election day hangover.


47 posted on 10/21/2006 3:39:48 PM PDT by TADSLOS (Mohammed was the L. Ron Hubbard of his time.)
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To: bootless

48 posted on 10/21/2006 3:40:26 PM PDT by johnny7 (“And what's Fonzie like? Come on Yolanda... what's Fonzie like?!”)
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To: West Coast Conservative

Iowa Electronic Markets

The red contract is offering dollars for 29¢, if Barron's is right. But the real payoff will be the 'Rats rage!

Vote!


49 posted on 10/21/2006 3:40:33 PM PDT by cynwoody
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To: West Coast Conservative

50 posted on 10/21/2006 3:40:51 PM PDT by The Spirit Of Allegiance (Public Employees: Honor Your Oaths! Defend the Constitution from Enemies--Foreign and Domestic!)
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To: onyx

This is good!

I don't have to make the "You wanna be stuck with Liberals in charge? Like Canada has been through??? Are ya a bunch of knuckleheads????????" vanity thread I was planning to post next week.

;-)


51 posted on 10/21/2006 3:42:10 PM PDT by fanfan ("We don't start fights my friends, but we finish them, and never leave until our work is done."PMSH)
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To: West Coast Conservative
Gee, ya think Rove and Co. have the same if not better data?
52 posted on 10/21/2006 3:42:35 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (If a pug barks and no one is around to hear it... they hold a grudge for a long time!)
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To: veronica

"I posted the Barrons article at FR early this morning. :)"

Someone always bitches about reposts, but a lot of us would miss a lot of important information were it not for reposts. If I was management, I would figure out the time zone useage of the site, and rotate the posts automatically. They could be weighted, of course, by their importance.


53 posted on 10/21/2006 3:43:23 PM PDT by billhilly
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To: West Coast Conservative
Barron's is a source I trust, and I don't say that just because I like this particular prediction. That is a very clear-headed magazine that does an excellent job of avoiding bias.

I predict, though, that if the Republicans lose ANY seats, that the liberals and the media will try to spin it into a "repudiation" of President Bush and his "failing" policies.

54 posted on 10/21/2006 3:44:12 PM PDT by KellyAdmirer
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To: RobFromGa

For the record, I think we retain Allen, Corker, Talent, Burns, and Dewine. I think we pickup Steele for +1. I think (hope) that we lose Chafee for back to even. And then I think it is 50-50 on both Kean and Santorum.





I think Allen will win. I am very hopeful for Talent, Burns and DeWine. Corker is not an incumbent, but I am very hopeful he will beat Ford in TN.

I'll figuratively dance on the moon when Michael Steele wins. I must go make a donation to him right now.

I truly hope Santorum will win.

A Kean victory would be nice, just as a Chafee loss is welcome. :)


55 posted on 10/21/2006 3:45:31 PM PDT by onyx (We have two political parties: the American Party and the Anti-American Party.)
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To: onyx

I was actually thinking just that. Friday as a warm up, and Monday as a last push.


56 posted on 10/21/2006 3:46:48 PM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (Karl Rove you magnificent bastard!)
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To: Trailerpark Badass

I am personally going to hold a Freeper Charlie Rangels retirement party. Please sign up now. It will take place on 11-11-06. All are invited.


57 posted on 10/21/2006 3:46:49 PM PDT by appeal2
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To: billhilly
I think it's actually a whole new story when Drudge highlights it, not really a repost. I am very glad for the article to get his attention and therefore make it a much bigger story. If for no other reason than to drive the Kos Kids and DUmmies nuts. :)
58 posted on 10/21/2006 3:47:33 PM PDT by veronica (http://www.freerepublic.com/~starcmc/)
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To: onyx

If you dont like Chaffee your not going to like Kean all that much


59 posted on 10/21/2006 3:47:56 PM PDT by ChiTownBearFan ("To see the world is to love America all the more"-Thomas Jefferson)
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To: BigSkyFreeper

RIGHT!


60 posted on 10/21/2006 3:48:06 PM PDT by onyx (We have two political parties: the American Party and the Anti-American Party.)
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